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Better Data Boosts Risk Appetite, Sending US Dollar Lower
US dollar is moving lower right now, thanks to improved risk appetite. Most of that risk appetite is coming from enthusiasm over better data in the United States. Improvements to the US economy are helping high beta currencies, even after continued disappointment in Europe and China.
Good news in the United States is providing a boost to high beta currencies, and sending the US dollar lower, as risk appetite returns to the markets. Jobless claims in the United States fell to 370,000 last week, dropping by 2,000. Additionally, there was a rise in US durable good orders of 0.2% for April. This good news is providing some relief from all of the bad news coming out of Europe.
The sovereign debt crisis continues to dominate in the eurozone as European Union leaders look for a way for Greece ...
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A dead cat bounce?
After a bunch of creepy economic figures starting from the euro zone manufacturing and services numbers which showed the sectors extended contraction last month and confidence among business within germany dropped to 106.9 from 109.4, that was followed by the GDP figure from the U.K which confirmed further contraction as the country’s economy contracted more than expected. While from the U.S; core durable goods orders dropped by 0.6% while markets were expecting a 1.1% expansion.
Although the overall picture remains clearly uncertain, however markets were well supported after being extensively oversold today, rebounding slightly this morning, and currently extending the recovery after the Greek central bank chief said that Greece’s four largest banks are to be recapitalized by an 18 ...
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Jobless claims little changed last week
(Reuters) - New claims for unemployment benefits fell slightly last week, government data on Thursday showed, suggesting the labor market continues to expand at a moderate pace.
Initial claims for state unemployment benefits slipped 2,000 to a seasonally adjusted 370,000, the Labor Department said. The prior week's figure was revised up to 372,000 from the previously reported 370,000.
Economists polled by Reuters had forecast claims unchanged last week. The four-week moving average for new claims, considered a better measure of labor market trends, dropped 5,500 to 370,000.
Claims have barely budged in the past four weeks indicating a marginal improvement in the pace of job creation after April's disappointing 115,000 gain in nonfarm payrolls.
A Labor Department official said there was ...
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SunBirdFX Daily Market Analysis : 05/24/2012
www.sunbirdfx.com
Another day of battle between the sellers and the buyers in Wall Street has passed by, as the sellers are still on the upper hand. In fact, the continuation of the bearish momentum was expected after the indices made bearish reversal patterns on Tuesday. The new home sales data came out better than expected but this did not help the stock to rise, as today's main data is the continuing jobless claims.
The declines of the stocks caused sharp weakening of most of the major currencies, except the USD. Therefore, we see many oversold/overbought pairs and we see less accurate patterns in the daily chart. What you should do in these kinds of situations is to wait for corrections or trade in the intraday charts and look for quick trades, although it can be more dangerous.
EUR/ ...
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Technical analysis of the EUR/CHF pair on May 24th, 2012
Commentary of the EUR/CHF pair:
The pair EUR/CHF continues to move below the minor resistance at 1.2030 without volatility.
All indicators are neutral.
The pair seems to move below a bearish slant (purple line).
We continue to advise short positions as far as 1.2030 is resistance.
The breakout of 1.2010 will give a new sell signal and open the way towards 1.20.
In case of return below 1.2030, we will wait the breakout of 1.2050 to advise long positions.
See the previous analysis of the EUR/CHF pair of May 23th, 2012
EUR/CHF Analysis
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Technical analysis of the GBP/JPY pair on May 24th, 2012
Commentary of the GBP/JPY pair :
The pair GBP/JPY has continued its bearish movement and the breakout of 125 gave us a new sell signal.
All indicators are bearish.
The pair continues to move below the slants of its falling wedge (purple line).
All indicators are bearish.
We continue to advise short positions as far as 126.50 is resistance.
The breakout of 124 will give a new sell signal and open the way towards 123.
In case of return above 126.50, we will be neutral between this level and 127.
The breakout of 127 will give a new buy signal.
See the previous analysis of the GBP/JPY pair of May 23th, 2012
GBP/JPY Analysis
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Technical analysis of the NZD/USD pair on May 24th, 2012
Commentary of the NZD/USD pair :
The pair NZD/USD is currenlty moving below the resistance at 0.7550.
All indicators are bearish.
The pair continues to move below its bearish slant (purple line).
We continue to advise short positions as far as 0.7665 is resistance.
The breakout of 0.75 will give a new sell signal and open the way towards 0.74.
In case of return above 0.7665, we will be neutral between this level and 0.77.
The breakout of 0.77 will give a buy signal.
See the previous analysis of the NZD/USD pair of May 23th, 2012
NZD/USD Analysis
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U.K. GDP expected unrevised as recession keeps weight on BoE
The United Kingdom today continues to release more important fundamentals that only reassure the lingering hurdles ahead of policy makers` next decision. The second reading for the first quarter GDP is expected unrevised today as the economy contracts with slowing capital investment and exports that were hit by weak global growth.
The ONS is expected to report the unrevised quarterly contraction of 0.2% in the first three months of the year and hold flat on the year as the BoE suffers to support growth. With the deterioration in the jobs market and high inflation Britons remain under pressure and so far policy makers.
As the MPC said it, we are against a tough task, especially after they raised short term inflation expectations and revised lower growth estimates in the May inflation ...
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Technical analysis of the USD/JPY pair on May 24th, 2012
Commentary of the USD/JPY pair :
The pair USD/JPY continues to move between the support at 79.26 and the resistance at 79.65.
Indicators are globaly neutral.
The pair is currently moving above the upper band of its bearish channel (black lines) and above its bearish slant (purple line).
We continue to advise short positions as far as 80.09 is resistance.
A return below 79.26 will comfort our bearish feeling.
The breakout of 79 will give a new sell signal and open the way towards 78.50 and 78.
In case of return above 80.09, a buy signal will be given.
See the previous analysis of the USD/JPY pair of May 23th, 2012
USD/JPY Analysis
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