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YouTradeFX Daily Market Analysis : 24/05/2012
Fundamental News
Today’s highlights:
- German GDP (QoQ) (GER, 07:00 GMT)
- French Manufacturing PMI (FRA, 07:00 GMT)
- German Manufacturing PMI (GER, 08:00 GMT)
- German Ifo Business Climate Index (GER, 09:00 GMT)
- GDP (QoQ) + Business Investment (QoQ) + BBA Mortgage Approvals (GB, 09:30 GMT)
- Initial Jobless Claims + Core Durable Goods Orders (MoM) (U.S, 13:30 GMT)
- ECB President Draghi Speaks (EUR, 14:00 GMT)
- Treasury Secretary Geithner Speaks (U.S., 19:00 GMT)
Demand for new U.S. homes rose more than forecast in April, indicating residential real estate may contribute to economic growth for the first time in seven years. Purchases rose to a 343,000 annual rate, up 3.3 percent from a revised 332,000 in March, the Commerce Department reported today in ...
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EUR/USD Falls to 21-Month Low
The EUR/USD fell as low as 1.2614 yesterday, a 21-month low, after investors grew increasingly concerned regarding Greece's fate in the euro-zone and shifted their funds to safe-haven assets. The currency pair staged a mild upward correction later in the day, eventually stabilizing around the 1.2655 level. Turning to today, euro traders will want to pay attention to several potentially significant news events. Specifically, the German Manufacturing PMI and Ifo Business Climate may help the euro recoup some of yesterday's losses if they come in above expectations.
Economic News
USD - Dollar Sees Significant Gains amid Risk Aversion
The US dollar moved up against several of its main currency rivals yesterday, as ongoing fears regarding Greece's future in the euro-zone have led to risk ...
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London copper inches above 4-month lows; euro zone weighs
London copper peeked above four-month lows on Friday on short-covering and signs that Greeks are warming to pro-austerity parties, allaying some fears the country could leave the euro zone.
Still, worries about Spain's finances and reports of Chinese copper inflows onto the London Metal Exchange (LME) will likely cap gains in the session.
Three-month LME copper inched up 0.4 percent to $7,682 a metric ton (1.1023 tons) by 00:25 a.m. EDT, after closing almost flat in the previous session.
The most active August copper contract on the Shanghai Futures Exchange (ShFE) fell 0.3 percent to 55,580 yuan ($8,800) a tonne, a partial rebound after a steeper fall at the open.
The Shanghai contract rose 1.9 percent on Thursday, much more than its London counterpart, after diving on Wednesday to ...
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Dollar Approaching 2012 Highs
Dollar Approaching 2012 Highs
USD continues to trade mostly firmer against the major currencies as risk sentiment remains negative. European equities are trading in the red after the ECB paused lending to some Greek banks until they recapitalize and US stock futures are marginally lower at time of writing. The dollar index is nearing the highs of the year around 81.78 which occurred in mid-Jan and we would expect to see this level act as near term resistance as dollar longs may look to take profit. FOMC minutes released yesterday indicated that members expect the recovery to "gradually gain strength" however if it falters, easing may be needed. The UST yield curve is relatively flat today with 10-year yields currently unchanged. Weekly jobless claims were stable at 370k which was the same ...
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U.K. Unexpectedly Surprises Markets with Upbeat Jobs Report
The sentiment improved today after the United Kingdom provided markets with the jobs report, where unemployment has unexpectedly dropped in the three months ending in March, raising optimism that the "balanced budget" previously provided by the Chancellor of Exchequer, George Osborne, might have a positive impact on the royal economy and the labor market as well, despite speculations joblessness will peak 8.7% this year before falling again.
Unemployment in the United Kingdom unexpectedly fell to 8.2% from the previous of 8.3%, beating estimates of 8.4%, the thing that raised positivity in the market, supporting the sterling pound to erase most of the losses incurred earlier today; however, the sentiment is still mixed after Greeks found no common grounds regarding the creation of the ...
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Another mixed week for the superpower…
Ahead of the U.S elections we watch another mixed week be drown regarding the current economical conjuncture of the world`s leading economy with a worsened and widened trade deficit along with better labor and confidence data, yet the recovery is on a slow gradual pace and accordingly a full efficient healing is still far from being witnessed.
In fact throughout the week we watched mixed sentiments getting spread as on one hand the superpower`s trade gap widened more than forecasted on higher imports and on the other hand the country`s jobless claims cheerfully and unexpectedly declined faintly to confirm once again that the labor conditions are improving gradually but remain far from a full recovery and that the gap between imports and exports continue on being immense.
Actually the U.S ...
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EUR/GBP Testing 80.00 Barrier, As BoE Stops Printing Press
Sunrise Market Commentary
- Fixed Income: Largely uneventful session for core bonds
- Core bonds had an insignificant, technical and sentiment-driven session that left bond yields slightly higher in the close. Overnight, negative headline news on JP Morgan and Greece triggered a moderately strong opening of the Bund. Europe will be in the focus today with the publication of the Spanish banking plan and the EU spring forecasts.
- Currencies: EUR/GBP testing 80.00 barrier, as BoE stops printing press
- On Thursday, sentiment on risk turned slightly less negative, even without progress in the Greek debt/election crisis. Nevertheless, the decline in EUR/USD slowed. EUR/GBP reached a minor low just below 0.8000 as the BoE halted its program of asset purchases. For now, we see no ...
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Drop in jobless claims eases labor market fears
(Reuters) - The number of Americans submitting new applications for jobless benefits edged down last week, easing concerns the labor market was deteriorating after surprisingly weak employment growth in April.
Another report on Thursday showed the U.S. trade deficit widened in March, with exports surging to a record high and a rise in imports highlighting the economy's firming underlying demand.
Together, the reports indicated the economy remains on a moderate growth path, despite the softer jobs growth and signs the service sector slowed in April.
"The slowdown we have seen in economic activity and employment growth during in the past two months may be in the rear view mirror," said Millan Mulraine, senior macro strategist at TD Securities in New York.
New claims for state ...
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Copper pushes up despite weaker Chinese data
Copper rose for the first time in six sessions Thursday, recovering from the prior day's three-week low below $8,000 a tonne after a double-dose of upbeat data from the United States helped draw in buyers.
Copper rose in tandem with global equities, which were up for the first time in seven sessions, after data showing a fall in weekly claims for jobless benefits and a record surge in exports in March offset weak trade data from top copper consumer China.
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