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Bearish Pressure GrowingTitle:
Dukascopy Afternoon Forex Overview : 23/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
German bunds rose on worries that European leaders will struggle to resolve the euro zone debt crisis during tonight's European summit. David Schnautz of Commerzbank AG in London thinks that Europe is unlikely to solve key topics and will probably disappoint the market. The 5-year bund lost 5 bp to 0.47 percent at 10:49 GMT after tumbling to 0.461 percent, the lowest since 1990, when Bloomberg began gathering data.
USD
Crude oil futures declined in Asian session on Wednesday as Iran is ready to invite nuclear inspectors, the move that may ease oil import sanctions. Light, sweet crude oil futures for July delivery traded at 91.27 US Dollars per barrel, retreating by 0.63% from the last session's high of 91.72 US Dollars per barrel.
GBP
Today the minutes of the ...
Title:
Analysis: World wheat bounty at risk as dry spell spooks market
(Reuters) - A damaging global dry spell is wilting wheat crops in Kansas, threatening exports from Russia and slowing sowing in Australia, serving a timely reminder to hedge funds that a new era of surplus grain is far from assured.
In their biggest surge since 1996, Chicago wheat prices jumped by more than 17 percent last week and reached a nearly 9-month high of more than $7 a bushel on Monday, a rally stoked by short-covering among big speculators -- a group that had amassed a near-record short position betting on falling prices.
By Tuesday, six days of buying subsided as analysts said the immediate weather-induced panic yielded to a more considered view: conditions are not as dire - at least not yet - as they were in 2010, when world trade in wheat was sharply curtailed as growing ...
Title:
Dukascopy Morning Forex Overview : 05/18/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
"Spain, once again, is where the confidence game is played"
- Sebastian Paris Horvitz, strategist at HSBC Private Bank Suisse
Spain sold the maximum targeted amount of debt, 2.5 billion euros, during yesterday’s auction with spiking borrowing costs. The interest rate of three-year bonds rose to 4.373% from April’s figure of 2.89% while interest rate of five-year bonds surged to 5.106% from 3.374 in March.
USD
"What we’re seeing in foreign-exchange markets is strong demand for the U.S. dollar"
- Steven Saywell, head of foreign-exchange strategy for Europe at BNP Paribas SA
Latest US initial unemployment claim data was released yesterday – 370 000 Americans demanded their jobless benefits last week versus a 368 000 consensus forecast. The Labor Department revised ...
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Euro slides on Greece, banking sector worries
The euro slid to a four-month low against the dollar on Thursday and was expected to remain under pressure as concerns grow about problems facing some periphery euro zone banks and the prospect of contagion if Greece exits the euro.
Growing aversion to risk drove investors towards the safety of the U.S. dollar, which rose to a four-month high against a basket of currencies, while the euro also dropped to a three-month low versus the yen.
Talk of possible Spanish bank downgrades pushed European equities .FTEU3 sharply lower. Shares in Spanish lender Bankia fell more than 20 percent following a report in the El Mundo newspaper that its customers had withdrawn more than 1 billion euros from their accounts over the past week.
This followed news on Wednesday that the European Central Bank ...
Title:
Holiday in Europe Keeps Trading Subdued
Forex News and Events:
While the news flow emanating from Europe has slowed, proving a temporary respite from risky assets, the pressure on Greek banks is growing. After market chatter and media reports, the ECB confirmed that some Greek banks had turned to the Bank of Greece for Emergency Liquidity Assistance (ELA) pending recapitalization. The recapitalization that was to be finalized 'soon', and in theory would allow troubled Greek banks to return to normal ECB funding channels. However, with the other story that massive deposits are being withdrawn from Greek banks (€700bn ins May 6th election) circulating, the erosion of core capital means the prospects of these institution quickly returning to ECB seem unlikely. The recent ECB 3 year LTRO operation was an attempt to build a firewall ...
Title:
Dukascopy Morning Forex Overview : 05/17/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
"We expect euro-region inflation to normalize in 2013"
- Michael Schubert, an economist at Commerzbank AG
Inflation in the seventeen nation bloc eased to 2.6 per cent in March from 2.7 per cent the previous month, said the European Union’s statistics office in Luxembourg on Wednesday.
USD
"Uncertainty about Greece and the effects a potential exit out of the euro would have on Europe, the global economy and the financial system in general is driving investors out of stocks into safe havens"
- Markus Huber, head of German sales trading at ETX Capital
The Standard & Poor's 500 lost 0.44%, or 5.86 points, to 1,324.80. The Dow Jones Industrial Average declined by 0.26%, or 33.45 points, to 12,598.55.
GBP
Unemployment figures are a "welcome step in the right ...
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Euro hovers near 4-month low on Greece fears
The euro hovered near a fourth-month low against the U.S. dollar on Wednesday and more losses could be in store as investors feared a Greek exit from the euro zone that could result in other peripheral countries following suit.
Adding to the bearish sentiment, euro zone central bank sources said the European Central Bank has stopped monetary policy operations with some Greek banks as they have not been successfully recapitalized.
The news briefly sent the euro below $1.27, approaching its session low of $1.2679, according to Reuters data. It was on track to test the January low of $1.2623, below which would mark the euro's lowest level since August 2010.
"The move was short-lived but it highlights the general distrust out there right now. For most people, there's no good reason to buy ...
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European markets set to open with more losses amid political woes
The tension is evident and the market remains negative amid the uncertainty over the euro outlook and growing fear of a Greek exit. The selloff was reignited midday yesterday after Greece said talks have failed and elections are now the only option.
Investors are worried that anti-austerity parties will be able to now win the vote and negate the agreement with lenders which will leave Greece insolvent and bankrupt, and eventually drop out of the euro! This tension is keeping the market on the edge and pressured stocks to their 2012 lows with the lead of financials of course.
The euro was surely on the receiving end and still trading under heavy bearish pressure. The EUR/USD as of 03:00 EST is hovering around $1.2695 trading below the critical $1.27 areas. The pair recorded the high of $1. ...
Title:
Dukascopy Morning Forex Overview : 11/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
"The overall manufacturing trend remains weak."
- Pierre-Olivier Beffy, chief economist at Exane BNP Paribas
French industrial production fell in March, said the national statistics office Insee on Thursday. Output contracted 0.9 per cent from February, when it gained 0.2 per cent.
USD
"It’s hard to get nervous that imports are rising."
- Dean Maki, chief U.S. economist at Barclays Capital Inc.
The number of Americans claiming for unemployment benefits fell to 367,000 in the week ended May 5 from 368,000 the week before, said the Department of Labor on Thursday.
GBP
"Our forecast is that they are done with QE, but you can’t rule out more later this year."
- Ross Walker, an economist at Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc
The Bank of England kept rates on hold ...
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