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Been Increasing The DemandTitle:
Greek Debt Crisis: Answers to Frequently Asked Questions
Highlights
- An acceleration in deposit withdrawals, combined with the prospect of an anti-austerity party winning the next election, has brought to the fore concerns about a potential Greek exit from the euro zone.
- Our base case assumption is that under the most likely scenario, the Greek election will lead to a government that sticks to an EU/IMF program, even if the terms are renegotiated.
- However, we do believe that Greece needs a further restructuring of its debt and we do think the country will ultimately exit the euro - we're just not convinced that Europe is ready for this to happen at the moment.
- If an accident does occur and Greece does leave the euro in the near term, it would have global financial ramifications that could range from severe to catastrophic. ...
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Asian Market Update : 23/05/2012
Yen gains after BOJ stands pat; World Bank cuts China outlook, April lending looks weak; EUR falls on Papademos "grexit" mention
Economic Data
(JP) BANK OF JAPAN (BOJ) LEAVES TARGET RATE RANGE UNCHANGED BETWEEN 0.0% TO 0.10% (AS EXPECTED); Keeps economic assessment unchanged; Maintains asset purchase fund at ¥70T
(JP) JAPAN APR MERCHANDISE TRADE BALANCE TOTAL: -¥520B V -¥471BE; ADJUSTED: -¥480B V -¥617BE
(US) NORTH AMERICA SEMI EQUIPMENT INDUSTRY APR SALES BOOK TO BILL RATIO: 1.10 V 1.13 PRIOR (3RD CONSECUTIVE MONTH ABOVE PARITY, 1st decline in 7 months)
(AU) AUSTRALIA APR DEWR INTERNET SKILLED VACANCIES M/M: -0.8% V -0.5% PRIOR (4-month low)
(AU) AUSTRALIA MAR WESTPAC LEADING INDEX M/M: 0.4% V 0.0% PRIOR
(AU) AUSTRALIA MAR CONFERENCE BOARD LEADING INDEX M/M: +0.2% V 0.0% PRIOR
(SG) ...
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Gold falls as euro stumbles ahead of EU summit
(Reuters) - Gold eased on Tuesday under the weight of a weaker euro, while platinum shrugged off news of fresh disruption to production at South Africa's largest miner of the metal.
The euro remained clear of last week's four-month lows but was stuck in negative territory against the dollar ahead of an informal meeting later this week of European leaders aimed at discussing ways of stemming the debt crisis.
Across the broader markets, European blue-chip shares clung on to their gains, lifted by investors buying back some of the more heavily-sold names, while modest optimism that the summit could offer some interim solution to the crisis put pressure on safe-haven German Bunds.
Spot gold was down 1.0 percent at $1,576/26 an ounce by 6:15 a.m. EDT (1015 GMT). The price is still showing ...
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Exclusive: U.S. lets China bypass Wall Street for Treasury orders
(Reuters) - China can now bypass Wall Street when buying U.S. government debt and go straight to the U.S. Treasury, in what is the Treasury's first-ever direct relationship with a foreign government, according to documents viewed by Reuters.
The relationship means the People's Bank of China buys U.S. debt using a different method than any other central bank in the world.
The other central banks, including the Bank of Japan, which has a large appetite for Treasuries, place orders for U.S. debt with major Wall Street banks designated by the government as primary dealers. Those dealers then bid on their behalf at Treasury auctions.
China, which holds $1.17 trillion in U.S. Treasuries, still buys some Treasuries through primary dealers, but since June 2011, that route hasn't been necessary.
...
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Gold eases after failing to breach $1,600 an ounce
(Reuters) - Gold prices slipped on Monday after early buying failed to lift prices past $1,600 an ounce, with investors still cautious about the precious metal as they awaited clearer signals on the euro-zone debt crisis.
Last week, gold slid to its lowest level since December, then rallied 4.5 percent late in the week. Buying resumed early on Monday but ran out of steam, as mild technical selling set in around the session high of $1,599 an ounce -- gold's priciest level in a week and a half.
Spot gold was down 0.08 percent at $1,590.80 an ounce at 3:43 p.m. EDT (1910 GMT), while U.S. gold futures for June delivery settled at $1,588.70 per ounce, down 0.2 percent from Friday.
A close above $1,605 an ounce would trigger significant buying, traders said, but after last week's tumultuous ...
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Greek Chaos Continues But Solution Ultimately Found
- While waiting for the Greek election on 17 June we are likely to see continued high uncertainty and continued high stress in the markets. Things are likely to get worse before they get better.
- Amid this uncertainty, Greek citizens are likely to withdraw more money from their banks and this could escalate into a real bank run.
- A major game of chicken has started between the EU on the one hand and Greek politicians on the other.
- The EU is likely to stand firm on its demands for Greece to deliver austerity and give only a few concessions. The rethoric from the left coalition party Syriza is likely to continue to be fiercely against the EU as it is aiming to become the biggest party and get 50 bonus mandates for this.
- We look at three different post-election scenarios. ...
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Gold retreats as softer euro curbs rebound
(Reuters) - Gold eased a touch on Monday as a retreat in the euro arrested the metal's rebound from its 2012 lows, but prices remained supported near $1,600 an ounce as investors bet the metal's price correction had been overdone.
Spot gold was down 0.2 percent at $1,588.69 an ounce at 1220 GMT, while U.S. gold futures for June delivery were down $3.30 an ounce at $1,588.60.
Last week, gold fell to its lowest this year at $1,527 an ounce, before staging its biggest two-day rally since October as traders holding short positions rushed to cover.
"I suspect that what we saw last week was partly short covering, and that has helped us on the way up, with maybe a little bit of extra safe-haven interest," Mitsui Precious Metals analyst David Jollie said.
"In the next few weeks leading up to ...
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Gold steadies as softer euro curbs rebound
(Reuters) - Gold steadied in Europe on Monday as a retreat in the euro arrested the metal's rebound from its 2012 lows, but prices remained supported near $1,600 an ounce as investors bet the metal's price correction had been overdone.
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Spot gold was at $1,591.50 an ounce at 0932 GMT against $1,592.00 late on Friday. U.S. gold futures for June delivery were down $1.30 an ounce at $1,590.60.
Last week, gold fell to its lowest this year at $1,527 an ounce, before staging its biggest two-day rally since October as traders holding short positions rushed to cover.
"I suspect that what we saw last week was partly short covering, and that has helped us on the way up, with maybe a little bit of extra safe-haven interest," Mitsui Precious Metals analyst David Jollie said.
"In the next few weeks ...
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Weekly Economic and Financial Commentary : 19/05/2012
U.S. Review
To QE3 or Not To QE3: That is the Question
- Some market participants are beginning to speculate about another round of quantitative easing. Although recent growth indicators have not been particularly stellar, the economy is still growing. Moreover, core CPI inflation in the neighborhood of 2 percent means that the threshold for more QE is relatively high.
- Overall, indicators were positive during the week. Housing starts increased by 2.6 percent in April, the Empire Manufacturing index improved to 17.09 in May from a 6.56 print in April and retail sales printed a 0.1 percent increase in April, in line with expectations.
To QE3 or Not To QE3: That is the Question
QE3 seems to have more lives that a cat; it comes back into the forefront of the U.S. economy discussion ...
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