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Currency May Extend ItsTitle:
EUR/USD Falls to 21-Month Low
The EUR/USD fell as low as 1.2614 yesterday, a 21-month low, after investors grew increasingly concerned regarding Greece's fate in the euro-zone and shifted their funds to safe-haven assets. The currency pair staged a mild upward correction later in the day, eventually stabilizing around the 1.2655 level. Turning to today, euro traders will want to pay attention to several potentially significant news events. Specifically, the German Manufacturing PMI and Ifo Business Climate may help the euro recoup some of yesterday's losses if they come in above expectations.
Economic News
USD - Dollar Sees Significant Gains amid Risk Aversion
The US dollar moved up against several of its main currency rivals yesterday, as ongoing fears regarding Greece's future in the euro-zone have led to risk ...
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Oil drops on Iran talks, brimming U.S. supply
(Reuters) - Oil futures fell more than 2 percent on Wednesday to five-month lows, as a potential nuclear deal between Iran and the West eased supply concerns and worries about Greece's future in the euro zone raised questions about demand.
Further pressure came from U.S. government data that showed weak demand and the ninth straight weekly build in domestic crude inventories, extending the stockpile buffer as the world's largest consumer gears up for the start of the summer driving season.
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Dukascopy Afternoon Forex Overview : 23/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
German bunds rose on worries that European leaders will struggle to resolve the euro zone debt crisis during tonight's European summit. David Schnautz of Commerzbank AG in London thinks that Europe is unlikely to solve key topics and will probably disappoint the market. The 5-year bund lost 5 bp to 0.47 percent at 10:49 GMT after tumbling to 0.461 percent, the lowest since 1990, when Bloomberg began gathering data.
USD
Crude oil futures declined in Asian session on Wednesday as Iran is ready to invite nuclear inspectors, the move that may ease oil import sanctions. Light, sweet crude oil futures for July delivery traded at 91.27 US Dollars per barrel, retreating by 0.63% from the last session's high of 91.72 US Dollars per barrel.
GBP
Today the minutes of the ...
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Risky trade getting hammered
Higher yielders remained under pressure as uncertainty continues to surround markets. The lack of assurance of an Imperative action on Greece from the euro leaders in their informal summit today makes things further vague for the destiny of the risky trade. While markets lack a conclusive expectation for the outcome of the summit majors look skeptical around key support levels.
During a teleconference earlier today, the Eurogroup Working Group (EWG); which consists of the officials preparing the meetings of finance minister, and form the board of the ESF as well, agreed that euro zone countries must consider and prepare for the consequences of a Greece exit. The move could have further negative impact on the common currency.
While Later today, the finance ministers are expected to unveil ...
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Doubts over EU summit send shares, euro lower
(Reuters) - World shares fell and Germany sold two-year bonds paying virtually no interest on Wednesday as investors shunned riskier assets, doubting that any new measures to tackle the euro zone debt crisis would emerge from a European leaders summit.
Concerns the latest EU summit could be a failure sent the euro to a 21-month low, put an end to a rally in European equities, and sent yields on Spanish and Italian bonds higher.
But investors bid strongly at an auction of safe-haven two-year German government bonds resulting in a yield of just 0.07 percent, while the dollar, measured against other major currencies .DXY hit a high not seen since September 2010.
The leaders are expected to discuss boosting growth at their meeting later on Wednesday and the idea of a joint euro zone bond. ...
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European Market Update : 23/05/2012
Euro hits fresh 2012 lows ahead of informal summit; More reports of an ECB contingency plan in the works
Economic Data
(GR) Greece Mar Current Account: -€2.1B v €1.1B prior
(NL) Netherlands Mar Consumer Spending Y/Y: % v -1.3% prior
(SE) Sweden Apr Unemployment Rate: % v 7.8%e
(EU) Euro Zone Apr Current Account: +€7.5B v -€5.6B prior; Current Account Seasonally Adj: +€7.5B v -€1.2B prior
(IT) Italy May Consumer Confidence: 86.5 v 89.5e (lowest reading on record after series began in 1996))
(ZA) South Africa Apr CPI (all items) M/M: 0.4% v 0.5%e; Y/Y: % v 6.2%e
(TW) Taiwan Apr Industrial Production Y/Y: -2.3% v -1.7%e; Commercial Sales Y/Y: -2.4% v -0.9% prior
(UK) Apr Retail Sales Ex Auto Fuel M/M: -1.0% v -0.7%e; Y/Y: -0.3% v +0.7%e
(UK) Apr Retail Sales with Auto Fuel M/M: -0.8% ...
Title:
Euro Rebound Short-Lived
Sunrise Market Commentary
- Fixed Income: Profit taking continued, but now concluded?
- The profit taking on global core bond markets continued in the run-up to tonight's informal EU-Summit. Spanish and Italian spreads decreased significantly but yields remain at elevated levels. Today, the eco calendar is again thin and trading will again be driven by sentiment.
- Currencies: Euro rebound short-lived On
- Tuesday, the euro came again under pressure even as the global context was not that negative. Sentiment on risk was constructive and intra-EMU spreads narrowed, but all this didn't prevent investors to use any upticks in the single currency to further reduce exposure. The key 1.2642/24 support is again coming within reach.
The Sunrise Headlines
- In the final hour of ...
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USD Moves Up vs. JPY Following Japanese Credit Downgrade
The JPY took losses against the US dollar during European trading yesterday, following a downgrade of Japan's credit rating. The USD/JPY advanced close to 60 pips over the course of the day, eventually peaking at 79.93. Today, dollar traders will want to pay attention to US New Home Sales figure, set to be released at 14:00 GMT. Analysts are forecasting the figure to show improvements in the US real estate sector, which if true, could help the greenback extend yesterday's gains. In addition to the news out of the US, traders will want to pay attention to any announcements out of the euro-zone. An informal meeting of euro-zone leaders is set to conclude today. Any signs of a new strategy to combat the region's debt crisis could lead to market volatility.
Economic News
USD - Dollar Sees ...
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Asian Market Update : 23/05/2012
Yen gains after BOJ stands pat; World Bank cuts China outlook, April lending looks weak; EUR falls on Papademos "grexit" mention
Economic Data
(JP) BANK OF JAPAN (BOJ) LEAVES TARGET RATE RANGE UNCHANGED BETWEEN 0.0% TO 0.10% (AS EXPECTED); Keeps economic assessment unchanged; Maintains asset purchase fund at ¥70T
(JP) JAPAN APR MERCHANDISE TRADE BALANCE TOTAL: -¥520B V -¥471BE; ADJUSTED: -¥480B V -¥617BE
(US) NORTH AMERICA SEMI EQUIPMENT INDUSTRY APR SALES BOOK TO BILL RATIO: 1.10 V 1.13 PRIOR (3RD CONSECUTIVE MONTH ABOVE PARITY, 1st decline in 7 months)
(AU) AUSTRALIA APR DEWR INTERNET SKILLED VACANCIES M/M: -0.8% V -0.5% PRIOR (4-month low)
(AU) AUSTRALIA MAR WESTPAC LEADING INDEX M/M: 0.4% V 0.0% PRIOR
(AU) AUSTRALIA MAR CONFERENCE BOARD LEADING INDEX M/M: +0.2% V 0.0% PRIOR
(SG) ...
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