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Commodity Markets In The WeeksTitle:
EUR/USD Cedes The 1.2624 Support
Sunrise Market Commentary
- Fixed Income: Risk off pushes German bond yields to new lows
- Risk off sentiment pushed core bonds higher and non-core bond yield spreads re-widened substantially. The Summit didn't bring new information, but another hole found in Spain's regions' budgets might get attention today.
- Currencies EUR/USD cedes the 1.2624 support
- On Wednesday, the EMU debt crisis was again omnipresent. Markets feared that the EU leaders wouldn't be able to take decisive action to address the debt crisis. Extreme risk aversion pushed EUR/USD to a new low for 2012. The losses of EUR/GBP were more contained, as poor UK retail sales and rather soft BoE minutes kept the door open for more policy stimulation.
The Sunrise Headlines
- In the final hour of trading, US ...
Title:
Greek Debt Crisis: Answers to Frequently Asked Questions
Highlights
- An acceleration in deposit withdrawals, combined with the prospect of an anti-austerity party winning the next election, has brought to the fore concerns about a potential Greek exit from the euro zone.
- Our base case assumption is that under the most likely scenario, the Greek election will lead to a government that sticks to an EU/IMF program, even if the terms are renegotiated.
- However, we do believe that Greece needs a further restructuring of its debt and we do think the country will ultimately exit the euro - we're just not convinced that Europe is ready for this to happen at the moment.
- If an accident does occur and Greece does leave the euro in the near term, it would have global financial ramifications that could range from severe to catastrophic. ...
Title:
LME copper gains on soft dollar; Europe eyed
(Reuters) - London copper rose on Monday after last week's steep losses, as a weak dollar, technical buying and a pickup in Chinese spot demand supported prices, although worries about the euro zone debt crisis capped gains.
Hopes for stimulus from top consumer China after the country's premier called for additional efforts to support growth on Sunday proved to be a bright spot for copper, which has shed about 9 percent in London over the last three weeks.
But market participants warned the upward momentum may be short-lived, given the chaos in Europe, where political problems threaten to drive Greece out of the euro zone and indebted Spanish banks keep their country's borrowing costs high.
Three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange rose 1.2 percent to $7,742 a tonne by 0713 GMT, ...
Title:
Euro gets respite, but stays under pressure
(Reuters) - The euro traded firm above recent four-month low on Monday as some investors who had bet on the currency falling booked profits, but deep-seated concerns about financial turmoil in Greece and Spain will keep it under pressure.
The common currency earned respite from this month's relentless bout of selling, as speculators who had piled up a record amount of bets against it cut some of those positions.
The euro was steady at $1.2781, well above Friday's four-month low of $1.2642 struck on trading platform EBS. The euro has managed to stay above its 2012 low of $1.2624, a major support, a break of which would take the single currency back down to levels not seen since August 2010.
Traders cited sell-side stops above $1.2835 with plenty of offers ahead of that level, all of ...
Title:
Dukascopy Morning Forex Overview : 21/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
"Fears of a Greek exit from the euro zone and the negative consequences from that are prevailing"
- Ben Kwong, KGI Asia
European stocks edged lower after Fitch downgraded Greece’s credit rating to ‘CCC’, implying that the country is vulnerable and highly dependent on favourable economic conditions to fulfill its financial obligations.
USD
"If there were scope to do another twist of some type it would be prudent to consider it, especially in the scenario where things are worse and the Fed feels like it needs to move"
- Nathan Sheets, Citigroup Inc.
Fed policymakers might potentially launch another round of Operation Twist rather than a direct asset purchases in case of increased risks or further weakening of the US economy.
GBP
"We must work together to give ...
Title:
Brent rises toward $108, China stimulus hopes aid
(Reuters) - Brent crude rose towards $108 per barrel on Monday, recovering from a 2012 low, on hopes China could take steps to stimulate growth and lift fuel demand at the world's second largest oil user, although concerns about the euro zone crisis capped gains.
China's premier called for additional efforts to support growth on Sunday, while Goldman Sachs said world oil demand was growing despite recent weak economic data. The comments proved to be a bright spot for oil markets, battered in the past weeks by fears Greece's political turmoil could spread to other countries in Europe.
Brent crude rose for the first time in four sessions, adding 68 cents to $107.82 a barrel by 0620 GMT. Front-month prices slipped to a 2012 low on Friday. In the last three weeks, Brent has shed almost 11 ...
Title:
Crude down, hits biggest 3-week loss since Aug '11
(Reuters) - Crude oil futures fell more than 1 percent on Friday, down for the sixth straight session, as worsening problems in Greece and Spain raised worries of contagion in the euro zone.
Oil futures fell on the drumbeat from global stock markets, which erased the year's gains as investors pared holdings for safe-haven assets such as gold, on growing concerns about the euro zone debt crisis.
On Wall Street, equities dipped after a messy opening-day trade for social networking darling Facebook (FB.O) failed to lift the spirits of investors. .N
U.S. gasoline futures bucked the day's trend in energy markets, gaining slightly after six days of losses and climbing above its 200-day moving average after falling below that level on Thursday for the first time since February.
Oil investors ...
Title:
Signs that Bearish Sentiment May be Wearing a Bit Thin
Signs that Bearish Sentiment May be Wearing a Bit Thin
The Facebook IPO today has temporarily knocked Europe from the headlines as the world's eyes are focused on the Nasdaq at 1430 GMT/ 0930 ET when Facebook will start trading for the first time. CNBC anchors have been wearing honorary hoodies to mark the occasion so it must be big. I still find it hard to reconcile how FB is worth $140 billion when the site is used by both advertisers and cyber bullies, but perhaps I'm missing the point. The point today is that it is the third largest IPO in the US ever, Zuckerberg will be a gaszillionaire and U2's Bono is likely to earn $1.5bn from his initial $90 million investment. Facebook might not change the trading world, but it could change the Forbes rich list quite dramatically.
Could ...
Title:
YouTradeFX Weekly Market Analysis : 05/18/2012
Fundamental News
Today’s highlights:
· German PPI (MoM) (GER, 07:00 GMT)
· Italian Industrial Sales (MoM) (ITA, 09:00 GMT)
· Spanish Trade Balance (SPAIN, 11:30 GMT)
· Core CPI (MoM) (CAD, 13:30 GMT)
· ECRI Weekly Annualized (WoW) ( U.S, 15:30 GMT)
The Philly Fed Index tumbled to a negative 5.8 in May from a positive 8.5 in April and Conference Board's leading economic index edged down by 0.1 percent in April following a 0.3 percent increase in March, according to an official report released yesterday. While, the Labor Department figures said that the unemployment claims was at a seasonally adjusted level of 370,000 for the week, unchanged from the previous week's revised figure.
Greece’s credit rating was downgraded one level by Fitch ...
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