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CurrentlyTitle:
Majors climb to session highs against greenback
With the lack of market thrillers, risky assets rebound on a normal pullback after the recent savage selloff looking with an eye of hope towards the world’s leaders meeting (G8) today.
Markets woke up on sharp selloff with the start of the trading session, where majors printed new lows against the greenback before rebounding. The EUR/USD reached 1.2640 just above 2012 low at 1.2621, currently baring earlier losses trading around 1.2713. Stochastic has provided an early sign of recovery in the form of a bullish divergence and currently regaining the bullish momentum. However the upside remains limited as markets jitters are far from over. Thus 1.2660 should form an intraday ceiling today, as trading ranges will get thinner approaching the weekend.
The British pounds rebounded sharply ...
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Markets Correct Some of the Weekly Losses Ahead of the G8 Summit
As the end of this week approaches, markets started to correct some of the losses incurred through the week. Investors started to close their bearish positions ahead of the coming week, before the G8 summit, which is taking place in the U.S, the thing that supported the euro to rebound over daily basis, cutting most of the losses.
Today, pessimism dominated the euro with the start of the session, where negativity was driven by the Greek downgrade, as Fitch Ratings cut the credit ranking of Greece by one notch to CCC from B- on concerns the nation might exit the euro as more and more Greeks are joining anti-austerity parties.
Moreover, Moody`s downgraded sixteen Spanish banks due to the current turmoil in the debt market in addition to the technical recession and rising unemployment, ...
Title:
Dukascopy Morning Forex Overview : 05/18/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
"Spain, once again, is where the confidence game is played"
- Sebastian Paris Horvitz, strategist at HSBC Private Bank Suisse
Spain sold the maximum targeted amount of debt, 2.5 billion euros, during yesterday’s auction with spiking borrowing costs. The interest rate of three-year bonds rose to 4.373% from April’s figure of 2.89% while interest rate of five-year bonds surged to 5.106% from 3.374 in March.
USD
"What we’re seeing in foreign-exchange markets is strong demand for the U.S. dollar"
- Steven Saywell, head of foreign-exchange strategy for Europe at BNP Paribas SA
Latest US initial unemployment claim data was released yesterday – 370 000 Americans demanded their jobless benefits last week versus a 368 000 consensus forecast. The Labor Department revised ...
Title:
EUR Avoids New 4-Month Low
While the euro remained bearish against its main currency rivals throughout yesterday's trading session, it avoided falling to a new four-month low against the US dollar. The marketplace was unusually calm, as a bank holiday in Europe resulted in limited movements among the most traded currency pairs. As we close out the week, traders will want to note that another slow news day may result in low liquidity in the marketplace. Typically, low liquidity situations can result in exaggerated movements among currency pairs and commodities for seemingly no reason. Any mention of additional euro-zone worries may result in a significant drop for the euro.
Economic News
USD - Manufacturing Data Causes USD to Tumble
The US dollar tumbled vs. the Japanese yen during the afternoon session yesterday, ...
Title:
Gold may halt its rebound on mounting worries from the euro area
Precious-Gold showed a slight decline on Friday early trading after recording the highest one-day rise in more than three months on Thursday`s session amid escalating tensions from the euro area.
In the previous session, the yellow metal managed to advance more than 2% as investors decided the metal after the drop to four and a half month low on hopes there will be a rebound.
Indeed, the shiny metal did an upside correction as momentum indicators signaled the metal was oversold.
Gold is currently trading around $1571.88 an ounce after recording a high of $1576.53 and a low of $1567.85, where the shiny metal found support at $1520 levels.
However, mounting worries from the euro area are expected to put the shiny metal under pressure to record the third consecutive weekly drop ...
Title:
Technical analysis of the XAU/USD (Gold) pair on May 18th, 2012
Commentary of the XAU/USD (Gold) pair:
The gold has continued its rebound and is currently testing a pullback on the resistance at 1577 points and also on the lower band of its bearish channel (purple lines).
Indicators are globaly bearish.
We maintain to trade only short positions as far as 1577 points is resistance.
A return below 1550 points will comfort our bearish feeling.
The breakout of 1520 will both a new sell signal and open the way towards 1500 points.
In case of return above 1577 points, we will wait the breakout of 1600 to advise long positions.
See the previous analysis of the XAU/USD pair of May 17th, 2012
XAU/USD Analysis
Title:
Technical analysis of the EUR/GBP pair on May 18th, 2012
Commentary of the EUR/GBP pair:
The pair EUR/GBP has continued its rebound and is currently testing a pullback on the resistance at 0.8050.
All indicators are bullish.
The bearish gap which ocurred at the opening is still not filled in.
All indicators are bearish.
The pair is still moving into a bearish channel (purple lines).
We continue to advise short positions as far as 0.8050 is resistance.
A return below 0.80 will comfort our bearish feeling.
The breakout of 0.7950 will give a new sell signal and open the way towards 0.79.
In case of return above 0.8050, we will be neutral between this level and 0.81.
The breakout of 0.81 will give a buy signal.
See the previous analysis of the EUR/GBP pair of May 17th, 2012
EUR/GBP Analysis
Title:
Technical analysis of the GBP/JPY pair on May 18th, 2012
Commentary of the GBP/JPY pair :
A bearish rallye occured on the pair GBP/JPY who broke the supports at 127.70/126.70/126, giving all a new sell signal.
Currently, the pair is testing the next support at 125.
The pair is moving below the lower band of its falling wedge (purple lines)/
All indicators are bearish.
We continue to advise short positions as far as 126.70 is resistance.
The breakout of 125 will give a new sell signal and open the way towards 124.
In case of return above 126.70, we will be neutral between this level and 127.67.
The breakout of 127.67 will give a new buy signal.
See the previous analysis of the GBP/JPY pair of May 17th, 2012
GBP/JPY Analysis
Title:
Technical analysis of the GBP/USD pair on May 18th, 2012
Commentary of the GBP/USD pair :
A bearish rallye occured on the pair GBP/USD who broke the supports at 1.59 and 1.5823, giving both a new sell signal.
All indicators are bearish.
Currently, the pair is testing the next support at 1.5750.
We continue to advise short positions as far as 1.59 is resistance.
The breakout of 1.5750 will give a new sell signal and open the week towards 1.57 and 1.5650.
In case of return above 1.59, we will be neutral between this level and 1.60.
The breakout of 1.60 will give a buy signal.
See the previous analysis of the GBP/USD pair of May 17th, 2012
GBP/USD Analysis
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