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Compared To The Euro In This PeriodTitle:
Greek Chaos Continues But Solution Ultimately Found
- While waiting for the Greek election on 17 June we are likely to see continued high uncertainty and continued high stress in the markets. Things are likely to get worse before they get better.
- Amid this uncertainty, Greek citizens are likely to withdraw more money from their banks and this could escalate into a real bank run.
- A major game of chicken has started between the EU on the one hand and Greek politicians on the other.
- The EU is likely to stand firm on its demands for Greece to deliver austerity and give only a few concessions. The rethoric from the left coalition party Syriza is likely to continue to be fiercely against the EU as it is aiming to become the biggest party and get 50 bonus mandates for this.
- We look at three different post-election scenarios. ...
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Exclusive: South Korea poised to halt Iran oil imports from July: sources
(Reuters) - South Korea will effectively become the first of Iran's major Asian customers to halt oil purchases from July 1, when a European Union insurance ban will prevent further imports.
South Korea's largest oil refiner SK Energy (096770.KS) will stop Iranian oil imports after the ban takes effect, two sources with direct knowledge of the matter said on Monday.
Last month, industry sources said the only other South Korean refinery that buys Iranian crude, Hyundai Oilbank, would stop imports from June.
Iran exports most of its 2.2 million barrels of crude per day to Asia, home to its four biggest buyers China, India, Japan and South Korea.
But U.S. and EU sanctions aimed at halting Iran's nuclear program by reducing its oil revenues have made purchases difficult, with the impending ...
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Asia Session: Wen Steals The Spotlight From The G8 Summit
The dollar and the yen were lower across the board as Chinese Premier Wen spurred hopes of more growth stimulating measures from Beijing. At the same time, equity markets were lifted by the risk-on sentiment, but gains were limited by lingering fears about a possible Greek exit from the euro.
Furthermore, the G8 summit over the weekend failed to provide any guidance for investors, with those in attendance simply repeating well used comments about keeping the Eurozone intact and ensuring Greece doesn’t fall off a cliff. It now appears the countries in attendance are renewing calls for the larger and healthier Eurozone nations, like Germany, to assist their struggling neighbour countries, which comes at a time when debt markets appear to be questioning the health of Italy and Spain. Yet, ...
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Weekly Economic and Financial Commentary : 19/05/2012
U.S. Review
To QE3 or Not To QE3: That is the Question
- Some market participants are beginning to speculate about another round of quantitative easing. Although recent growth indicators have not been particularly stellar, the economy is still growing. Moreover, core CPI inflation in the neighborhood of 2 percent means that the threshold for more QE is relatively high.
- Overall, indicators were positive during the week. Housing starts increased by 2.6 percent in April, the Empire Manufacturing index improved to 17.09 in May from a 6.56 print in April and retail sales printed a 0.1 percent increase in April, in line with expectations.
To QE3 or Not To QE3: That is the Question
QE3 seems to have more lives that a cat; it comes back into the forefront of the U.S. economy discussion ...
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Dukascopy Morning Forex Overview : 05/16/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
"Germany is holding up the rest of the euro zone”"
- Nick Kounis, head of macroeconomic research at ABN Amro
Germany helped the Eurozone avoid its second recession in three years. Overall gross domestic product stagnated in the first three months of 2012, compared to the previous quarter, Eurostat data showed on Tuesday.
USD
"There’s a lot of slack in the economy"
- Scott Brown, chief economist at Raymond James & Associates Inc.
Inflation in the U.S. stagnated in April, restrained by a decline in energy costs. The core consumer price index, which excludes food and energy costs, rose 0.2 per cent, showed Bureau of Labor Statistics data on Tuesday.
GBP
"March's UK trade figures showed a bit of an improvement, although the external sector still looks likely to ...
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Dukascopy Afternoon Forex Overview : 04/11/2012
Dukascopy Fundamental Analysis
EUR
European stocks declined as company earnings missed estimates, talks on forming a Greek government entered a fifth day and JPMorgan Chase & Co. posted a $2 billion trading loss. Asian shares and U.S. futures fell.
USD
Wholesale prices in the U.S. fell in April for the first time in four months, led by a decline in fuel costs that signals inflation may cool. The producer price index dropped 0.2 percent after no change in March, Labor Department figures showed today in Washington.
GBP
Britons turned gloomier last month as a slump in construction pointed to an even deeper recession and producers ramped up prices, highlighting the long and difficult road back to economic health.
CHF
Swiss stocks fell for the seventh day, heading for the biggest weekly ...
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Canada's Economy Turns the Hiring Machine Back on
Canada's Economy Turns the Hiring Machine Back on
-58,200 jobs created in April 2012, beating the consensus forecast for a 10,000 increase.
- Unemployment rate inched up to 7.3% from 7.2% in March as the labour force grew by 72,500.
-April marked the second monthly increase in employment and boosted the tally of job gains so far this year to 140,000 or an average monthly gain of 35,000 jobs. This result beat the 29,000 average monthly increase recorded in early 2011 and far exceeds the 8,000 per month pace recorded in the next eight months of that year. This stepped up pace of job creation is more consistent with an economy that grew at an above-potential 2.5% rate last year and is on track to grow at a 1.8% pace in the first quarter of 2012. The weaker performance in first- ...
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Germany To The Rescue?
This is the fifth day without a firm government in place for Greece; if a coalition is not found soon then we could be heading back to the polls, which open up the possibility of a prolonged period of Greek political instability. There was some hope this morning of the Conservatives forming a coalition with the Socialists and other moderate pro-bailout parties that would have a mandate to govern until 2014. This helped to lift the euro from its daily lows; however for a sustained rally in risk we need to get a firm commitment that a 'moderate' pro-European government will take the reins of power in Athens. Unless that happens then the markets are likely to remain jittery.
Mixed signals
The markets are particularly cloudy today. Some bullish reversal patterns that formed yesterday were ...
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Dukascopy Morning Forex Overview : 10/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
"The real concern isn’t about Greece, it’s about the euro and whether it breaks up -- that is key."
- Mark Tinker, a fund manager at AXA Framlington Investment EUR Management
European stocks declined on Wednesday as investors awaited resolution of Greek coalition talks and yields on Spanish 10-year bonds rose above 6 per cent.
USD
"Certainly as a result of the elections in Greece, the odds of a default and an exit from the euro have increased."
- James Dunigan, chief investment officer for PNC Wealth Management
U.S. wholesale inventories rose in March at a slowest pace since November, Commerce Department data showed on Wednesday.
GBP
"Consumers, struggling to balance their household budgets, remain reluctant to spend..."
- Stephen Robertson, BRC director ...
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