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Bullish Stance On RiskTitle:
Dukascopy Afternoon Forex Overview : 23/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
German bunds rose on worries that European leaders will struggle to resolve the euro zone debt crisis during tonight's European summit. David Schnautz of Commerzbank AG in London thinks that Europe is unlikely to solve key topics and will probably disappoint the market. The 5-year bund lost 5 bp to 0.47 percent at 10:49 GMT after tumbling to 0.461 percent, the lowest since 1990, when Bloomberg began gathering data.
USD
Crude oil futures declined in Asian session on Wednesday as Iran is ready to invite nuclear inspectors, the move that may ease oil import sanctions. Light, sweet crude oil futures for July delivery traded at 91.27 US Dollars per barrel, retreating by 0.63% from the last session's high of 91.72 US Dollars per barrel.
GBP
Today the minutes of the ...
Title:
Fitch Fires Another Round
Forex News and Events:
Fitch downgraded Japan by two notches yesterday afternoon from AA to A+ with outlook negative. The agency justified the credit rating cuts by saying that the Japanese government isn’t reactive enough in tackling its “high and rising public debt ratios”. The move came in a few hours after the OECD urged Japan to prioritize the implementation of a fiscal consolidation plan, as debt-to-GDP ratio exceeds 200 percent, and budget deficits are forecast at 10 percent of GDP for the current year. PM Yoshihiko Noda has staked his political career on a law to increase sales tax to 10% with the goal of offsetting rising social security costs mainly due to the fast ageing of the population. But the opposition that controls the upper house is refusing to negotiate and is ...
Title:
Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT)
EUR/USD
The pair comes under increased pressure after recovery attempt stalled just above 1.2800 and renewed risk-off sentiment pushed the price lower to fully retrace recent 1.2641/1.2823 corrective leg. Negative studies keep our short-term target at 1.2622 in focus, with consolidative/corrective action above 1.2641, seen on overextended hourly studies. Immediate resistance lies at 1.2680/1.2900 zone, while only lift above 1.2730/50 would provide near-term relief.
Res: 1.2780, 1.2800, 1.2811, 1.2823
Sup: 1.2657, 1.2641, 1.2622, 1.2622
GBP/USD
Cable flirts with recent low at 1.5731, as mild corrective attempt didn’t show much of action and gains being capped at 1.5840. Reversal to the lows, along with negative short and longer-term studies and yesterday’s close below 200 day MA, ...
Title:
Dukascopy Morning Forex Overview : 23/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
"The rally is mostly technically driven after we became quite oversold last week."
- Raimund Saxinger, a fund manager at Trust Investment GmbH
European stocks rose by the most in a month on Tuesday. The Stoxx Europe 600 Index gained 1.91 per cent to 244.76. Germany’s DAX Index edged higher 1.65 per cent and France’s CAC 40 Index added 1.88 per cent. The U.K.’s FTSE 100 Index rose 1.86 per cent to 5,403.28
USD
"People are becoming more confident about job prospects and about taking on mortgages."
- Millan Mulraine, a senior U.S. strategist at TD Securities Inc.
U.S. existing home sales rose in April to an annual rate of 4.62 million from 4.47 million in March, said the National Association of Realtors.
GBP
"These figures give the Monetary Policy Committee ...
Title:
SunBirdFX Daily Market Analysis : 05/23/2012
www.sunbirdfx.com
Dramatic finishing in the US stock markets yesterday caused mixed closing by the main indices. The trading was on the green side most of the day but massive selling during the last half hour erased most of the bullish movement, but strong 10 minutes before the closing bell prevented sharper declines. The indices are now facing important test and if they slide under yesterday's low, the sharp declines from last week might return. On the other hand, if they cross above yesterday's high, it will be a strong bullish signal for the markets. On the fundamental aspect, the existing home sales data came out as analysts expected and today the investors will focus on the new home sales data.
EUR/GBP
All of the major pairs resumed weakening against the USD yesterday due to the ...
Title:
Dukascopy Afternoon Forex Overview : 22/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
Gold extended previous gains in Asian session on Tuesday as concerns over Greek exit from the single currency union eased. At G8 summit leaders of eighth largest economies stated that they would do everything possible to retain Greece in the Euro Zone. COMEX gold June contract traded at 1,592.35 US Dollars per troy ounce on the New York Mercantile Exchange, advancing by 0.23%.
USD
The US Senate has passed a bill aimed at tightening sanctions imposed on Iran to force the country to cease its nuclear program. The new sanctions imply investigation of role of Iran's Revolutionary Guard in oil exports as well as obliging the US companies to disclose any business activities with Iranian partners. The move came ahead of negotiations between Iran and six major ...
Title:
The Endgame of the Greek Crisis
Forex News and Events:
It has taken two-and-a-half years, and nearly USD 300bn of IMF/EU funds for markets to finally weigh in a more probable than not exit of the debt-laden country. Greece’s EMU exit is imminent for the second time in the last six months. Surprisingly though, the trigger for the recent gloomy expectations for Greece was not exclusively of an economic nature but also politics. During May 6 elections, the Greeks expressed their unwillingness to abide by the agreed-upon austerity measures. It wouldn’t have been a very dangerous position had Greece been solvent, but regardless of EU officials’ reassurance of continued help for Greece throughout the process, the country would run out of funds for the next installments due end of June and early July. In addition to markets ...
Title:
Dukascopy Morning Forex Overview : 22/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
"Inevitably there is going to be an element of bargain hunting as investors look to top up their holdings on the basis of slightly lower prices"
- Richard Hunter, head of equities at Hargreaves Lansdown Stockbrokers
European stocks edged higher on Monday on China’s pledge to boost growth.
USD
"Equity prices have gotten oversold"
- Mark Luschini, chief investment strategist for Janney Montgomery Scott LLC
U.S. equity market edged higher on Monday on China stimulus hopes and after German and French officials said they would cooperate to keep Greece in the monetary union.
GBP
"Obviously, as the euro depreciates, the U.K. gets slightly more expensive"
- Miles Shipside, Rightmove commercial director
U.K. national house prices stagnated in March, announced the ...
Title:
SunBirdFX Daily Market Analysis : 05/22/2012
www.sunbirdfx.com
Wall Street opened the trading week with the expected short-squeeze that launched NASDAQ 2.4%, mainly because of Apple. The short-positions holders decided to realize their investments and take profits, as the buyers took advantage of that for gaining profits by opening long positions. This momentum might continue in the next few days, and in this point, it is important to remember that the previous bearish session ended with a sharp bullish day, and this might be the signal for this possible turnover. However, it is too soon to know whether the stocks have stopped falling or not and we need to wait few more days.
AUD/USD
The recovery of the US stock markets weakened the USD against most of the currencies, which might start a correcting session against the USD. The ...
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