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Crisis And The Demand OutlookTitle:
Oil climbs above $106 as Iran talks stall
(Reuters) - Brent crude oil rose above $106 a barrel on Thursday as reports of a hiccup in talks with Iran over its nuclear program balanced weak economic data from China and Europe.
Iran accused world powers on Thursday of creating "a difficult atmosphere" that hindered negotiations on its atomic energy program, signaling a snag in diplomacy to defuse fears of an Iranian attempt to develop nuclear bombs.
Brent futures rose 90 cents to trade at $106.46 by 1336 GMT after earlier touching a high of $106.90 before weak Chinese and European economic data sparked a bout of selling.
U.S. crude for July rose $1.44 to a high of $91.34 after settling at $89.90 a barrel on Wednesday, its lowest close for front-month U.S. crude since October 21.
Investors are worried that failure to agree a deal ...
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Copper up from 4-1/2 month low, EU data weighs
(Reuters) - Copper firmed a little on Thursday after sinking to a 4-1/2 month low in the previous session but remained under pressure as downbeat data from the European Union raised worries that global economic weakness will hit demand for industrial metals.
Benchmark copper on the London Metal Exchange was trading at $7,589.50 a tonne by 0939 GMT, 0.8 percent up from a close at $7,531 on Wednesday.
The metal, used in power and construction, has dropped on risk aversion triggered by worries about Greece's possible exit from the euro zone.
Business surveys showed Germany's manufacturing sector has been shrinking at the fastest rate in three years in May and the euro zone's private sector has sunk further into the doldrums this month as new orders shrivel, forcing firms to run down ...
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European Market Update : 24/05/2012
Major European PMI Manufacturing data misses expectations; German IFO Business Confidence falls for the first time in 7 months
Economic Data
(RU) Russia Gold & Forex Reserve w/e May 18th: $514.3B v $518.8B prior
(DE) Germany Q1 Final GDP Q/Q: 0.5% v 0.5%e; Y/Y: 1.7% v 1.7%e; GDP WDA Y/Y: 1.2% v 1.2%e
(DE) Germany Q1 Private Consumption: 0.4% v 0.2%e; Government Spending: 0.2% v 0.3%e; Domestic Demand: -0.3% v 0.0%e; Capital Investment: -1.1% v -0.3%e; Construction Investment: -1.3% v -0.4%e; Exports: 1.7% v 0.9%e; Imports: 0.0% v 0.3%e
(CH) Swiss Apr Trade Balance (CHG): 1.3B v 1.9Be; Real Exports M/M: -0.9% v +0.2%e; Real Imports M/M: 2.6% v 5.9% prior
(FI) Finland Apr PPI M/M: -0.1% v +0.4% prior; Y/Y: 1.4% v 1.4% prior
(FI) Finland Apr Preliminary Retail Sales Volume Y/Y: -2.0% v ...
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U.K. first-quarter GDP downwardly revised to add to worries
U.K. GDP first quarter reading showed worse than expected contraction, adding to concerns the British economy needs more time to recover amid the escalating European debt crisis and weak consumer demand.
The preliminary reading was downwardly revised to 0.3% contraction from both advanced and expected readings of -0.2%, while on the year 0.1% contraction was recorded from both flash and estimated readings of 0.0%.
Details with the release showed that the quarterly drop was triggered by the drop in exports to 0.1% from 1.6% while imports, on the other hand, advanced 0.4% from 0.9%.
In fact, the drop in exports reflect the weak demand from the euro area, U.K.’s main trading partner, and worldwide in addition to the strengthening sterling in the first quarter.
Gross fixed capital ...
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UK shares edge up cautiously from lows
(Reuters) - Britain's top shares rose on Thursday, clawing back some of the previous session's steep losses, though trade remained cautious after a European summit failed to produce concrete proposals for tackling the region's debt crisis.
Markets rallied earlier in the week on hopes that new proposals would be made at the informal summit, including ways of sparking economic growth and boosting investor confidence.
Thursday's economic data made for grim reading, with Britain falling deeper into recession than first thought in the first quarter after a sharp drop in construction output.
In Germany, the manufacturing sector shrank and business sentiment plummeted in May, heightening concerns about the ability of Europe's largest economy to weather the region's crisis.
Market moves have ...
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Asia shares ease as weak China PMI, Greece risks weigh
(Reuters) - Asian shares eased on Thursday as markets were vulnerable to faltering factory orders in China and lack of concrete measures shown by European leaders to tackle the risk of Greece leaving the currency bloc.
European Union leaders, at an informal meeting on Wednesday, said they wanted Greece to stay in the euro zone while respecting commitments it had made in return for its bailout, but have been advised by senior officials to prepare contingency plans in case Greece exits.
The murky outlook for the euro zone and fears that the crisis could derail the global economy have prompted investors to park money in safe-haven assets such as U.S. and German government bonds, the U.S. dollar or cash.
Implications of a retreat in China's HSBC Flash Purchasing Managers Index, the earliest ...
Title:
Greek Debt Crisis: Answers to Frequently Asked Questions
Highlights
- An acceleration in deposit withdrawals, combined with the prospect of an anti-austerity party winning the next election, has brought to the fore concerns about a potential Greek exit from the euro zone.
- Our base case assumption is that under the most likely scenario, the Greek election will lead to a government that sticks to an EU/IMF program, even if the terms are renegotiated.
- However, we do believe that Greece needs a further restructuring of its debt and we do think the country will ultimately exit the euro - we're just not convinced that Europe is ready for this to happen at the moment.
- If an accident does occur and Greece does leave the euro in the near term, it would have global financial ramifications that could range from severe to catastrophic. ...
Title:
Fitch Fires Another Round
Forex News and Events:
Fitch downgraded Japan by two notches yesterday afternoon from AA to A+ with outlook negative. The agency justified the credit rating cuts by saying that the Japanese government isn’t reactive enough in tackling its “high and rising public debt ratios”. The move came in a few hours after the OECD urged Japan to prioritize the implementation of a fiscal consolidation plan, as debt-to-GDP ratio exceeds 200 percent, and budget deficits are forecast at 10 percent of GDP for the current year. PM Yoshihiko Noda has staked his political career on a law to increase sales tax to 10% with the goal of offsetting rising social security costs mainly due to the fast ageing of the population. But the opposition that controls the upper house is refusing to negotiate and is ...
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U.K. retail sales drop to record low, Miles maintains his call for further stimulus
U.K. retail sales unexpectedly dropped the most in more than two years in the month of April, reflecting the weakness in consumer spending that did not improve despite the drop in prices.
The reading with auto fuel tumbled 2.3% in April from a revised of 2.0% and median expectations of -0.8%, while the reading excluding auto fuel also plunged 1.0% from a revised of 1.6%.
On the yearly basis, the reading with auto fuel plummeted 1.1% from a revised of 3.1%.
The drop is attributed to the heavy rainfall which slashed demand for clothing while fuel sales retreated.
Still, the economy is unable to get on the right path of recovery due to the ongoing weakness in household spending and the escalating European debt crisis.
The most recent data showed that the British economy fell back into ...
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