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Benchmark Rate SteadyTitle:
European Market Update : 23/05/2012
Euro hits fresh 2012 lows ahead of informal summit; More reports of an ECB contingency plan in the works
Economic Data
(GR) Greece Mar Current Account: -€2.1B v €1.1B prior
(NL) Netherlands Mar Consumer Spending Y/Y: % v -1.3% prior
(SE) Sweden Apr Unemployment Rate: % v 7.8%e
(EU) Euro Zone Apr Current Account: +€7.5B v -€5.6B prior; Current Account Seasonally Adj: +€7.5B v -€1.2B prior
(IT) Italy May Consumer Confidence: 86.5 v 89.5e (lowest reading on record after series began in 1996))
(ZA) South Africa Apr CPI (all items) M/M: 0.4% v 0.5%e; Y/Y: % v 6.2%e
(TW) Taiwan Apr Industrial Production Y/Y: -2.3% v -1.7%e; Commercial Sales Y/Y: -2.4% v -0.9% prior
(UK) Apr Retail Sales Ex Auto Fuel M/M: -1.0% v -0.7%e; Y/Y: -0.3% v +0.7%e
(UK) Apr Retail Sales with Auto Fuel M/M: -0.8% ...
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Analysis: U.S. bond bulls not ready to call off the charge
They are the few, the brave, the unloved, and among big investors, their number shrinks by the month.
They are the last of the bond bulls, the investors who believe long-term U.S. government bonds will extend a historic run that has already pushed interest rates to multi-decade lows.
Recent surveys show broad disdain for Treasuries among market cognoscenti. A cross-section of star money managers and investors, including Warren Buffett, BlackRock's Larry Fink and even bond expert Dan Fuss of Loomis Sayles, have urged investors to switch to stocks, arguing yields have nowhere to go but up.
Yet the average retail investor keeps sending money to bond funds. And in the past few weeks, things have been moving in the bond bulls' favor.
Fear of a Greek exit from the euro zone and JPMorgan ...
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Euro hits near 4-month trough on Greek deadlock
The euro fell to a near four-month low on Monday as political turmoil gripped Greece, highlighting the risk the country may exit the euro zone, while worries about slowing Chinese and global growth drove down higher-yielding currencies.
Safe-haven currencies including the dollar and the Japanese yen rose as coalition talks in Greece hit an impasse on Sunday, increasing the chance of another election.
Euro zone industrial production unexpectedly fell in March, adding to signs the bloc is heading into recession and further fuelling bearish sentiment, while Spain's short-term debt costs rose at auction and its 10-year yields soared.
The common currency fell to $1.2861 on trading platform EBS, its lowest level since January 23. It has lost 2.7 percent so far this month after losing 0.8 ...
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Asia ends a week of critical data that signals possible move on policies
Last week saw the release of important Asian data that should be taken in consideration, especially amid the global tension over Europe’s sovereign debt crisis that hindered many economies. Australia, China and Japan released critical data that might be influential on policy decisions in the coming period.
The first two days of the week were focused on the Australian economy the start was with business conditions and confidence that slowed in April, as well as retail sales that rebounded and recorded a rise in March easing some of the tension. Seasonally adjusted sales increased 0.9% from previous of 0.2%. At the same time the retail sales excluding inflation recorded 1.8% rise from previous of 0.4% in first quarter.
Moreover, Australia recorded a widened trade balance in March, the ...
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Stocks, euro advance on Europe, jobs data
Global stocks advanced for the first time in seven sessions on Thursday on relatively encouraging U.S. jobs data and improved investor sentiment regarding Europe's festering debt crisis.
U.S. and European equity markets rose after data showed U.S. claims for unemployment benefits edged lower last week, a sign of comfort after April's weak employment growth was perceived as a harbinger of a worsening U.S. labor market.
Investors also used a recent streak of declines to buy beaten-down assets, lifting the euro against the dollar for the first time in nine sessions and snapping a six-day losing streak for the Dow Jones industrial average.
"You are seeing traders and investors come into some of these very oversold sectors and buying on the dips. Then suddenly, the people who are scared ...
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Dukascopy Morning Forex Overview : 10/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
"The real concern isn’t about Greece, it’s about the euro and whether it breaks up -- that is key."
- Mark Tinker, a fund manager at AXA Framlington Investment EUR Management
European stocks declined on Wednesday as investors awaited resolution of Greek coalition talks and yields on Spanish 10-year bonds rose above 6 per cent.
USD
"Certainly as a result of the elections in Greece, the odds of a default and an exit from the euro have increased."
- James Dunigan, chief investment officer for PNC Wealth Management
U.S. wholesale inventories rose in March at a slowest pace since November, Commerce Department data showed on Wednesday.
GBP
"Consumers, struggling to balance their household budgets, remain reluctant to spend..."
- Stephen Robertson, BRC director ...
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Weekly Economic and Financial Commentary : 04/05/2012
U.S. Review
Modest Growth on a Broadening Base
- The underlying tone of the recent economic reports remains consistent with modest economic growth. Consumer spending ended the first quarter on a solid note and spending is now on track to grow at a 2 percent pace in the second quarter.
- Reports from the regional manufacturing surveys showed some weakness but the National ISM report came in stronger than expected. The nonmanufacturing survey, however, came in below expectations.
- Nonfarm employment rose by 115,000 jobs in April and the unemployment rate fell 0.1 percent to 8.1 percent.
Modest Growth on a Broadening Base
This week's ISM report came in better than expected, rising 1.4 points to 54.8 in April, which greatly relieves fears built up from the weaker factory orders ...
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European Market Update : 02/05/2012
Major European PMI Manufacturing data disappoints; Weak German jobs data blamed on Easter holiday
Economic Data
(EU) ECB: €606M borrowed in overnight loan facility v €619M prior; €789.3B parked in deposit facility v €794.0B prior (Monday)
(IN) India Apr Markit Manufacturing PMI: 54.9 v 54.7 prior
(DE) Germany Mar ILO Employment (Seasonally Adj): 41.459 v 41.406M prior; Unemployment Rate: 5.6% v 5.6% prior
(SE) Sweden Apr Swedbank PMI Survey: 50.2 v 50.5e
(PL) Poland Apr Manufacturing PMI: 49.2 v 49.5e
(HU) Hungary Mar Producer Prices M/M: +0.2% v -1.3% prior; Y/Y: 6.4% v 6.7%e
(NO) Norway Apr PMI: 53.7 v 57.0e
(TR) Turkey Apr Manufacturing PMI: 52.3 v 49.6 prior
(ES) Spain Apr Manufacturing PMI: 43.5 v 43.6e (three-year low)
(TH) Thailand Central Bank leaves Benchmark Interest Rate ...
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Dukascopy Afternoon Forex Overview : 27/04/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
Spain's credit rating was lowered by Standard & Poor's for a second time in 2012 on enduring worries the nation will have to apply additional fiscal backing to lenders as the economy shrinks. S&P cut its long term grade for Spain from A to BBB+ adding a negative outlook. Country's short term rating was lowered from A-1 to A-2, S&P agency reported on Thursday.
USD
Crude oil price declined from almost 4-week high in New York trade after S&P ratings agency cut Spain's sovereign credit rating, boosting concerns that further recession in Europe may halt demand for crude. Oil to be delivered in June lost USD 0.61, reaching USD 103.94 a barrel. June Brent oil gave up USD 0.49 and traded at USD 119.43 a barrel.
GBP
Today the Great Britain Pound extended its gains ...
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