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Bullish Channel LongTitle:
Dukascopy Afternoon Forex Overview : 23/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
German bunds rose on worries that European leaders will struggle to resolve the euro zone debt crisis during tonight's European summit. David Schnautz of Commerzbank AG in London thinks that Europe is unlikely to solve key topics and will probably disappoint the market. The 5-year bund lost 5 bp to 0.47 percent at 10:49 GMT after tumbling to 0.461 percent, the lowest since 1990, when Bloomberg began gathering data.
USD
Crude oil futures declined in Asian session on Wednesday as Iran is ready to invite nuclear inspectors, the move that may ease oil import sanctions. Light, sweet crude oil futures for July delivery traded at 91.27 US Dollars per barrel, retreating by 0.63% from the last session's high of 91.72 US Dollars per barrel.
GBP
Today the minutes of the ...
Title:
Fitch Fires Another Round
Forex News and Events:
Fitch downgraded Japan by two notches yesterday afternoon from AA to A+ with outlook negative. The agency justified the credit rating cuts by saying that the Japanese government isn’t reactive enough in tackling its “high and rising public debt ratios”. The move came in a few hours after the OECD urged Japan to prioritize the implementation of a fiscal consolidation plan, as debt-to-GDP ratio exceeds 200 percent, and budget deficits are forecast at 10 percent of GDP for the current year. PM Yoshihiko Noda has staked his political career on a law to increase sales tax to 10% with the goal of offsetting rising social security costs mainly due to the fast ageing of the population. But the opposition that controls the upper house is refusing to negotiate and is ...
Title:
Dukascopy Morning Forex Overview : 23/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
"The rally is mostly technically driven after we became quite oversold last week."
- Raimund Saxinger, a fund manager at Trust Investment GmbH
European stocks rose by the most in a month on Tuesday. The Stoxx Europe 600 Index gained 1.91 per cent to 244.76. Germany’s DAX Index edged higher 1.65 per cent and France’s CAC 40 Index added 1.88 per cent. The U.K.’s FTSE 100 Index rose 1.86 per cent to 5,403.28
USD
"People are becoming more confident about job prospects and about taking on mortgages."
- Millan Mulraine, a senior U.S. strategist at TD Securities Inc.
U.S. existing home sales rose in April to an annual rate of 4.62 million from 4.47 million in March, said the National Association of Realtors.
GBP
"These figures give the Monetary Policy Committee ...
Title:
Technical analysis of the USD/CAD pair on May 23th, 2012
Commentary of the USD/CAD pair :
The pair USD/CAD made yesterday a pullback on the support at 1.0150 and then took up its bullish movement to test again the resistance at 1.0230.
All indicators are bullish.
The pair is currently testing the upper band of its bullish channel (black lines).
We continue to advise long positions as far as 1.01 is support.
The breakout of 1.0230 will give a new buy signal and will open the way towards 1.03.
In case of return below 1.01, we will be neutral between this level and 1.0050.
The breakout of 1.0050 will give a sell signal.
See the previous analysis of the USD/CAD pair of May 22th, 2012
USD/CAD Analysis
Title:
Dukascopy Afternoon Forex Overview : 22/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
Gold extended previous gains in Asian session on Tuesday as concerns over Greek exit from the single currency union eased. At G8 summit leaders of eighth largest economies stated that they would do everything possible to retain Greece in the Euro Zone. COMEX gold June contract traded at 1,592.35 US Dollars per troy ounce on the New York Mercantile Exchange, advancing by 0.23%.
USD
The US Senate has passed a bill aimed at tightening sanctions imposed on Iran to force the country to cease its nuclear program. The new sanctions imply investigation of role of Iran's Revolutionary Guard in oil exports as well as obliging the US companies to disclose any business activities with Iranian partners. The move came ahead of negotiations between Iran and six major ...
Title:
The Endgame of the Greek Crisis
Forex News and Events:
It has taken two-and-a-half years, and nearly USD 300bn of IMF/EU funds for markets to finally weigh in a more probable than not exit of the debt-laden country. Greece’s EMU exit is imminent for the second time in the last six months. Surprisingly though, the trigger for the recent gloomy expectations for Greece was not exclusively of an economic nature but also politics. During May 6 elections, the Greeks expressed their unwillingness to abide by the agreed-upon austerity measures. It wouldn’t have been a very dangerous position had Greece been solvent, but regardless of EU officials’ reassurance of continued help for Greece throughout the process, the country would run out of funds for the next installments due end of June and early July. In addition to markets ...
Title:
Dukascopy Morning Forex Overview : 22/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
"Inevitably there is going to be an element of bargain hunting as investors look to top up their holdings on the basis of slightly lower prices"
- Richard Hunter, head of equities at Hargreaves Lansdown Stockbrokers
European stocks edged higher on Monday on China’s pledge to boost growth.
USD
"Equity prices have gotten oversold"
- Mark Luschini, chief investment strategist for Janney Montgomery Scott LLC
U.S. equity market edged higher on Monday on China stimulus hopes and after German and French officials said they would cooperate to keep Greece in the monetary union.
GBP
"Obviously, as the euro depreciates, the U.K. gets slightly more expensive"
- Miles Shipside, Rightmove commercial director
U.K. national house prices stagnated in March, announced the ...
Title:
Technical analysis of the XAU/USD (Gold) pair on May 22th, 2012
Commentary of the XAU/USD (Gold) pair:
The gold found resistance yesterday on 1600 points.
The pair is in the middle of its bearish channel (purple lines).
Indicators are globaly bullish.
We are neutral between 1580 and 1600 points.
We advise to wait an exit of this range to take position:
- Long above 1600 points. The breakout of 1620 points will give a new buy signal and open the way towards 1650 points.
- Short below 1580 points. The breakout of 1560 points will give a new sell signal and open the way towards 1540 points.
See the previous analysis of the XAU/USD pair of May 21th, 2012
XAU/USD Analysis
Title:
Technical analysis of the EUR/GBP pair on May 22th, 2012
Commentary of the EUR/GBP pair:
The pair EUR/GBP just found resistance on 0.81.
Indicators are globaly bullish.
The pair is still moving into a bearish channel (purple paralell lines).
We are neutral between 0.8050 and 0.81.
We advise to wait an exit of this range to take position:
- Long above 0.81. The breakout of 0.8150 will give a new buy signal.
- Short below 0.8050. The breakout of 0.80 will give a new sell signal.
See the previous analysis of the EUR/GBP pair of May 21th, 2012
EUR/GBP Analysis
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