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Currency At The Beginning Of The MonthTitle:
European Market Update : 23/05/2012
Euro hits fresh 2012 lows ahead of informal summit; More reports of an ECB contingency plan in the works
Economic Data
(GR) Greece Mar Current Account: -€2.1B v €1.1B prior
(NL) Netherlands Mar Consumer Spending Y/Y: % v -1.3% prior
(SE) Sweden Apr Unemployment Rate: % v 7.8%e
(EU) Euro Zone Apr Current Account: +€7.5B v -€5.6B prior; Current Account Seasonally Adj: +€7.5B v -€1.2B prior
(IT) Italy May Consumer Confidence: 86.5 v 89.5e (lowest reading on record after series began in 1996))
(ZA) South Africa Apr CPI (all items) M/M: 0.4% v 0.5%e; Y/Y: % v 6.2%e
(TW) Taiwan Apr Industrial Production Y/Y: -2.3% v -1.7%e; Commercial Sales Y/Y: -2.4% v -0.9% prior
(UK) Apr Retail Sales Ex Auto Fuel M/M: -1.0% v -0.7%e; Y/Y: -0.3% v +0.7%e
(UK) Apr Retail Sales with Auto Fuel M/M: -0.8% ...
Title:
SunBirdFX Daily Market Analysis : 05/23/2012
www.sunbirdfx.com
Dramatic finishing in the US stock markets yesterday caused mixed closing by the main indices. The trading was on the green side most of the day but massive selling during the last half hour erased most of the bullish movement, but strong 10 minutes before the closing bell prevented sharper declines. The indices are now facing important test and if they slide under yesterday's low, the sharp declines from last week might return. On the other hand, if they cross above yesterday's high, it will be a strong bullish signal for the markets. On the fundamental aspect, the existing home sales data came out as analysts expected and today the investors will focus on the new home sales data.
EUR/GBP
All of the major pairs resumed weakening against the USD yesterday due to the ...
Title:
AUD/USD Reaches This Year’s Low
The Australian dollar continued its tumble today, reaching the lowest level this year against the US dollar, as adverse market sentiment and the interest rate cut earlier this month are still driving forces that push the currency down.
Europe is hurting risk and, as a result, riskier currencies, the Aussie (as the Australian currency is nicknamed) among them. The general uncertainty about the future also hurts commodities. The Australian dollar is a commodity currency and the decline of prices for raw materials hurt it. Commodities rallied in the second half of the past week and extended the rally on Monday, but slipped on Tuesday.
The decrease of the main interest rate by the Reserve Bank of Australia at the beginning of this month continues to put pressure on the Aussie. The cut was ...
Title:
Dukascopy Afternoon Forex Overview : 22/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
Gold extended previous gains in Asian session on Tuesday as concerns over Greek exit from the single currency union eased. At G8 summit leaders of eighth largest economies stated that they would do everything possible to retain Greece in the Euro Zone. COMEX gold June contract traded at 1,592.35 US Dollars per troy ounce on the New York Mercantile Exchange, advancing by 0.23%.
USD
The US Senate has passed a bill aimed at tightening sanctions imposed on Iran to force the country to cease its nuclear program. The new sanctions imply investigation of role of Iran's Revolutionary Guard in oil exports as well as obliging the US companies to disclose any business activities with Iranian partners. The move came ahead of negotiations between Iran and six major ...
Title:
SunBirdFX Daily Market Analysis : 05/22/2012
www.sunbirdfx.com
Wall Street opened the trading week with the expected short-squeeze that launched NASDAQ 2.4%, mainly because of Apple. The short-positions holders decided to realize their investments and take profits, as the buyers took advantage of that for gaining profits by opening long positions. This momentum might continue in the next few days, and in this point, it is important to remember that the previous bearish session ended with a sharp bullish day, and this might be the signal for this possible turnover. However, it is too soon to know whether the stocks have stopped falling or not and we need to wait few more days.
AUD/USD
The recovery of the US stock markets weakened the USD against most of the currencies, which might start a correcting session against the USD. The ...
Title:
Japanese yen fell versus major currencies before BOJ’s meeting
Japan’s yen fell against major currencies with the beginning of the day, where investors are waiting this week’s BOJ’s meeting minutes which expected to contain another stimulus plans, which negatively on yen’s demand to feel against most of currencies.
From another side, the significant incline of Japanese yen against American dollar during the past three weeks increased pressure on BOJ to raise its financial programs that aims to support companies and compensate the recent massive incline.
USD/JPY pair inclined to record high of 79.24 during today’s Asian session, after recording low of 79.11 to be now at 79.04. Euro/JPY pair inclined also to the highest in two session recording high of 101.40 and low of 100.97.
AUD/USD pair slightly inclined in a correction trend after the massive ...
Title:
Weekly Economic and Financial Commentary : 19/05/2012
U.S. Review
To QE3 or Not To QE3: That is the Question
- Some market participants are beginning to speculate about another round of quantitative easing. Although recent growth indicators have not been particularly stellar, the economy is still growing. Moreover, core CPI inflation in the neighborhood of 2 percent means that the threshold for more QE is relatively high.
- Overall, indicators were positive during the week. Housing starts increased by 2.6 percent in April, the Empire Manufacturing index improved to 17.09 in May from a 6.56 print in April and retail sales printed a 0.1 percent increase in April, in line with expectations.
To QE3 or Not To QE3: That is the Question
QE3 seems to have more lives that a cat; it comes back into the forefront of the U.S. economy discussion ...
Title:
Europe Steps Closer to the Cliff Edge
The Week Ahead
Highlights
Europe steps closer to the cliff edge
Can the USD extend its rally?
Bank of Japan may extend maturity of its bond buys
Pricing in more QE from the Bank of England
Europe steps closer to the cliff edge
It was a pivotal week for the Eurozone after Greece announced that it was heading back to the polls after the top three parities failed to form a coalition government. So now Greece is leaderless, there is a caretaker government in place but it won't be able to enforce the austerity required to get the next tranche of bailout funds necessary for Greece to avoid running out of money in July. So as time runs out for Greece the European authorities have been clear: the upcoming election is a referendum on euro-membership. Either vote for pro bailout ...
Title:
SunBirdFX Daily Market Analysis : 05/17/2012
www.sunbirdfx.com
The US stock markets opened yesterday's trading session with a strong push by the bulls but the concerns regarding Greece pulled the markets to the red zone eventually. The main indices erased 40%-50% of what they gained from the beginning of the year, and things are looking more and more bearish as the days pass by.
AUD/JPY
The Australian dollar keeps falling against the USD and it slid under the psychological support at 1.0. The weakening of the stocks supports the USD and that is why we see it strengthening against most of the major currencies, including the JPY, which is a strong currency these days. The Yen is clearly stronger than the AUD, as it well shown in the daily chart of the pair, which is getting support at 79.50. If the AUD crosses above the 2-days ...
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