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Risky trade getting hammered
Higher yielders remained under pressure as uncertainty continues to surround markets. The lack of assurance of an Imperative action on Greece from the euro leaders in their informal summit today makes things further vague for the destiny of the risky trade. While markets lack a conclusive expectation for the outcome of the summit majors look skeptical around key support levels.
During a teleconference earlier today, the Eurogroup Working Group (EWG); which consists of the officials preparing the meetings of finance minister, and form the board of the ESF as well, agreed that euro zone countries must consider and prepare for the consequences of a Greece exit. The move could have further negative impact on the common currency.
While Later today, the finance ministers are expected to unveil ...
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European Market Update : 23/05/2012
Euro hits fresh 2012 lows ahead of informal summit; More reports of an ECB contingency plan in the works
Economic Data
(GR) Greece Mar Current Account: -€2.1B v €1.1B prior
(NL) Netherlands Mar Consumer Spending Y/Y: % v -1.3% prior
(SE) Sweden Apr Unemployment Rate: % v 7.8%e
(EU) Euro Zone Apr Current Account: +€7.5B v -€5.6B prior; Current Account Seasonally Adj: +€7.5B v -€1.2B prior
(IT) Italy May Consumer Confidence: 86.5 v 89.5e (lowest reading on record after series began in 1996))
(ZA) South Africa Apr CPI (all items) M/M: 0.4% v 0.5%e; Y/Y: % v 6.2%e
(TW) Taiwan Apr Industrial Production Y/Y: -2.3% v -1.7%e; Commercial Sales Y/Y: -2.4% v -0.9% prior
(UK) Apr Retail Sales Ex Auto Fuel M/M: -1.0% v -0.7%e; Y/Y: -0.3% v +0.7%e
(UK) Apr Retail Sales with Auto Fuel M/M: -0.8% ...
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Euro Rebound Short-Lived
Sunrise Market Commentary
- Fixed Income: Profit taking continued, but now concluded?
- The profit taking on global core bond markets continued in the run-up to tonight's informal EU-Summit. Spanish and Italian spreads decreased significantly but yields remain at elevated levels. Today, the eco calendar is again thin and trading will again be driven by sentiment.
- Currencies: Euro rebound short-lived On
- Tuesday, the euro came again under pressure even as the global context was not that negative. Sentiment on risk was constructive and intra-EMU spreads narrowed, but all this didn't prevent investors to use any upticks in the single currency to further reduce exposure. The key 1.2642/24 support is again coming within reach.
The Sunrise Headlines
- In the final hour of ...
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Gold slips in line with euro ahead of EU meeting
(Reuters) - Gold fell towards $1,550 an ounce in Europe, pressured by concerns that a European Union meeting later on Wednesday would fail to significantly ease worries over the euro zone debt crisis which lifted the dollar to a 21-month high against the euro.
The dollar, along with German bond futures, benefited from a flight from riskier assets, including stocks and commodities such as copper and oil.
Spot gold was down 0.1 percent at $1,555.50 an ounce at 0930 GMT while U.S. gold futures for June delivery were down $20.60 an ounce at $1,556.00.
"Gold is acting more as a risky asset, and everything is tumbling this morning ahead of this informal finance ministers meeting, where nothing good is really expected," Societe Generale analyst Robin Bhar said.
"It is not inconceivable that ...
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Asia Session: Japan Is Thrust Into The Spotlight
Japan was in focus today, with the BOJ ending its two day meeting, yesterday’s downgrade by Fitch and some weak trade data. Overall, the data and announcements proved to be yen positive, pushing USDJPY back below 80.00 early in the session.
As expected, the BOJ board unanimously voted to leave policy unchanged at is two day meeting. However, there were some whispers in the market of a possible reduction in the interest rate on reserves and an extension of the JGB maturity guidelines, thus the decision not to move on policy contributed a substantial USDJPY pullback. Yet, the pair managed to regain its footing later in the session and the collapse was stopped around 79.50.
Whilst the better than expected Q1 growth figures and the wait-and-see attitude of the BOJ was the main contributor to ...
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U.S. Existing Home Sales Increase in April
U.S. Existing Home Sales Increase in April
- Existing home sales rose 3.4% in April to 4.62 million units (annualized), slightly ahead of market expectations.
- Sales of single-family homes rose 3.0% to 4.09 million units. Sales of condos/co-ops rose 6.0% to 0.53 million units.
- The median sales price for all homes was $177,400 in April, up from $164,800 in March. Median prices are up 10.1% from year ago levels.
Key Implications
- As expected, home sales in April continued their slow, but steady march upward. More eye-catching was the surge in the national median sales price to a level not seen since July 2010.
- We suspect that home prices will turn a corner by the second half of the year, and indeed this could be the first indication of that. Data from the most recent ...
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JPY Underperforms Amid Downgrade, Ahead of BoJ
USD stronger today against most of the majors amid higher global equities and higher U.S. treasury yields. A ratings downgrade in Japan, dampened EU Summit expectations and low growth projections in Europe, and slowing inflation in the UK are benefitting the USD. The dollar index rebounded from the 81.00 figure but remains below the double top around the 81.75 level and the dollar is currently strongest against the JPY as UST yields advance. On the data front, the May Richmond Fed manufacturing index (expected to soften to 11 from 14) and April existing home sales (forecast to increase 2.9% m/m to 4.61M) are set for release at the top of the hour.
EUR is weaker against most of the G10 currencies amid growth concerns and low expectations of the upcoming EU Summit. The OECD released update ...
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SunBirdFX Daily Market Analysis : 05/22/2012
www.sunbirdfx.com
Wall Street opened the trading week with the expected short-squeeze that launched NASDAQ 2.4%, mainly because of Apple. The short-positions holders decided to realize their investments and take profits, as the buyers took advantage of that for gaining profits by opening long positions. This momentum might continue in the next few days, and in this point, it is important to remember that the previous bearish session ended with a sharp bullish day, and this might be the signal for this possible turnover. However, it is too soon to know whether the stocks have stopped falling or not and we need to wait few more days.
AUD/USD
The recovery of the US stock markets weakened the USD against most of the currencies, which might start a correcting session against the USD. The ...
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Asia Session: Europe, Europe And More Europe
Nervousness underpinned price action today. Despite voices from throughout Europe attempting to reassure the market that Greece will remain in the euro, stock markets in Asia didn't significantly build on their opening gains and the euro slowly drifted lower throughout the session.
Why is the market behaving like this? In one word – caution. Investors are acutely aware that the talk from Europe may just be that, and when push comes to shove nothing may happen. And, in this case that is a very bad thing considering the fate of so many economies (both in Europe and elsewhere) hang in the balance.
Whilst there are many different views, most economists agree that letting Greece slipe away may prove to be more costly than keeping it in the Eurozone. Thus, the market wants reassurances that ...
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