ForexTribe is a french website mainly created to share graphic analysis and trade ideas on the Forex Forum.
Chart Are Showing This PairTitle:
Greek Political Impasse Leads to Euro Losses
The euro started off yesterday's trading session on a positive note following a better than expected German Prelim GDP figure which caused the EUR/USD to advance to 1.2868. That being said, the common currency came under pressure later in the day following another failed attempt by Greek politicians to form a new government, virtually guaranteeing new elections will take place next month. As a result, the euro fell as low as $1.2769 during the afternoon sessoin. Turning to today, traders will want to pay attention to the US FOMC Meeting Minutes, set to be released at 18:00 GMT. Any signs that the Federal Reserve is preparing for another round of quantitative easing could result in the greenback turning bearish.
Economic News
USD - US Manufacturing Data Sends USD/JPY Over 80.00
The ...
Title:
Dukascopy Morning Forex Overview : 11/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
"The overall manufacturing trend remains weak."
- Pierre-Olivier Beffy, chief economist at Exane BNP Paribas
French industrial production fell in March, said the national statistics office Insee on Thursday. Output contracted 0.9 per cent from February, when it gained 0.2 per cent.
USD
"It’s hard to get nervous that imports are rising."
- Dean Maki, chief U.S. economist at Barclays Capital Inc.
The number of Americans claiming for unemployment benefits fell to 367,000 in the week ended May 5 from 368,000 the week before, said the Department of Labor on Thursday.
GBP
"Our forecast is that they are done with QE, but you can’t rule out more later this year."
- Ross Walker, an economist at Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc
The Bank of England kept rates on hold ...
Title:
Dukascopy Afternoon Forex Overview : 04/09/2012
Dukascopy Fundamental Analysis
EUR
European stocks dropped for a second day, to the lowest level in almost four months, as investors awaited a resolution to the political impasse in Greece and as Spanish credit risk surged. The Stoxx Europe 600 Index (SXXP) lost 1.1 percent to 247.75 at 2:15 p.m. in London, the lowest since Jan. 13, as the euro weakened for an eighth day. The Stoxx 600 has tumbled 9 percent from this year’s high on March 16, trimming this year’s advance to 1.3 percent.
USD
U.S. stock futures retreated, indicating the Dow Jones Industrial Average will drop for a sixth straight day, as Greece’s political impasse intensified concern about a worsening of the European sovereign-debt crisis.
GBP
U.K. retail sales fell the most in more than a year last month as poor weather ...
Title:
Dukascopy Morning Forex Overview : 08/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
" show that despite the crisis in the euro area, Germany is growing and benefiting from a revival in international trade."
- Klaus Baader, senior economist at Societe Generale SA
German factory orders rose by more than forecast in March, a sign Europe’s largest economy is weathering the debt crisis.
USD
"From where we sit right now, we think the economy looks fundamentally stronger."
- Marisa Di Natale, an economist at Moody’s Analytics in West Chester
U.S. stocks closed mixed on Monday after Francois Hollande was elected as a French president and Greek voters turned to antibailout parties.
GBP
"… the challenging economic backdrop suggests that a significant acceleration in prices or activity is unlikely in the near term."
- Robert Gardner, Nationwide’s ...
Title:
Dukascopy Afternoon Forex Overview : 04/07/2012
Dukascopy Fundamental Analysis
EUR
France has elected new president, Francois Hollande who polled about 52% of the votes. Mr Hollande said that he is proud to return hope to people again. He also announced that he would attempt to rework deal regarding sovereign debt in the Euro Zone countries to promote economic expansion.
USD
The smalest payroll increase in last 6 months has not influenced the investors who still do not forecast another wave of recession in the US. Better housing and employment data has encouraged experts to believe that from the fundamental perspective the world's largest economy is on the path to recovery.
GBP
May 7 was a bank holiday in Great Britain.
CHF
The official SNB exchange rate for EUR/CHF is 1.2013 today; yield on 10-year Swiss Confederation bonds ...
Title:
Aussie felled by RBA cut, U.S. dollar heavy
(Reuters) - The Australian dollar fell sharply on Tuesday after the Reserve Bank of Australia slashed rates by a deeper-than-expected 50 basis points while soft data nudged the U.S. dollar to a fresh two-month low versus the yen.
A sharp fall in business activity in the U.S. Midwest combined with data on Monday showing Spain was in recession dented investor appetite for risk and supported the safe-haven yen, which also rose against the broadly weaker Aussie dollar.
Markets had been expecting a 25 basis point rate cut from the Australian central bank (RBA) and the surprise drove the Australian dollar down more than 1 percent to $1.0312 and to a three-month low near 82 yen.
The Aussie traded near a five-month low against sterling, which rose above A$1.5700 despite a weaker than expected ...
Title:
Dukascopy Afternoon Forex Overview : 27/04/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
Spain's credit rating was lowered by Standard & Poor's for a second time in 2012 on enduring worries the nation will have to apply additional fiscal backing to lenders as the economy shrinks. S&P cut its long term grade for Spain from A to BBB+ adding a negative outlook. Country's short term rating was lowered from A-1 to A-2, S&P agency reported on Thursday.
USD
Crude oil price declined from almost 4-week high in New York trade after S&P ratings agency cut Spain's sovereign credit rating, boosting concerns that further recession in Europe may halt demand for crude. Oil to be delivered in June lost USD 0.61, reaching USD 103.94 a barrel. June Brent oil gave up USD 0.49 and traded at USD 119.43 a barrel.
GBP
Today the Great Britain Pound extended its gains ...
Title:
ECB and Fed on the Sidelines
Forex News and Events:
Without the strong guiding hand of the Fed and ECB, EURUSD momentum will remain indecisive. FX traders are now conditioned to expect the heavy hand of the central banks and to be without that intervention, the pair and risky assets will be range-bound. Wednesday's FOMC meeting suggested that the majority of Fed officials are on hold, willing to simply monitor the US recovery. The statement reaffirmed the FOMC’s conditional commitment to leave policy at near-zero until at least late 2014. In addition, there seems to be little desire for extending Operation Twist or replacing it with any alternative stimulus. Given the choppy nature of incoming data we suspect that the Fed will be in a wait and see mode. But the guessing game will continue. Today’s GDP will provide ...
Title:
Risk Appetite Reverses
Forex News and Events:
What started out as a risk positive day has slowly reversed itself. The catalysis looks to have been the weak EC business and consumers surveys that suggested Europe remains in a gloomy economic state. The EC Economic Sentiment Indicator dropped from 94.5 to 92.8 showing a decline for the second consecutive month. The countries underlying studies showed a sharp drop in the Italian read while Germany also registered a lower read to 103.03 from 104.3. These numbers suggest that the recent pullback in economic data, including PMI reads, were not just a one off rather indications of a broader trend. The divergence between countries remains wide with the peripheral economies facing deep recessions. We all know that the key to this European crisis is growth and without it, ...
|