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Be A Serious ThreatTitle:
OECD fears euro woe to snap brittle world recovery
(Reuters) - The United States and Japan are leading a fragile developed world recovery that could be blown off course if Europe fails to contain the damage from its problem debtor states, the OECD said on Tuesday.
It urged euro zone leaders to embrace all options for tackling the crisis, potentially including common bonds to go with the common currency.
In its twice-yearly economic outlook, the Paris-based Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development forecast that global growth would ease to 3.4 percent this year from 3.6 percent in 2011, before accelerating to 4.2 percent in 2013, in line with its last estimates from late November.
"The global economic outlook is still cloudy," OECD Secretary General Angel Gurria told reporters.
"At first sight the prospects for the global ...
Title:
Greek Chaos Continues But Solution Ultimately Found
- While waiting for the Greek election on 17 June we are likely to see continued high uncertainty and continued high stress in the markets. Things are likely to get worse before they get better.
- Amid this uncertainty, Greek citizens are likely to withdraw more money from their banks and this could escalate into a real bank run.
- A major game of chicken has started between the EU on the one hand and Greek politicians on the other.
- The EU is likely to stand firm on its demands for Greece to deliver austerity and give only a few concessions. The rethoric from the left coalition party Syriza is likely to continue to be fiercely against the EU as it is aiming to become the biggest party and get 50 bonus mandates for this.
- We look at three different post-election scenarios. ...
Title:
Gold jumps 2.6 percent after slump; dead-cat bounce?
Gold rallied more than 2.6 percent on Thursday, its largest one-day gain since late January, as technical buy signals and new signs of a sluggish U.S. economy more than offset deepening despair over the euro zone.
After flirting with a bear market on Wednesday, down more than 20 percent from its September record, bullion rallied early after Philadelphia Federal Reserve data showed a contraction in factory activity in the U.S. mid-Atlantic region that rekindled some hope the Fed would plough more money into the system to stimulate the economy, traders said.
Technical buying also fueled gains after gold had nearly hit a key December low, trading just shy of key technical long-term support at the 100-week moving average of $1,515 per oz.
But with the euro and U.S. stocks in decline and ...
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Gold off 4-1/2 month low on increased physical buying
Gold rose more than 1 percent on Thursday, bouncing off a 4-1/2 month low, as weaker prices attracted new physical buyers, but gains were likely to be limited as the euro was undermined by fears of a deepening debt crisis in Greece.
Spot gold rose 1 percent to $1,553.80 an ounce by 09.07 a.m. EDT, from $1,538.30 late in New York on Wednesday, when it plunged to $1,527 - its weakest since December 29.
The precious metal rose to a high of $1,557.56 earlier, helped by the approaching expiry of gold options in the COMEX futures market.
U.S. gold futures hit a high of $1,557.90 an ounce and were at $1,554.30, up 1.1 percent. The contract had plunged to a multi-month low of $1,526.70 on Wednesday.
Gold, traditionally a safe-haven asset, has been moving in tandem with riskier assets such as ...
Title:
Greece Fears Pressure, BoE Cuts Growth Forecast
Greece Fears Pressure, BoE Cuts Growth Forecast
The euro (EUR) recovered a little yesterday against the dollar edging higher to 1.2758 from 1.2681 as risk sentiment in the market improved slightly. Investors remain worried about Greece's ability to avoid bankruptcy and stay in the euro ahead of Greece's second election. Greece put a senior judge Panagiotis Pikramenos to be the leader of the Greek caretaker government until election on June 17. The single currency may remain under pressure on fears that a Greek exit from the euro may have a serious impact on countries such as Spain, Italy and Portugal. Some Greek banks were moved to an emergency funding assistance program due to the deteriorating quality of their capital.
The US dollar (USD) strengthened against a basket of currencies ...
Title:
China’s growth engine cooling down
Forex News and Events:
As anticipated in Friday’s newsletter, China cut its Reserve Requirement Ratio for the second time this year. Shielded by easing inflation, Chinese authorities relaxed their grip on banks’ cash reserves parked at the PBoC through a 50 basis point cut effective starting May 18. This measure will allow the RRR to drop to 20% for the main national financial institutions and will release an estimated CNY 400bn in capital into the market. The move came after the publication of a weaker-than-expected Chinese Trade balance on Thursday, indicating exports and imports grew by 4.9% and 0.3% y-o-y respectively, a far cry from the 10 and 11 percent goals for the year. The near-zero import growth could be explained by the piling up of metal domestic inventories and might affect ...
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SunBirdFX Daily Market Analysis : 05/10/2012
www.sunbirdfx.com
The battle between the sellers and the buyers in Wall Street continued yesterday, as the indices closed on the red territory but made bull candlesticks on the daily chart. The volumes in the US stock markets are higher than average these days, which indicate for the tension among the traders. It looks like the indices are ready for the bullish correction, but the threat of another bearish session still exists.
GBP/USD
We keep mentioning that the pound is a strong currency that suffered from Wall Street weakening otherwise it would probably trade around 1.65 today. The pair made an accurate retest to the break-up level at 1.65, slide under it, and know it has to overcome this obstacle one more time in order to continue rising. Yesterday's candlestick was a long-tail ...
Title:
Risk Aversion Boosts the USD, JPY
USD trading broadly higher (except against the JPY) as the Greek political impasse is raises concerns and increases risk aversion. The IMF remained firm saying that Greece must deliver necessary economic reforms and that it is not acceptable for the country to seek laxer loan terms. German officials are speaking out as well calling the latest developments ‘very worrying' and saying that Greeks must decide whether or not they want to stay in the euro. It is another light day for economic data in the US with weekly mortgage applications rising by +1.7% and March wholesale inventories due out at 1000ET. UST yields continues their descent across the curve with the 10-year yield falling below the 1.80% level as a result of both increased risk aversion and increased speculation of QE3. The ...
Title:
Gold slips as Europe elections hurt the euro, stocks
Gold eased on Monday after elections in France and Greece at the weekend reflected strong anti-austerity feeling and raised concerns over the euro zone's ability to battle its debt crisis, knocking the euro to a three-month low versus the dollar.
Greek voters in particular rejected the austerity-for-aid policies that have shielded the country from bankruptcy and a euro exit, dealing a serious blow to the euro zone's fragile political consensus on debt.
Assets seen as higher risk, like stocks and commodities, came under pressure along with the euro. European stocks slumped to 4-1/2 month lows, Brent crude oil fell to its lowest since January, and safe-haven German Bund futures hit record highs.
Spot gold was down 0.1 percent at $1,639.60 an ounce at 0942 GMT, having earlier dropped as ...
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