ForexTribe is a french website mainly created to share graphic analysis and trade ideas on the Forex Forum.
BearishTitle:
Dukascopy Afternoon Forex Overview : 23/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
German bunds rose on worries that European leaders will struggle to resolve the euro zone debt crisis during tonight's European summit. David Schnautz of Commerzbank AG in London thinks that Europe is unlikely to solve key topics and will probably disappoint the market. The 5-year bund lost 5 bp to 0.47 percent at 10:49 GMT after tumbling to 0.461 percent, the lowest since 1990, when Bloomberg began gathering data.
USD
Crude oil futures declined in Asian session on Wednesday as Iran is ready to invite nuclear inspectors, the move that may ease oil import sanctions. Light, sweet crude oil futures for July delivery traded at 91.27 US Dollars per barrel, retreating by 0.63% from the last session's high of 91.72 US Dollars per barrel.
GBP
Today the minutes of the ...
Title:
Risky trade getting hammered
Higher yielders remained under pressure as uncertainty continues to surround markets. The lack of assurance of an Imperative action on Greece from the euro leaders in their informal summit today makes things further vague for the destiny of the risky trade. While markets lack a conclusive expectation for the outcome of the summit majors look skeptical around key support levels.
During a teleconference earlier today, the Eurogroup Working Group (EWG); which consists of the officials preparing the meetings of finance minister, and form the board of the ESF as well, agreed that euro zone countries must consider and prepare for the consequences of a Greece exit. The move could have further negative impact on the common currency.
While Later today, the finance ministers are expected to unveil ...
Title:
Euro drops to 21-month low as break up risks mount
(Reuters) - The euro fell to a 21-month low against the dollar on Wednesday as investors added to bearish bets on growing concerns about a chaotic Greek exit and widespread skepticism about the outcome of an EU summit due later in the day.
EU leaders are expected to discuss growth-boosting measures but are not expected to produce any plan that would restore optimism among investors, especially given Germany remains strongly opposed to joint euro bonds.
Investors are doubtful that the leaders will come up with any measures to calm fears that have grown since an inconclusive Greek election earlier this month left the country on the path to bankruptcy and a possible exit from the euro zone.
The euro fell to $1.2615 on trading platform EBS, dropping below the 2012 low of $1.2624 set in ...
Title:
Fitch Fires Another Round
Forex News and Events:
Fitch downgraded Japan by two notches yesterday afternoon from AA to A+ with outlook negative. The agency justified the credit rating cuts by saying that the Japanese government isn’t reactive enough in tackling its “high and rising public debt ratios”. The move came in a few hours after the OECD urged Japan to prioritize the implementation of a fiscal consolidation plan, as debt-to-GDP ratio exceeds 200 percent, and budget deficits are forecast at 10 percent of GDP for the current year. PM Yoshihiko Noda has staked his political career on a law to increase sales tax to 10% with the goal of offsetting rising social security costs mainly due to the fast ageing of the population. But the opposition that controls the upper house is refusing to negotiate and is ...
Title:
Dukascopy Morning Forex Overview : 23/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
"The rally is mostly technically driven after we became quite oversold last week."
- Raimund Saxinger, a fund manager at Trust Investment GmbH
European stocks rose by the most in a month on Tuesday. The Stoxx Europe 600 Index gained 1.91 per cent to 244.76. Germany’s DAX Index edged higher 1.65 per cent and France’s CAC 40 Index added 1.88 per cent. The U.K.’s FTSE 100 Index rose 1.86 per cent to 5,403.28
USD
"People are becoming more confident about job prospects and about taking on mortgages."
- Millan Mulraine, a senior U.S. strategist at TD Securities Inc.
U.S. existing home sales rose in April to an annual rate of 4.62 million from 4.47 million in March, said the National Association of Realtors.
GBP
"These figures give the Monetary Policy Committee ...
Title:
YouTradeFX Daily Market Analysis : 23/05/2012
Fundamental News
Today’s highlights:
BoJ Press Conference (JAP, Tentative)
Retail Sales (MoM) + MPC Meeting Minutes (GB, 09.30 GMT)
Industrial New Orders (MoM) (EUR, Tentative)
CBI Industrial Trends Orders (GB, 11:00 GMT)
Core Retail Sales (MoM) (CAD, 13:30 GMT)
New Home Sales (U.S., 15:00 GMT)
The National Association of Realtors released a report on Tuesday showing a rebound in U.S. existing home sales in the month of April following a decrease in the previous month, sales rose by less than economists had anticipated. NAR said existing home sales rose 3.4 percent to an annual rate of 4.62 million in April from a downwardly revised 4.47 million in March.
Japan’s exports increased by a less-than- estimated 7.9 percent in April from a year earlier, underscoring ...
Title:
Technical analysis of the XAU/USD (Gold) pair on May 23th, 2012
Commentary of the XAU/USD (Gold) pair:
The pair XAU/USD has validated yesterday a return below 1580 points, offering a sell signal and is currently testing the next support at 1560 points.
The pair is moving below the lower band of its bearish channel (purple lines).
All indicators are bearish.
We continue to advise short positions as far as 1580 is resistance.
The breakout of 1560 will give a new sell signal and open the way towards 1540 points.
In case of return above 1580 points, we will wait the breakout of 1600 to advise long positions.
See the previous analysis of the XAU/USD pair of May 22th, 2012
XAU/USD Analysis
Title:
Technical analysis of the AUD/USD parity on May 23th, 2012
Commentary of the AUD/USD parity:
The pair AUD/USD has faked yesterday a return above 0.99 and then felt and broke the support at 0.98, offering a new sell signal.
The pair is moving below the lower band of its bearish channel (purple lines).
All indicators are bearish.
We continue to advise short positions as far as 0.99 is resistance.
The breakout of 0.9750 will give a new sell signal and open the way towards 0.97.
In case of return above 0.99, we will wait the breakout of 1.0 to advise long positons.
See the previous analysis of the AUD/USD parity of May 22th, 2012
AUD/USD Analysis
Title:
Technical analysis of the EUR/CHF pair on May 23th, 2012
Commentary of the EUR/CHF pair:
The pair EUR/CHF continues to move below the minor resistance at 1.2030 without volatility.
All indicators are neutral.
The pair seems to move below a bearish slant (purple line).
We continue to advise short positions as far as 1.2030 is resistance.
The breakout of 1.2010 will give a new sell signal and open the way towards 1.20.
In case of return below 1.2030, we will wait the breakout of 1.2050 to advise long positions.
See the previous analysis of the EUR/CHF pair of May 22th, 2012
EUR/CHF Analysis
|