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Business Confidence In The EuroTitle:
Euro Rebound Short-Lived
Sunrise Market Commentary
- Fixed Income: Profit taking continued, but now concluded?
- The profit taking on global core bond markets continued in the run-up to tonight's informal EU-Summit. Spanish and Italian spreads decreased significantly but yields remain at elevated levels. Today, the eco calendar is again thin and trading will again be driven by sentiment.
- Currencies: Euro rebound short-lived On
- Tuesday, the euro came again under pressure even as the global context was not that negative. Sentiment on risk was constructive and intra-EMU spreads narrowed, but all this didn't prevent investors to use any upticks in the single currency to further reduce exposure. The key 1.2642/24 support is again coming within reach.
The Sunrise Headlines
- In the final hour of ...
Title:
European Market Update : 22/05/2012
Fitch cuts Japan's sovereign rating two notches
Economic Data
(JP) Japan Apr Supermarket Sales Y/Y: --1.9% v -2.4% prior
(FI) Finland Apr Unemployment Rate: 8.4% v 8.4%e
(DK) Denmark May Consumer Confidence Indicator: 0.4 v 0.6 prior
(ZA) South Africa Mar Leading Indicator: 134.5 v 134.4 prior
(NL) Netherlands May Consumer Confidence: -38 v -32 prior
(NO) Norway Q1 GDP Q/Q: 1.4% v 0.9%e; GDP Mainland Norway Q/Q: 1.1% v 0.9%e
(UK) Mar ONS UK House Prices Y/Y: -0.4% v +1.0% prior
(UK) Apr Public Finances (PSNCR): -£23.2B v -£6.0Be; Public Sector Net Borrowing: -£18.8B v -£22.8Be; PSNB ex Interventions: -£16.5B v -£20.0Be
(UK) Apr CPI M/M: 0.6% v 0.6%e; Y/Y: 3.0% v 3.1%e; Core CPI Y/Y: 2.1% v 2.0%e
(UK) Apr RPI M/M: 0.7% v 0.6%e; Y/Y: 3.5% v 3.4%e; Core RPI- Ex Mortgages Y/Y: 3.5% ...
Title:
Main Focus to Remain On Spain and Greece As Well As U.K. Fundamentals
Worries are expected to continue this week in the European continent amid the fiscal and economic woes in Spain in addition to the political upheavals in Greece.
The situation seems to be getting worse which may provoke the need for further measures by European officials to prevent the escalation of the European debt crisis.
Fears soared last week after the downgrade of Spain`s Banco Santander, the country`s largest lender, and BBVA by Moody`s amid the government`s efforts to reform the ailing banking sector, and the rise in borrowing cost at a bond selling auction.
On the other hand, fundamentals showed that the euro area`s fourth largest economy recorded 0.3% contraction in the first quarter, following the 0.3% contraction in the last quarter of 2011; therefore, the country is ...
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The Weekly Bottom Line : 19/05/2012
The Weekly Bottom Line : 19/05/2012
HIGHLIGHTS OF THE WEEK
United States
- Global economic concerns ratcheted up this week. Widespread discussion of a Greek exit continued, Spanish banks faced rating downgrades and periphery sovereign debt yields moved higher.
- Financial markets have responded to these global worries with increased risk aversion. The S&P is poised to end the week 3% lower, and 10-year treasuries are yielding just 1.7%.
- U.S. economic data has proved somewhat more encouraging, but growth is still struggling to breakout beyond a moderate pace. This has kept the possibility of additional monetary stimulus alive even if the threshold remains quite high.
Canada
- Recent economic indicators are showing a resurgence of strength in the Canadian economy. Strong ...
Title:
Dukascopy Morning Forex Overview : 05/16/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
"Germany is holding up the rest of the euro zone”"
- Nick Kounis, head of macroeconomic research at ABN Amro
Germany helped the Eurozone avoid its second recession in three years. Overall gross domestic product stagnated in the first three months of 2012, compared to the previous quarter, Eurostat data showed on Tuesday.
USD
"There’s a lot of slack in the economy"
- Scott Brown, chief economist at Raymond James & Associates Inc.
Inflation in the U.S. stagnated in April, restrained by a decline in energy costs. The core consumer price index, which excludes food and energy costs, rose 0.2 per cent, showed Bureau of Labor Statistics data on Tuesday.
GBP
"March's UK trade figures showed a bit of an improvement, although the external sector still looks likely to ...
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BHP chairman sees commodity markets cooling further
BHP Billiton, the world's biggest miner, said it expects commodity markets to cool further and that investors had lost confidence in the longer-term health of the global economy.
The Reuters-Jefferies CRB index .CRB, a closely followed indicator for commodities, has slid more than 11 percent since hitting a five-month peak in late February amid a broader sell-off in financial markets driven by concerns about the European debt crisis.
"The tail winds of high commodity prices have contributed to record growth in the sector. Now we have a period where those tail winds are moderating and we expect further easing over time," Chairman Jacques Nasser said in a speech to a business lunch in Sydney.
The sell-off has not yet knocked the confidence or spending plans of BHP, which is less than one ...
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YouTradeFX Weekly Market Analysis : 14/05/2012
Consumer sentiment in the U.S. rose to 77.8 in May from the final April reading of 76.4, according to a report released by Reuters and the University of Michigan on Friday. While, the Labor Department said on Friday that its producer price index fell by 0.2 percent in April. According to Bloomberg news, Sales at U.S. retailers probably slowed in April as the weather turned more seasonable and consumers took a breather following a pre-Easter holiday buying spree, economists said before a report this week. The projected 0.2 percent gain in purchases would follow a 0.8 percent advance in March, according to the median forecast of 68 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News ahead of Commerce Department figures on May 15. Events in the U.S, likely to affect the markets this week are: Monday; a ...
Title:
Dukascopy Morning Forex Overview : 14/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
"Equity markets are driven by two things: fundamentals and sentiment."
- Lorne Baring, managing director at B Capital SA
European stocks climbed on Friday after a report showed U.S. consumer confidence increased to the highest level in four years in May.
USD
"Confidence has been boosted by lower gasoline prices."
- Paul Dales, a senior economist at Capital Economics Ltd.
U.S. consumer confidence rose by more than expected in May as consumers became more optimistic on the outlook of the country's economy.
GBP
"The April producer price data … do little overall to reduce the uncertainty as to whether or not the Bank of England will eventually do more Quantitative Easing."
- Howard Archer, an economist at HIS Global Insight
U.K. producer prices rose by more than ...
Title:
Another mixed week for the superpower…
Ahead of the U.S elections we watch another mixed week be drown regarding the current economical conjuncture of the world`s leading economy with a worsened and widened trade deficit along with better labor and confidence data, yet the recovery is on a slow gradual pace and accordingly a full efficient healing is still far from being witnessed.
In fact throughout the week we watched mixed sentiments getting spread as on one hand the superpower`s trade gap widened more than forecasted on higher imports and on the other hand the country`s jobless claims cheerfully and unexpectedly declined faintly to confirm once again that the labor conditions are improving gradually but remain far from a full recovery and that the gap between imports and exports continue on being immense.
Actually the U.S ...
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