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Claims Showed The MarketTitle:
EUR/USD Cedes The 1.2624 Support
Sunrise Market Commentary
- Fixed Income: Risk off pushes German bond yields to new lows
- Risk off sentiment pushed core bonds higher and non-core bond yield spreads re-widened substantially. The Summit didn't bring new information, but another hole found in Spain's regions' budgets might get attention today.
- Currencies EUR/USD cedes the 1.2624 support
- On Wednesday, the EMU debt crisis was again omnipresent. Markets feared that the EU leaders wouldn't be able to take decisive action to address the debt crisis. Extreme risk aversion pushed EUR/USD to a new low for 2012. The losses of EUR/GBP were more contained, as poor UK retail sales and rather soft BoE minutes kept the door open for more policy stimulation.
The Sunrise Headlines
- In the final hour of trading, US ...
Title:
The Weekly Bottom Line : 19/05/2012
The Weekly Bottom Line : 19/05/2012
HIGHLIGHTS OF THE WEEK
United States
- Global economic concerns ratcheted up this week. Widespread discussion of a Greek exit continued, Spanish banks faced rating downgrades and periphery sovereign debt yields moved higher.
- Financial markets have responded to these global worries with increased risk aversion. The S&P is poised to end the week 3% lower, and 10-year treasuries are yielding just 1.7%.
- U.S. economic data has proved somewhat more encouraging, but growth is still struggling to breakout beyond a moderate pace. This has kept the possibility of additional monetary stimulus alive even if the threshold remains quite high.
Canada
- Recent economic indicators are showing a resurgence of strength in the Canadian economy. Strong ...
Title:
Europe Steps Closer to the Cliff Edge
The Week Ahead
Highlights
Europe steps closer to the cliff edge
Can the USD extend its rally?
Bank of Japan may extend maturity of its bond buys
Pricing in more QE from the Bank of England
Europe steps closer to the cliff edge
It was a pivotal week for the Eurozone after Greece announced that it was heading back to the polls after the top three parities failed to form a coalition government. So now Greece is leaderless, there is a caretaker government in place but it won't be able to enforce the austerity required to get the next tranche of bailout funds necessary for Greece to avoid running out of money in July. So as time runs out for Greece the European authorities have been clear: the upcoming election is a referendum on euro-membership. Either vote for pro bailout ...
Title:
EUR/USD closes in on key support at 1.2625
MORNING BRIEFING: EUR/USD closes in on key support at 1.2625
What’s new:
Asia: Risk aversion continues overnight in Asia on back of global concerns. EUR/JPY approaching 100 and MSCI Asia Pacific has erased its 2012 gains.
United States: Philly Fed showed a massive negative surprise, increasing speculation for QE. USD continues to be bid. EUR/USD closing in on key support. S&P 500 in 4-month lows.
Europe: Indices all in negative as EU debt crisis and Spanish rates escalates. Greece downgraded by Fitch and Moody’s downgraded 16 Spanish banks.
Comments:
The Euro continued on the offer for the ninth day in a row against the USD as the worries of a Greek exit from the Euro zone is increasing. Since the beginning of May, the EUR/USD has fallen more than 4% and should the trend continue, we ...
Title:
Anxious investors send S&P lower for fifth day
U.S. stocks hit a four-month low on Thursday as rising Spanish bond yields increased investor anxiety over that country's banks and another round of weak data undermined hopes for U.S. economic recovery.
Growing worries over developments in the euro zone and lackluster economic data pushed the S&P's losing streak to five consecutive days. The index, which closed at a level not seen since mid-January, has now relinquished more than half of its gains from the first quarter.
"There is not a lot of interest in the equity market," said Jason Weisberg, managing director at Seaport Securities Corp in New York. "The overhang with Europe is so heavy, people are tired of playing whack-a-mole, and their portfolios are the mole."
The Dow Jones industrial average .DJI dropped 156.06 points, or 1.24 ...
Title:
Dukascopy Afternoon Forex Overview : 05/17/2012
Dukascopy Fundamental Analysis
EUR
Mario Draghi, the ECB President, insisted on Greece to stay in the Euro bloc during his public speech on Wednesday regarding the possibility of Greece withdrawal from the Eurozone. Nevertheless, according to him, the ECB will stick to its anti-inflation mandate. The ECB President's comments came after Irish and Belgian central banks reported that Greek exit would not be disastrous for the Eurozone.
USD
Jobless claims in the U.S. didn't live up to the expectations that it will decrease by 5K and remained unchanged, at 370K level, in the week from 6th to 12th of May. Amount of people on rolling unemployment claims increased by around 18K while the number of people on prolonged payments decreased by around 45K. 31 out of 52 states or territory's reported ...
Title:
Gold off 4-1/2 month low on increased physical buying
Gold rose more than 1 percent on Thursday, bouncing off a 4-1/2 month low, as weaker prices attracted new physical buyers, but gains were likely to be limited as the euro was undermined by fears of a deepening debt crisis in Greece.
Spot gold rose 1 percent to $1,553.80 an ounce by 09.07 a.m. EDT, from $1,538.30 late in New York on Wednesday, when it plunged to $1,527 - its weakest since December 29.
The precious metal rose to a high of $1,557.56 earlier, helped by the approaching expiry of gold options in the COMEX futures market.
U.S. gold futures hit a high of $1,557.90 an ounce and were at $1,554.30, up 1.1 percent. The contract had plunged to a multi-month low of $1,526.70 on Wednesday.
Gold, traditionally a safe-haven asset, has been moving in tandem with riskier assets such as ...
Title:
Greece + Spain
Majors resumed the bearish tone against the greenback after a slight recovery with the start of the trading session, where the U.S dollar headed to new highs and continues to bag meaty gains against its major counterparts. The overall scene is clearly derived by Greek jitters, while a care-taker government leads the country until June’s fresh elections. It seems that markets have already started the pricing process of a Greece exit; if that is true, the selloff we have seen is just the beginning.
Spain weighed on markets as well, the country dipped technicaly into recession as the economy contracted by 0.3% in the first quarter which is the second consecutive contraction. while Moody`s rating agency plans an immenent yp to 21 Spanish banks downgrades according to Spanish newspaper ...
Title:
Dollar Approaching 2012 Highs
Dollar Approaching 2012 Highs
USD continues to trade mostly firmer against the major currencies as risk sentiment remains negative. European equities are trading in the red after the ECB paused lending to some Greek banks until they recapitalize and US stock futures are marginally lower at time of writing. The dollar index is nearing the highs of the year around 81.78 which occurred in mid-Jan and we would expect to see this level act as near term resistance as dollar longs may look to take profit. FOMC minutes released yesterday indicated that members expect the recovery to "gradually gain strength" however if it falters, easing may be needed. The UST yield curve is relatively flat today with 10-year yields currently unchanged. Weekly jobless claims were stable at 370k which was the same ...
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