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Bullish Momentum Is ExpectedTitle:
Fitch Fires Another Round
Forex News and Events:
Fitch downgraded Japan by two notches yesterday afternoon from AA to A+ with outlook negative. The agency justified the credit rating cuts by saying that the Japanese government isn’t reactive enough in tackling its “high and rising public debt ratios”. The move came in a few hours after the OECD urged Japan to prioritize the implementation of a fiscal consolidation plan, as debt-to-GDP ratio exceeds 200 percent, and budget deficits are forecast at 10 percent of GDP for the current year. PM Yoshihiko Noda has staked his political career on a law to increase sales tax to 10% with the goal of offsetting rising social security costs mainly due to the fast ageing of the population. But the opposition that controls the upper house is refusing to negotiate and is ...
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Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT)
EUR/USD
The pair comes under increased pressure after recovery attempt stalled just above 1.2800 and renewed risk-off sentiment pushed the price lower to fully retrace recent 1.2641/1.2823 corrective leg. Negative studies keep our short-term target at 1.2622 in focus, with consolidative/corrective action above 1.2641, seen on overextended hourly studies. Immediate resistance lies at 1.2680/1.2900 zone, while only lift above 1.2730/50 would provide near-term relief.
Res: 1.2780, 1.2800, 1.2811, 1.2823
Sup: 1.2657, 1.2641, 1.2622, 1.2622
GBP/USD
Cable flirts with recent low at 1.5731, as mild corrective attempt didn’t show much of action and gains being capped at 1.5840. Reversal to the lows, along with negative short and longer-term studies and yesterday’s close below 200 day MA, ...
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SunBirdFX Daily Market Analysis : 05/22/2012
www.sunbirdfx.com
Wall Street opened the trading week with the expected short-squeeze that launched NASDAQ 2.4%, mainly because of Apple. The short-positions holders decided to realize their investments and take profits, as the buyers took advantage of that for gaining profits by opening long positions. This momentum might continue in the next few days, and in this point, it is important to remember that the previous bearish session ended with a sharp bullish day, and this might be the signal for this possible turnover. However, it is too soon to know whether the stocks have stopped falling or not and we need to wait few more days.
AUD/USD
The recovery of the US stock markets weakened the USD against most of the currencies, which might start a correcting session against the USD. The ...
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Pessimism is to infiltrate after a vulnerable pullback
Markets rebounded slightly with the start of week on a pullback that is expected to be short lived among the mounting concerns over Greece exit, where no one is certain over the outcome of such an event if happened.
The negativity should continue to dampen risk appetite; where the EUR/USD has started to pare earlier gains trading at 1.2745 after kicking off the session at 1.2762, where it printed a high at 1.2812 previous low and key short term resistance. Stochastic has completed a bearish crossover hinting we may see another downside attempt to resume the bearish trend towards 1.2625 lows.
The GBP/USD is fluctuating around 1.5800, also attempting to regain the bearish momentum, eying another test of 1.5730 recent low. The bearish bias is expected to remain evident so long as 1.5840 ...
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Safe-Haven Dollar
Forex News and Events:
Friday’s trading session was mostly uneventful with all the focus shifted to Facebook’s IPO. Many markets that had been freefalling these last two weeks caught a breather, with gold, silver, and the EUR gaining 1.12%, 2.57% and 0.63% respectively against the USD. The reversal has been attributed to a weak Philly Fed reading on economic activity in a sign that the world’s reserve currency is riskier than panicked markets are pricing. The weak number raised speculation over a new round of interventions from the part of the Fed in order to boost its economy. WTI however, was not able to profit from this reversal as it dropped to a six-month low before closing at 91.33. A 22-year high in inventory levels for the US could explain the decoupling of oil from the rest of ...
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SunBirdFX Daily Market Analysis : 05/21/2012
www.sunbirdfx.com
The bearish momentum in Wall Street continued last week as indices shed 4%-5% during the week. The sharp declines were expected from the technical analysis point of view, since the main indices broke significant support in their daily charts, which we have analyzed and marked as key levels. The S&P 500 broke the support at 1350 points and reached the target we set at 1300 points, mainly because of the collapse of the financial sector. The volumes are increasing, which means that the sellers are gaining power, in spite improving economic data and the optimism that spread with Facebook trading on Friday. The three main indices are close to the annual opening levels as NASDAQ's next support is at 2400 points.
EUR/USD
We have been mentioning the support at 1.30 as a ...
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Facebook IPO Fails to Make a Dent in the Marketplace
Following weeks of speculation regarding how Facebook's debut on the New York Stock Exchange would turn out, investors were mildly disappointed with the social media site's performance on Friday night. Facebook closed out the week at 37.96, slightly below its opening price. What direction Facebook takes from here is a hotly debated topic among market analysts. Some are warning that the site may be overvalued already, and Friday's disappointing performance could be a sign of things to come. That being said, any moves by Facebook to expand its already massive subscribership could generate excitement in the marketplace which could help boost the value of this site.
Economic News
USD - Dollar Comes off 4-Month High vs. Euro
The US dollar turned bearish against most of its main currency ...
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Majors climb to session highs against greenback
With the lack of market thrillers, risky assets rebound on a normal pullback after the recent savage selloff looking with an eye of hope towards the world’s leaders meeting (G8) today.
Markets woke up on sharp selloff with the start of the trading session, where majors printed new lows against the greenback before rebounding. The EUR/USD reached 1.2640 just above 2012 low at 1.2621, currently baring earlier losses trading around 1.2713. Stochastic has provided an early sign of recovery in the form of a bullish divergence and currently regaining the bullish momentum. However the upside remains limited as markets jitters are far from over. Thus 1.2660 should form an intraday ceiling today, as trading ranges will get thinner approaching the weekend.
The British pounds rebounded sharply ...
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Downgrades Day
Forex News and Events:
In a race for downgrades, rating agencies took action targeting the two most burdened countries in the EMU. Moody’s confirmed today a rumor about the downgrade of 16 Spanish banks after having downgraded four Spanish regions, which added more pressure to the the Spanish economy. The increase in risk was reflected by 4-year Spanish Bonos yields, higher at 5.106% against a previous 4.319%. Fitch took over the Greek front by downgrading the country to CCC, adding that all EU countries would be on “Rating Watch Negative” if no pro-bailout government were formed following the elections on June 17. What’s more, while Greek banks are struggling for liquidity from EUR 700mn withdrawals since the elections and Greek central bank governor Provopoulos expecting EUR 100mn more, ...
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