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Buying The Bonds Of Europe'sTitle:
The Weekly Bottom Line : 19/05/2012
The Weekly Bottom Line : 19/05/2012
HIGHLIGHTS OF THE WEEK
United States
- Global economic concerns ratcheted up this week. Widespread discussion of a Greek exit continued, Spanish banks faced rating downgrades and periphery sovereign debt yields moved higher.
- Financial markets have responded to these global worries with increased risk aversion. The S&P is poised to end the week 3% lower, and 10-year treasuries are yielding just 1.7%.
- U.S. economic data has proved somewhat more encouraging, but growth is still struggling to breakout beyond a moderate pace. This has kept the possibility of additional monetary stimulus alive even if the threshold remains quite high.
Canada
- Recent economic indicators are showing a resurgence of strength in the Canadian economy. Strong ...
Title:
Europe Steps Closer to the Cliff Edge
The Week Ahead
Highlights
Europe steps closer to the cliff edge
Can the USD extend its rally?
Bank of Japan may extend maturity of its bond buys
Pricing in more QE from the Bank of England
Europe steps closer to the cliff edge
It was a pivotal week for the Eurozone after Greece announced that it was heading back to the polls after the top three parities failed to form a coalition government. So now Greece is leaderless, there is a caretaker government in place but it won't be able to enforce the austerity required to get the next tranche of bailout funds necessary for Greece to avoid running out of money in July. So as time runs out for Greece the European authorities have been clear: the upcoming election is a referendum on euro-membership. Either vote for pro bailout ...
Title:
Stocks, euro advance on Europe, jobs data
Global stocks advanced for the first time in seven sessions on Thursday on relatively encouraging U.S. jobs data and improved investor sentiment regarding Europe's festering debt crisis.
U.S. and European equity markets rose after data showed U.S. claims for unemployment benefits edged lower last week, a sign of comfort after April's weak employment growth was perceived as a harbinger of a worsening U.S. labor market.
Investors also used a recent streak of declines to buy beaten-down assets, lifting the euro against the dollar for the first time in nine sessions and snapping a six-day losing streak for the Dow Jones industrial average.
"You are seeing traders and investors come into some of these very oversold sectors and buying on the dips. Then suddenly, the people who are scared ...
Title:
Global stocks, euro gain after U.S. jobs data
Global stocks rose for the first time in seven sessions on Thursday after relatively encouraging U.S. jobs data and as investor sentiment improved regarding Europe's festering debt crisis.
U.S. and European stocks climbed after data showed U.S. claims for unemployment benefits fell last week, an upbeat sign after April's weak employment growth was seen as a harbinger of a deteriorating U.S. labor market.
Investors also used a recent streak of declines to step into the markets, lifting the euro against the dollar for the first time in nine sessions and the Dow Jones industrial average for the first time in seven sessions.
In a move aimed at ending a four-year banking crisis, the Spanish government effectively took over Bankia SA (BKIA.MC), one of the country's biggest banks, late on ...
Title:
BOJ signals pause in easing; keeps warning vs. FX
(Reuters) - The Bank of Japan's monetary easing in April took into account risks from Europe's simmering debt woes, board member Sayuri Shirai said, signalling that the central bank prefers to stand pat for now to examine the impact of its action on the economy.
The central bank boosted asset purchases by 10 trillion yen ($125 billion) on April 27, its second monetary easing in just over two months, in a move seen aimed at convincing impatient politicians and investors of its resolve to end deflation that has plagued Japan for more than a decade.
But French and Greek elections at the weekend cast fresh doubts on how much progress Europe can make in resolving its debt problems, hurting global stocks and pushing up the yen, Shirai told reporters after meeting with business leaders in Akita, ...
Title:
Euro Testing Key Support Levels
Sunrise Market Commentary
- Fixed Income Weak US payrolls push core bonds higher again
- On Friday, it was weaker US payrolls that helped core bonds eke out more gains, but non-core bonds held up quite well. Spreads even narrowed in the intra-EMU bond markets. We fear that this won't be the case today, as French and Greek election results inject uncertainty into markets.
- Currencies: Euro testing key support levels
- On Friday, trading in the major euro cross rate was rather calm, but the pressure remained to the downside. The US payrolls were unable to change this pattern. This morning, EUR/USD is testing the key 1.2974 support while EUR/GBP is trading south of the 0.8068 level. A sustained break below these levels would raise a red alert for the single currency.
The ...
Title:
Euro slips vs dollar as European stress persists
(Reuters) - The euro weakened against the dollar on Monday and was on track for its worst month since December, pressured by nagging euro zone stresses as German retail sales were softer than expected and Spain slipped into recession.
Investors were also wary of buying euros before weekend elections in France and Greece and a European Central Bank (ECB) meeting later in the week that could knock sentiment in the single currency.
"There is clear risk aversion in the market," said Boris Schlossberg, director of FX research at GFT in Jersey City, New Jersey, citing data showing Spain's slide into recession and the weaker-than-expected German data. "In short, the news from Europe continues to point to further structural stress in the system."
The euro failed to gain traction versus the ...
Title:
Dollar softer, but euro fails get a boost
(Reuters) - The dollar briefly fell to a two-month low against a basket of currencies on Monday, hurt by signs that the U.S. economic recovery was losing momentum, which keeps alive the chances of further monetary easing by the Federal Reserve.
Despite the dollar's problems, the euro failed to gain much traction, with investors looking to sell at higher levels as harsh austerity measures take a toll on economic activity across the region.
Spain slipped back into recession as gross domestic product shrank 0.3 percent in the January to March quarter, data showed on Monday. Traders were likely to be wary of the euro ahead of the second round of the French presidential vote as well as elections for a new Greek parliament next weekend.
The dollar .DXY touched 78.638 against a basket of ...
Title:
Asia shares gain as U.S. data raises hope of Fed easing
(Reuters) - Asian shares rose on Monday as weaker-than-expected U.S. growth data left open the possibility of further monetary stimulus from the Federal Reserve to boost growth, but trading was subdued with Japanese and Chinese markets closed.
The dollar remained pressured by Friday's report showing annual growth in the U.S. economy cooled in the first quarter to 2.2 percent, below a 2.5 percent forecast, and concerns about lower fuel demand brought oil prices lower.
"A flavor of QE (quantitative easing) is back in the air, driving the U.S. dollar lower and risky assets higher," said Sebastien Galy, strategist at Societe Generale.
Asian equities followed the rise in global equities on Friday on the back of strong earnings reports, although Asian growth prospects were clouded as South ...
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