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Dukascopy Morning Forex Overview : 23/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
"The rally is mostly technically driven after we became quite oversold last week."
- Raimund Saxinger, a fund manager at Trust Investment GmbH
European stocks rose by the most in a month on Tuesday. The Stoxx Europe 600 Index gained 1.91 per cent to 244.76. Germany’s DAX Index edged higher 1.65 per cent and France’s CAC 40 Index added 1.88 per cent. The U.K.’s FTSE 100 Index rose 1.86 per cent to 5,403.28
USD
"People are becoming more confident about job prospects and about taking on mortgages."
- Millan Mulraine, a senior U.S. strategist at TD Securities Inc.
U.S. existing home sales rose in April to an annual rate of 4.62 million from 4.47 million in March, said the National Association of Realtors.
GBP
"These figures give the Monetary Policy Committee ...
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Dukascopy Afternoon Forex Overview : 22/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
Gold extended previous gains in Asian session on Tuesday as concerns over Greek exit from the single currency union eased. At G8 summit leaders of eighth largest economies stated that they would do everything possible to retain Greece in the Euro Zone. COMEX gold June contract traded at 1,592.35 US Dollars per troy ounce on the New York Mercantile Exchange, advancing by 0.23%.
USD
The US Senate has passed a bill aimed at tightening sanctions imposed on Iran to force the country to cease its nuclear program. The new sanctions imply investigation of role of Iran's Revolutionary Guard in oil exports as well as obliging the US companies to disclose any business activities with Iranian partners. The move came ahead of negotiations between Iran and six major ...
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Dukascopy Morning Forex Overview : 22/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
"Inevitably there is going to be an element of bargain hunting as investors look to top up their holdings on the basis of slightly lower prices"
- Richard Hunter, head of equities at Hargreaves Lansdown Stockbrokers
European stocks edged higher on Monday on China’s pledge to boost growth.
USD
"Equity prices have gotten oversold"
- Mark Luschini, chief investment strategist for Janney Montgomery Scott LLC
U.S. equity market edged higher on Monday on China stimulus hopes and after German and French officials said they would cooperate to keep Greece in the monetary union.
GBP
"Obviously, as the euro depreciates, the U.K. gets slightly more expensive"
- Miles Shipside, Rightmove commercial director
U.K. national house prices stagnated in March, announced the ...
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Dukascopy Morning Forex Overview : 21/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
"Fears of a Greek exit from the euro zone and the negative consequences from that are prevailing"
- Ben Kwong, KGI Asia
European stocks edged lower after Fitch downgraded Greece’s credit rating to ‘CCC’, implying that the country is vulnerable and highly dependent on favourable economic conditions to fulfill its financial obligations.
USD
"If there were scope to do another twist of some type it would be prudent to consider it, especially in the scenario where things are worse and the Fed feels like it needs to move"
- Nathan Sheets, Citigroup Inc.
Fed policymakers might potentially launch another round of Operation Twist rather than a direct asset purchases in case of increased risks or further weakening of the US economy.
GBP
"We must work together to give ...
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A mild relief on Merkel, upbeat U.S. data
After the deep selloff markets recover some of earlier losses triggered by fears of “Grexit”, after politicians failed to find a common ground and name a new coalition government. Meanwhile Angela Merkel in an interview with CNBC reiterated following many European politicians “I want Greece to stay in the Euro” giving markets a minor relief, and a reason to rebound in a normal pullback after being oversold.
The EUR/USD decently off lows, the pair has traded the lowest since January today at 1.2680, and currently trading around 1.2750. Meanwhile, U.S. housing sector continues to show recovery, as building permits fell to 715,000 last month, however March permits were revised upward to 769,000. Housing starts rose to 717,000 units, while March reading of 654,000 was revised to 699,000. On ...
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Dukascopy Afternoon Forex Overview : 04/07/2012
Dukascopy Fundamental Analysis
EUR
France has elected new president, Francois Hollande who polled about 52% of the votes. Mr Hollande said that he is proud to return hope to people again. He also announced that he would attempt to rework deal regarding sovereign debt in the Euro Zone countries to promote economic expansion.
USD
The smalest payroll increase in last 6 months has not influenced the investors who still do not forecast another wave of recession in the US. Better housing and employment data has encouraged experts to believe that from the fundamental perspective the world's largest economy is on the path to recovery.
GBP
May 7 was a bank holiday in Great Britain.
CHF
The official SNB exchange rate for EUR/CHF is 1.2013 today; yield on 10-year Swiss Confederation bonds ...
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Dukascopy Morning Forex Overview : 07/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
"The U.S. labor-market report will further erode investor confidence"
- Markus Allenspach, head of bond research at Julius Baer Group Ltd.
European stocks extended weekly losses, after a report showed U.S. companies added fewer jobs than expected in April. The Stoxx Europe 600 Index erased 1.76 per cent to 253.00. Germany’s DAX Index tumbled 1.99 per cent and France’s CAC 40 Index contracted 1.90 per cent. The U.K.’s FTSE 100 Index lost 1.93 per cent to 5,655.06.
USD
"We’re still very much on the recovery path, but we’ve got a huge amount of ground to make up in the labor market"
- Scott Brown, chief economist at Raymond James & Associates Inc.
The number of Americans, who have found a job in the private sector in April, tumbled to 115,000 from 154,000 the ...
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Dukascopy Morning Forex Overview : 02/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
"The likelihood of inflation falling below 2 percent in the short run remains low, putting the ECB in a difficult situation."
- Peter Vanden Houte, an economist at ING
Inflation in the euro zone rose by more than expected in April, mounting pressure on the European Central Bank to take action against price pressures.
USD
"Manufacturing is still in pretty good shape."
- Scott Brown, chief economist at Raymond James & Associates Inc.
Manufacturing in the U.S. expanded in April at the fastest pace in 10 months, showed Institute for Supply Management data on Tuesday.
GBP
"The good news is that manufacturing clocked up a fifth straight rise, whilst cost pressures have eased a little and some firms are still recruiting."
- Lee Hopley, chief economist at EEF
U.K. ...
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Euro well bid, Aussie well offerd
The Reserve Bank of Australia shocked markets with a 50bps rate cut this morning, the bank cut interet rate from 4.25% to 3.75% while markets were expecting an imminent cut of 25bps. Australia’s slowing economy and headache coming overseas from Europe in addition to the slowdown in its major trade partner China were the main reasons behind the aggressive move. Thus, we have seen the Australian and Newzealand dollar under pressure today.
While most European markets were off for Labor day, the euro was well bid as the common currency bottomed at the support area and the 50-days SMA around 1.3220, to resume the bullish bias retesting areas near 1.3300 again, however 1.3300 seen the next important pivot for the pair over the short term. Above 1.3300 the door could be open towards March high ...
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