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Care Sector WasTitle:
Greek Debt Crisis: Answers to Frequently Asked Questions
Highlights
- An acceleration in deposit withdrawals, combined with the prospect of an anti-austerity party winning the next election, has brought to the fore concerns about a potential Greek exit from the euro zone.
- Our base case assumption is that under the most likely scenario, the Greek election will lead to a government that sticks to an EU/IMF program, even if the terms are renegotiated.
- However, we do believe that Greece needs a further restructuring of its debt and we do think the country will ultimately exit the euro - we're just not convinced that Europe is ready for this to happen at the moment.
- If an accident does occur and Greece does leave the euro in the near term, it would have global financial ramifications that could range from severe to catastrophic. ...
Title:
Canadian Shoppers Spring Back into Action in March
Canadian retail sales regained the ground lost in February, rising 0.4% in March. Sales were up an identical 0.4% in real terms, as warmer than usual weather moved forward many seasonal purchases.
The majority of retail sectors posted gains, and reflected the seasonal nature of purchases. Categories with notable increases included building and garden equipment (+1.8%), clothing and shoes (+1.3%), motor vehicles (+1.2%) and sporting goods, hobby, books and music (+1.9%). Interestingly, the increase in motor vehicles were not driven by cars, where we had already seen weak unit sales in March, but of “other vehicles” which would include seasonal purchases like boats, motorcycles and ATVs.
Sales excluding motor vehicles were up 0.1% in March. Areas of weakness included miscellaneous ...
Title:
Inertia Will Sink The Euro Again
The G8 Summit achieved very little in public which was no real surprise, but there was also an apparent lack of urgency surrounding the Euro-zone situation which was a much greater surprise given a sharp deterioration in the financial sector last week. Where was the urgency for fresh action to help support the Euro banking sector? The absence must surely indicate that Euro-zone and G8 leaders, while paying lip-service to the current strategy, have effectively moved on and are actively planning the next stage of the crisis.
Fear is likely to dominate in the short term and this is likely to keep strong defensive demand for the dollar and yen. In these circumstances, there is no real chance of a sustained Euro rally with 2012 lows likely to be seen. Bond markets will be watched very closely ...
Title:
Gold retreats as softer euro curbs rebound
(Reuters) - Gold eased a touch on Monday as a retreat in the euro arrested the metal's rebound from its 2012 lows, but prices remained supported near $1,600 an ounce as investors bet the metal's price correction had been overdone.
Spot gold was down 0.2 percent at $1,588.69 an ounce at 1220 GMT, while U.S. gold futures for June delivery were down $3.30 an ounce at $1,588.60.
Last week, gold fell to its lowest this year at $1,527 an ounce, before staging its biggest two-day rally since October as traders holding short positions rushed to cover.
"I suspect that what we saw last week was partly short covering, and that has helped us on the way up, with maybe a little bit of extra safe-haven interest," Mitsui Precious Metals analyst David Jollie said.
"In the next few weeks leading up to ...
Title:
Gold steadies as softer euro curbs rebound
(Reuters) - Gold steadied in Europe on Monday as a retreat in the euro arrested the metal's rebound from its 2012 lows, but prices remained supported near $1,600 an ounce as investors bet the metal's price correction had been overdone.
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Spot gold was at $1,591.50 an ounce at 0932 GMT against $1,592.00 late on Friday. U.S. gold futures for June delivery were down $1.30 an ounce at $1,590.60.
Last week, gold fell to its lowest this year at $1,527 an ounce, before staging its biggest two-day rally since October as traders holding short positions rushed to cover.
"I suspect that what we saw last week was partly short covering, and that has helped us on the way up, with maybe a little bit of extra safe-haven interest," Mitsui Precious Metals analyst David Jollie said.
"In the next few weeks ...
Title:
SunBirdFX Daily Market Analysis : 05/21/2012
www.sunbirdfx.com
The bearish momentum in Wall Street continued last week as indices shed 4%-5% during the week. The sharp declines were expected from the technical analysis point of view, since the main indices broke significant support in their daily charts, which we have analyzed and marked as key levels. The S&P 500 broke the support at 1350 points and reached the target we set at 1300 points, mainly because of the collapse of the financial sector. The volumes are increasing, which means that the sellers are gaining power, in spite improving economic data and the optimism that spread with Facebook trading on Friday. The three main indices are close to the annual opening levels as NASDAQ's next support is at 2400 points.
EUR/USD
We have been mentioning the support at 1.30 as a ...
Title:
Europe Steps Closer to the Cliff Edge
The Week Ahead
Highlights
Europe steps closer to the cliff edge
Can the USD extend its rally?
Bank of Japan may extend maturity of its bond buys
Pricing in more QE from the Bank of England
Europe steps closer to the cliff edge
It was a pivotal week for the Eurozone after Greece announced that it was heading back to the polls after the top three parities failed to form a coalition government. So now Greece is leaderless, there is a caretaker government in place but it won't be able to enforce the austerity required to get the next tranche of bailout funds necessary for Greece to avoid running out of money in July. So as time runs out for Greece the European authorities have been clear: the upcoming election is a referendum on euro-membership. Either vote for pro bailout ...
Title:
Euro Sell-Off Accelerates As Greece Will Hold Now Elections
Sunrise Market Commentary
- Fixed Income: Fresh elections in Greece further support core bonds
- German bund came off the contract highs at the start of the session on better German Q1 GDP data. The move didn't last long however and the announcement of fresh Greek elections marked an intraday U-turn. This morning, the German Bund future and US Note future once again reach new contract highs.
- Currencies: euro sell-off accelerates as Greece will hold now elections.
- On Tuesday morning it looked temporary that the euro might enjoy some breathing space as the German Q1 growth was much stronger than expected. However, the rebound had no momentum at all. The euro was again hammered as talks on the formation of the Greek government collapsed. Is the euro heading for a free fall? ...
Title:
Global shares sag as Greek turmoil saps risk appetite
Asian shares fell more than 3 percent, the biggest one-day drop in six months, and the dollar rose broadly on Wednesday after efforts to form a new government in Greece collapsed, fuelling fears that a second election in June could precipitate Athens' exit from the euro zone and deepen the bloc's debt crisis.
European shares were expected to extend losses as well, with financial spreadbetters predicting that major European markets .FTSE .FCHI .GDAXI would open down as much as 1 percent. U.S. stock futures were down 0.2 percent. .EU .L .N
Investors continued to reduce positions in riskier assets, leading to a fall of more than $1 in oil prices and a drop to a 4-month low for spot gold, while lifting the dollar which tends to be seen as safe haven in times of heightened uncertainty.
MSCI' ...
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