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Germany Expands 0.5% in the First Quarter
Germany released growth data for the first quarter ending in March, where the final gross domestic product figures confirmed the expansion in the largest economy in the euro zone, where over quarterly basis the economy expanded in line with projections by 0.5%, recovering from the previous contraction of 0.2%.
Over annual basis, the non-seasonally adjusted indexes confirmed the 1.7% growth rate in the first quarter compared with the previous expansion of 1.5%, while the working-day adjusted index showed that the economy expanded in line with estimates by 1.2% in the relative period.
The German growth was protected by the unexpected expansion in exports and private consumption, where demand for German exports increased in the quarter, supporting the index to expand beyond expectations by ...
Title:
Dukascopy Afternoon Forex Overview : 23/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
German bunds rose on worries that European leaders will struggle to resolve the euro zone debt crisis during tonight's European summit. David Schnautz of Commerzbank AG in London thinks that Europe is unlikely to solve key topics and will probably disappoint the market. The 5-year bund lost 5 bp to 0.47 percent at 10:49 GMT after tumbling to 0.461 percent, the lowest since 1990, when Bloomberg began gathering data.
USD
Crude oil futures declined in Asian session on Wednesday as Iran is ready to invite nuclear inspectors, the move that may ease oil import sanctions. Light, sweet crude oil futures for July delivery traded at 91.27 US Dollars per barrel, retreating by 0.63% from the last session's high of 91.72 US Dollars per barrel.
GBP
Today the minutes of the ...
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Risky trade getting hammered
Higher yielders remained under pressure as uncertainty continues to surround markets. The lack of assurance of an Imperative action on Greece from the euro leaders in their informal summit today makes things further vague for the destiny of the risky trade. While markets lack a conclusive expectation for the outcome of the summit majors look skeptical around key support levels.
During a teleconference earlier today, the Eurogroup Working Group (EWG); which consists of the officials preparing the meetings of finance minister, and form the board of the ESF as well, agreed that euro zone countries must consider and prepare for the consequences of a Greece exit. The move could have further negative impact on the common currency.
While Later today, the finance ministers are expected to unveil ...
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OECD fears euro woe to snap brittle world recovery
(Reuters) - The United States and Japan are leading a fragile developed world recovery that could be blown off course if Europe fails to contain the damage from its problem debtor states, the OECD said on Tuesday.
It urged euro zone leaders to embrace all options for tackling the crisis, potentially including common bonds to go with the common currency.
In its twice-yearly economic outlook, the Paris-based Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development forecast that global growth would ease to 3.4 percent this year from 3.6 percent in 2011, before accelerating to 4.2 percent in 2013, in line with its last estimates from late November.
"The global economic outlook is still cloudy," OECD Secretary General Angel Gurria told reporters.
"At first sight the prospects for the global ...
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Markets Hold Ground, Awaiting Central Banks to Move
Taking a general look at markets before the end of this week, we can see that the bearishness started to lose momentum as traders are speculating now what tools Central Banks might provide to revive the slowing pace of recovery, especially the European Central Bank amid the current political instability in Greece, the confirmed recession in Spain and Italy and the deepening debt crisis.
Moreover, investors are still worried and concerned regarding the general trend in markets, where after the Federal Reserve reassured that a slowing recovery in the U.S. might trigger another round of quantitative easing, volatility dominated markets as predicting the coming moves became highly uncertain as Politicians failed to calm markets and the fueled debt crisis, leaving policymakers with a difficult ...
Title:
Dukascopy Morning Forex Overview : 05/17/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
"We expect euro-region inflation to normalize in 2013"
- Michael Schubert, an economist at Commerzbank AG
Inflation in the seventeen nation bloc eased to 2.6 per cent in March from 2.7 per cent the previous month, said the European Union’s statistics office in Luxembourg on Wednesday.
USD
"Uncertainty about Greece and the effects a potential exit out of the euro would have on Europe, the global economy and the financial system in general is driving investors out of stocks into safe havens"
- Markus Huber, head of German sales trading at ETX Capital
The Standard & Poor's 500 lost 0.44%, or 5.86 points, to 1,324.80. The Dow Jones Industrial Average declined by 0.26%, or 33.45 points, to 12,598.55.
GBP
Unemployment figures are a "welcome step in the right ...
Title:
Higher Yielding Currencies Maintain Bearish Trend
Higher Yielding Currencies Maintain Bearish Trend
Higher yielding currencies, namely the EUR and AUD, remained bearish during European trading yesterday, as fears that Greece will have to leave the euro-zone led to risk aversion in the marketplace. Investors are now worried about what the possible effects of a Greek exit from the euro-zone would be for other indebted countries, including Spain and Italy. Today, traders will want to note that there is a bank holiday in France, Germany and Switzerland. That being said, news out of the US may lead to market volatility. The Unemployment Claims figure and Philly Fed Manufacturing Index are both forecasted to show US economic growth. If true, the USD could see gains during the afternoon session.
Economic News
USD - Manufacturing Data Could ...
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U.K. Unexpectedly Surprises Markets with Upbeat Jobs Report
The sentiment improved today after the United Kingdom provided markets with the jobs report, where unemployment has unexpectedly dropped in the three months ending in March, raising optimism that the "balanced budget" previously provided by the Chancellor of Exchequer, George Osborne, might have a positive impact on the royal economy and the labor market as well, despite speculations joblessness will peak 8.7% this year before falling again.
Unemployment in the United Kingdom unexpectedly fell to 8.2% from the previous of 8.3%, beating estimates of 8.4%, the thing that raised positivity in the market, supporting the sterling pound to erase most of the losses incurred earlier today; however, the sentiment is still mixed after Greeks found no common grounds regarding the creation of the ...
Title:
Euro crippled by Greek political turmoil
What’s new:
Forex: Euro, risk currencies tumble on worries over Greece
Global Markets: Stock markets plummet on political turmoil in Greece
Greece: Greece set for new elections as President fails to forge coalition
Japan: BOJ may lower interest paid at cash held with central bank; USD/JPY
United States: CPI as expected at 2.3% y/y, FOMC minutes due today
United Kingdom: BoE Quarterly inflation report scheduled for 11:30 CET
Forex rates in Asia and Indices:
Low High Change
EUR/USD 1.2683 1.2738 -0.26 %
USD/CHF 0.943 0.9471 -0.26 %
GBP/USD 1.5949 1.5999 -0.19 %
USD/JPY 80.16 80.45 -0.28 %
EUR/CHF 1.2010 1.20127 0.00 %
EUR/JPY 101.91 102.38 -0.00 %
Dow Jones ...
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