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Daily Chart Are ShowingTitle:
Markets vs. Technocrats
Forex News and Events:
Over the past few days, the media has been relaying comments suggesting leaders are backing the stay of Greece in the EMU. For starters the G8 stressed the importance for Greece to remain in the monetary union regardless of the discord over how to best tackle the crisis. During an interview with CNBC on Tuesday, former Greek PM insisted that an exit would yield “catastrophic” consequences for the country itself and “far reaching” implications for the EU. During yesterday’s European session however, EU officials stated they have agreed over a teleconference call with Eurogroup Work Group (EWG) that each nation in the EMU must prepare an individual contingency plan in case of an exit. The EUR sank against the USD to its lowest level since July 2010 at 1.2544, down 5. ...
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Spotlight on the Sterling
Forex News and Events:
Yesterday’s European session was a breather for the Euro area as German GDP came in much better than expected at 0.5% q-o-q. The strength of Germany’s numbers pulled EU’s GDP higher to 0.0% against a forecast -0.2%, avoiding a technical recession after last quarter’s -0.3% GDP. Nevertheless, both German and Euro zone economic sentiments were lower, underscoring a fading institutional optimism over economic health. GDP for the biggest European economies after Germany were worrisome, with France generating no growth in the first quarter of 2012 while Italy and Spain’s economies contracted by 0.8% and 0.3% respectively over the same period. The situation in Greece is still moving towards a new round of elections with Independent Greeks party leader Kammemos announcing ...
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Greek Political Impasse Leads to Euro Losses
The euro started off yesterday's trading session on a positive note following a better than expected German Prelim GDP figure which caused the EUR/USD to advance to 1.2868. That being said, the common currency came under pressure later in the day following another failed attempt by Greek politicians to form a new government, virtually guaranteeing new elections will take place next month. As a result, the euro fell as low as $1.2769 during the afternoon sessoin. Turning to today, traders will want to pay attention to the US FOMC Meeting Minutes, set to be released at 18:00 GMT. Any signs that the Federal Reserve is preparing for another round of quantitative easing could result in the greenback turning bearish.
Economic News
USD - US Manufacturing Data Sends USD/JPY Over 80.00
The ...
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Dukascopy Afternoon Forex Overview : 05/15/2012
Dukascopy Fundamental Analysis
EUR
Investors battered European stocks, dumped the bonds of Spain and Italy, and bid the euro down against the dollar Monday after the collapse of weekend coalition talks in Greece edged that country closer to an exit from the euro zone.
USD
Retail sales in the U.S. rose in April at the slowest pace of the year, showing unseasonably mild weather and pre-Easter shopping may have pulled consumers to stores the prior month.
GBP
Governor Mervyn King looks set to leave the door open to more support for the struggling economy when he presents the Bank of England's new economic outlook on Wednesday, which is likely to show a tricky mix of lower growth and higher inflation ahead.
CHF
Swiss stocks lost ground on Monday on concern Greece will exit the Eurozone.
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Dukascopy Afternoon Forex Overview : 04/09/2012
Dukascopy Fundamental Analysis
EUR
European stocks dropped for a second day, to the lowest level in almost four months, as investors awaited a resolution to the political impasse in Greece and as Spanish credit risk surged. The Stoxx Europe 600 Index (SXXP) lost 1.1 percent to 247.75 at 2:15 p.m. in London, the lowest since Jan. 13, as the euro weakened for an eighth day. The Stoxx 600 has tumbled 9 percent from this year’s high on March 16, trimming this year’s advance to 1.3 percent.
USD
U.S. stock futures retreated, indicating the Dow Jones Industrial Average will drop for a sixth straight day, as Greece’s political impasse intensified concern about a worsening of the European sovereign-debt crisis.
GBP
U.K. retail sales fell the most in more than a year last month as poor weather ...
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Dukascopy Afternoon Forex Overview : 04/07/2012
Dukascopy Fundamental Analysis
EUR
France has elected new president, Francois Hollande who polled about 52% of the votes. Mr Hollande said that he is proud to return hope to people again. He also announced that he would attempt to rework deal regarding sovereign debt in the Euro Zone countries to promote economic expansion.
USD
The smalest payroll increase in last 6 months has not influenced the investors who still do not forecast another wave of recession in the US. Better housing and employment data has encouraged experts to believe that from the fundamental perspective the world's largest economy is on the path to recovery.
GBP
May 7 was a bank holiday in Great Britain.
CHF
The official SNB exchange rate for EUR/CHF is 1.2013 today; yield on 10-year Swiss Confederation bonds ...
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Is Germany Starting To Crack?
The European morning session has been fairly volatile for FX markets, with the euro starting off looking fairly well supported at 1.32 and then falling through the floor on the back of some weak Eurozone economic data. The first blow to the single currency came from Germany where it was reported that the unemployment rate jumped by 19,000 in April and the unemployment rate had been revised up to 6.8% from 6.7% for March, which is where it remained last month. This is the largest increase in German unemployment for three years. Although a German labour market official said the decline could be down to the timing of Easter, it was enough to spook the markets.
Not such a two-speed economy?
The other blow to hit the market was the fall in the German manufacturing PMI survey to 46.2, the ...
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Dukascopy Afternoon Forex Overview : 27/04/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
Spain's credit rating was lowered by Standard & Poor's for a second time in 2012 on enduring worries the nation will have to apply additional fiscal backing to lenders as the economy shrinks. S&P cut its long term grade for Spain from A to BBB+ adding a negative outlook. Country's short term rating was lowered from A-1 to A-2, S&P agency reported on Thursday.
USD
Crude oil price declined from almost 4-week high in New York trade after S&P ratings agency cut Spain's sovereign credit rating, boosting concerns that further recession in Europe may halt demand for crude. Oil to be delivered in June lost USD 0.61, reaching USD 103.94 a barrel. June Brent oil gave up USD 0.49 and traded at USD 119.43 a barrel.
GBP
Today the Great Britain Pound extended its gains ...
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Dukascopy Afternoon Forex Overview : 24/04/2012
Dukascopy Fundamental Analysis
EUR
Dutch Premier Mark Rutte offered his minority coalition's resignation after his cabinet lost backing from Freedom Party caused by disagreements over deficit cut plans. The Freedom Party supported PM Rutte for about 18 months. Political uncertainty in the Netherlands cause boost concerns across whole Europe as the Netherlands was one of the nations than strongly favoured European Union fiscal treaty and in case of political collapse may turn to less EU-supportive policies.
USD
S&P/Case-Shiller 20-city composite index dropped to its lowest level since 2002, representing the cheapest house prices in a decade. Among 20 cities observed in the index, in 16 house prices have contracted while only three showed an increase.
GBP
Great Britain reported a bigger ...
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