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Common Currency EndedTitle:
Greek Debt Crisis: Answers to Frequently Asked Questions
Highlights
- An acceleration in deposit withdrawals, combined with the prospect of an anti-austerity party winning the next election, has brought to the fore concerns about a potential Greek exit from the euro zone.
- Our base case assumption is that under the most likely scenario, the Greek election will lead to a government that sticks to an EU/IMF program, even if the terms are renegotiated.
- However, we do believe that Greece needs a further restructuring of its debt and we do think the country will ultimately exit the euro - we're just not convinced that Europe is ready for this to happen at the moment.
- If an accident does occur and Greece does leave the euro in the near term, it would have global financial ramifications that could range from severe to catastrophic. ...
Title:
Euro Rebound Short-Lived
Sunrise Market Commentary
- Fixed Income: Profit taking continued, but now concluded?
- The profit taking on global core bond markets continued in the run-up to tonight's informal EU-Summit. Spanish and Italian spreads decreased significantly but yields remain at elevated levels. Today, the eco calendar is again thin and trading will again be driven by sentiment.
- Currencies: Euro rebound short-lived On
- Tuesday, the euro came again under pressure even as the global context was not that negative. Sentiment on risk was constructive and intra-EMU spreads narrowed, but all this didn't prevent investors to use any upticks in the single currency to further reduce exposure. The key 1.2642/24 support is again coming within reach.
The Sunrise Headlines
- In the final hour of ...
Title:
Although Informal, Eyes Are Still On EU Summit As Euro Sinks
The tension is gripping markets still with the uncertainty over the stability in Europe and expectations for a Greek euro exit. The common currency is still trading sharply lower as hope dims ahead of the informal EU summit in Brussels today, where previous hopes for any action evaporated as Germany confirmed that its stance did not drastically change!
Investors are still pushing the euro lower amid fear that Greece might be forced to default and exit the euro after the inclusive May 06 elections confirmed the wide rejection to the deep austerity measures. The market still sees high risks that the June 17 election might bring anti-austerity parties into the lead that will opt against austerity and refuse the bailout terms as Syriza did and that will cost Greece its membership.
Investors ...
Title:
Facebook IPO Fails to Make a Dent in the Marketplace
Following weeks of speculation regarding how Facebook's debut on the New York Stock Exchange would turn out, investors were mildly disappointed with the social media site's performance on Friday night. Facebook closed out the week at 37.96, slightly below its opening price. What direction Facebook takes from here is a hotly debated topic among market analysts. Some are warning that the site may be overvalued already, and Friday's disappointing performance could be a sign of things to come. That being said, any moves by Facebook to expand its already massive subscribership could generate excitement in the marketplace which could help boost the value of this site.
Economic News
USD - Dollar Comes off 4-Month High vs. Euro
The US dollar turned bearish against most of its main currency ...
Title:
Euro bounces off 4-month low, but remains under pressure
(Reuters) - The euro extended its rebound from last week's four-month low on Monday but investors remained concerned over financial turmoil in Greece and Spain, drawing little comfort from a broad G8 pledge to take steps to fight the euro zone's debt crisis.
The common currency rose on short-covering after speculators piled up a record amount of bets against it, according to data from a U.S. financial watchdog released late last week.
"We are entering a consolidation phase with regard to the euro. It will not be known for a while whether Greece will stay in the euro or not with a Greek election a few weeks away," said Minori Uchida, chief analyst at the Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ.
"The market may show some minor reaction to Greek opinion polls... but it is hard to sell the euro in ...
Title:
Euro rallies from 4-month low versus dollar
The euro rallied from a four-month low against the dollar on Friday as investors pared bets against the single currency after a more than 3 percent drop this month, but concerns about Greece and Spain were likely to keep it under pressure.
Positioning ahead of the weekend meeting of the Group of 8 major industrialized nations and technical support also helped, traders said, as the euro approached its January low of $1.2623. Gains accelerated after a wave of stops were triggered in the euro's grind higher.
Despite Friday's rebound, investors preferred the relative safety of the U.S. dollar and the Japanese yen as worries about Europe persisted after Moody's cut the credit ratings of 16 Spanish banks late on Thursday.
Some traders said investors were wary of placing bets ahead of the ...
Title:
Speculators dollar longs hit 4-year high: CFTC
Currency speculators increased bets in favor of the U.S. dollar to the highest level since at least mid-2008, according to data from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission released on Friday.
The value of the dollar's net long position rose to $28.52 billion in the week ended May 15, from $20.95 billion the previous week.
Short euro positions climbed to 173,869 contracts, the highest on record, from 143,984 a week earlier.
The euro zone common currency has sold off in recent weeks as concerns about Spain's banking system and political chaos in Greece threw doubts on whether Europe can commit to austerity plans crucial to tackling the region's debt crisis.
The euro hit a 4 month low of $1.2640 on Friday.
To be short a currency is to bet it will decline in value, while being long is a ...
Title:
Brent hits 2012 low on Europe turmoil, weak U.S. data
Brent crude slipped below $107 per barrel on Friday to its lowest in 2012 as a worsening euro zone crisis and weak U.S. economic data raised fears of a global slowdown that could dent oil demand.
Worries about the euro zone, already roiled by Greek political chaos, mounted as Spain slipped into a recession, pushing the euro to a four-month low while sluggish data out of the United States sent worrisome signs about a still-fragile recovery at the world's largest economy and top oil consumer.
Brent crude was down 64 cents to $106.85 by 2:47 a.m. EDT after slipping to its lowest level for the year at $106.40. Front-month Brent is on track to post its largest three-week fall since May 2011.
U.S. crude was down 58 cents to $91.98, heading for its largest three-week fall since August 2011.
" ...
Title:
Brent steady above $107, heads for weekly fall as Europe weighs
Brent crude held steady above $107 per barrel on Friday, but prices were headed for a third straight weekly drop as a worsening euro zone crisis and weak U.S. economic data raised fears of a global slowdown that could dent oil demand.
Worries about the euro zone, already roiled by a Greek political chaos, mounted as Spain slipped into a recession, while sluggish data out of the United States sent worrisome signs about a still-fragile recovery at the world's largest economy and top oil consumer.
Brent crude edged up 7 cents to $107.56 a barrel by 11:34 p.m. EDT after slipping to as low as $106.62. Front-month Brent is on track to post its largest three-week fall since May 2011 after settling at the lowest level in 2012 on Thursday.
U.S. crude inched up 3 cents to $92.59, but is still ...
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