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Concerns About The Global EconomyTitle:
Oil steadies above $105 as Iran talks stall
(Reuters) - Brent crude oil steadied above $105 per barrel on Thursday as reports of a hiccup in talks with Iran over its nuclear program balanced weak economic data from China and Europe.
Iran accused world powers on Thursday of creating "a difficult atmosphere" that hindered negotiations on its atomic energy program, signaling a snag in diplomacy to defuse fears of a covert Iranian bid to develop nuclear bombs.
Brent crude oil fell 53 cents to a low of $105.03 per barrel, a five-month low, but then rebounded to trade around $105.71, up 15 cents, by 0945 GMT. It had earlier touched a high of $106.68 before the Chinese and European data sparked a bout of selling.
U.S. crude advanced 55 cents to $90.45, after earlier reaching a high of $90.81 per barrel. It settled at $89.90 a barrel on ...
Title:
EUR/USD Cedes The 1.2624 Support
Sunrise Market Commentary
- Fixed Income: Risk off pushes German bond yields to new lows
- Risk off sentiment pushed core bonds higher and non-core bond yield spreads re-widened substantially. The Summit didn't bring new information, but another hole found in Spain's regions' budgets might get attention today.
- Currencies EUR/USD cedes the 1.2624 support
- On Wednesday, the EMU debt crisis was again omnipresent. Markets feared that the EU leaders wouldn't be able to take decisive action to address the debt crisis. Extreme risk aversion pushed EUR/USD to a new low for 2012. The losses of EUR/GBP were more contained, as poor UK retail sales and rather soft BoE minutes kept the door open for more policy stimulation.
The Sunrise Headlines
- In the final hour of trading, US ...
Title:
Dukascopy Morning Forex Overview : 24/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
Concern about Greece "is a big weight on the market and makes things uncertain"
- Emmanuel Soupre, a fund manager at Neuflize Private Assets
European stocks tumbled on Wednesday, after rising by the most in a month on Tuesday, on speculation Greece may exit the euro zone.
USD
"It’s very clear now that the housing market has turned a corner"
- Richard DeKaser, deputy chief economist at Parthenon Group LLC
Sales of new U.S. homes rose by more than expected in April, Commerce Department data showed on Wednesday. Purchases increased to an annual rate of 343,000, up by 3.3 per cent from a revised 332,000 in March.
GBP
" employment remains fragile and wage growth weak"
- Ross Walker, chief U.K. economist at Royal Bank of Scotland Group
U.K. retails sales declined by ...
Title:
Greek Debt Crisis: Answers to Frequently Asked Questions
Highlights
- An acceleration in deposit withdrawals, combined with the prospect of an anti-austerity party winning the next election, has brought to the fore concerns about a potential Greek exit from the euro zone.
- Our base case assumption is that under the most likely scenario, the Greek election will lead to a government that sticks to an EU/IMF program, even if the terms are renegotiated.
- However, we do believe that Greece needs a further restructuring of its debt and we do think the country will ultimately exit the euro - we're just not convinced that Europe is ready for this to happen at the moment.
- If an accident does occur and Greece does leave the euro in the near term, it would have global financial ramifications that could range from severe to catastrophic. ...
Title:
Dukascopy Morning Forex Overview : 23/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
"The rally is mostly technically driven after we became quite oversold last week."
- Raimund Saxinger, a fund manager at Trust Investment GmbH
European stocks rose by the most in a month on Tuesday. The Stoxx Europe 600 Index gained 1.91 per cent to 244.76. Germany’s DAX Index edged higher 1.65 per cent and France’s CAC 40 Index added 1.88 per cent. The U.K.’s FTSE 100 Index rose 1.86 per cent to 5,403.28
USD
"People are becoming more confident about job prospects and about taking on mortgages."
- Millan Mulraine, a senior U.S. strategist at TD Securities Inc.
U.S. existing home sales rose in April to an annual rate of 4.62 million from 4.47 million in March, said the National Association of Realtors.
GBP
"These figures give the Monetary Policy Committee ...
Title:
Gold slumps on skepticism of EU meeting
(Reuters) - Gold eased on Wednesday extending sharp losses made in the previous session as investors were skeptical that an informal European Union meeting later in the day would yield steps to help solve the region's debt crisis.
Gold fell to as low as $1,555.03 an ounce earlier in the day, its lowest level in nearly a week, tracking a weaker euro as investors fretted about the possibility of a Greek exit and its implications for the global economy.
Investors will be watching the outcome from the EU summit, but confidence is on the wane since Germany and France are likely to confront each other on the idea of mutualized European debt.
"Can it solve the debt crisis? No," said Dick Poon, manager of precious metals at Heraeus in Hong Kong, "Everyone is worried about Greece withdrawing ...
Title:
Cautious markets retreat before EU summit
(Reuters) - Riskier assets retreated broadly on Wednesday as hopes for fresh measures to tackle the euro zone debt crisis faded and caution set in ahead of a meeting of European leaders, with sentiment hurt by renewed fears Greece would leave the euro bloc.
European shares also looked likely to slump, with financial spreadbetters predicting major European markets .FTSE .FCHI .GDAXI would open as much as 1.5 percent lower. U.S. stock futures were down 0.5 percent. .EU .L .N
Shares, commodities, commodity-linked currencies and the euro all slid, while safe-haven demand lifted the dollar index .DXY measured against major currencies up to 81.830, its highest since September 2010.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS slumped 2.0 percent. It had risen 1.1 ...
Title:
OECD fears euro woe to snap brittle world recovery
(Reuters) - The United States and Japan are leading a fragile developed world recovery that could be blown off course if Europe fails to contain the damage from its problem debtor states, the OECD said on Tuesday.
It urged euro zone leaders to embrace all options for tackling the crisis, potentially including common bonds to go with the common currency.
In its twice-yearly economic outlook, the Paris-based Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development forecast that global growth would ease to 3.4 percent this year from 3.6 percent in 2011, before accelerating to 4.2 percent in 2013, in line with its last estimates from late November.
"The global economic outlook is still cloudy," OECD Secretary General Angel Gurria told reporters.
"At first sight the prospects for the global ...
Title:
Euro falls as hopes dim of EU summit progress
(Reuters) - The euro fell on Tuesday as skepticism grew that an informal meeting of European leaders would yield much progress in tackling the debt crisis, with worries about Greek politics and Spanish banking problems expected to keep the currency weak.
While there have been hopes in some quarters that measures to boost growth may be agreed at Wednesday's summit, investors were not confident of a breakthrough given apparent differences in opinion between Germany and France.
French President Francois Hollande is expected to push for a joint euro zone bond, a measure backed by Italy, Spain and the European Commission.
However Germany, Europe's largest economy and paymaster, has so far opposed the move and continues to champion austerity measures. A German official said on Tuesday euro ...
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