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Bailout Weighed On The EuroTitle:
Greek Chaos Continues But Solution Ultimately Found
- While waiting for the Greek election on 17 June we are likely to see continued high uncertainty and continued high stress in the markets. Things are likely to get worse before they get better.
- Amid this uncertainty, Greek citizens are likely to withdraw more money from their banks and this could escalate into a real bank run.
- A major game of chicken has started between the EU on the one hand and Greek politicians on the other.
- The EU is likely to stand firm on its demands for Greece to deliver austerity and give only a few concessions. The rethoric from the left coalition party Syriza is likely to continue to be fiercely against the EU as it is aiming to become the biggest party and get 50 bonus mandates for this.
- We look at three different post-election scenarios. ...
Title:
London copper inches above 4-month lows; euro zone weighs
London copper peeked above four-month lows on Friday on short-covering and signs that Greeks are warming to pro-austerity parties, allaying some fears the country could leave the euro zone.
Still, worries about Spain's finances and reports of Chinese copper inflows onto the London Metal Exchange (LME) will likely cap gains in the session.
Three-month LME copper inched up 0.4 percent to $7,682 a metric ton (1.1023 tons) by 00:25 a.m. EDT, after closing almost flat in the previous session.
The most active August copper contract on the Shanghai Futures Exchange (ShFE) fell 0.3 percent to 55,580 yuan ($8,800) a tonne, a partial rebound after a steeper fall at the open.
The Shanghai contract rose 1.9 percent on Thursday, much more than its London counterpart, after diving on Wednesday to ...
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Asian stocks dropped as risk appetite vanished amid worries over Greece
After the talks to form a new Greek government failed yesterday, Asian investors lost their appetite risk, especially amid downbeat economic data from Japan and Australia which weighed down on sentiment even more, dragging the MSCI Asia Pacific Index down 2.5%.
The Greek President Karolos Papoulias failed yesterday to form a ruling coalition. This means the country will hold new elections in June. This time the far-left anti-bailout party Syriza is expected to win, which may push the country to exit the euro zone.
Also weighing down on sentiment was the unexpected drop in Japan’s machine orders by 2.8% in March compared with a year earlier, and a report showing that new lending by China’s biggest-four state-owned banks was flat in the first two weeks of May.
Meanwhile, the Australian ...
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Global shares sag as Greek turmoil saps risk appetite
Asian shares fell more than 3 percent, the biggest one-day drop in six months, and the dollar rose broadly on Wednesday after efforts to form a new government in Greece collapsed, fuelling fears that a second election in June could precipitate Athens' exit from the euro zone and deepen the bloc's debt crisis.
European shares were expected to extend losses as well, with financial spreadbetters predicting that major European markets .FTSE .FCHI .GDAXI would open down as much as 1 percent. U.S. stock futures were down 0.2 percent. .EU .L .N
Investors continued to reduce positions in riskier assets, leading to a fall of more than $1 in oil prices and a drop to a 4-month low for spot gold, while lifting the dollar which tends to be seen as safe haven in times of heightened uncertainty.
MSCI' ...
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Brent rise boosts premium to slumping U.S. crude
Brent oil edged higher on Tuesday, snapping three days of declines and pushing its premium to slumping U.S. crude back above $18 a barrel, as supportive German economic growth helped counter political turmoil in Greece.
Anticipation that inventory reports will show U.S. crude stocks rose an eighth straight time last week, adding to record stockpiles at Cushing, Oklahoma, helped pressure U.S. crude and increase its price deficit to Brent, brokers and traders said.
The approach of the June Brent contract's expiration on Wednesday also helped raise the premium to U.S. June crude to $18.26 a barrel based on settlements.
Brent's premium to U.S. crude pushed above $18 for the first time since April 16, when news of this week's planned reversal of the Seaway crude pipeline broke.
The pipeline ...
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Dukascopy Afternoon Forex Overview : 05/15/2012
Dukascopy Fundamental Analysis
EUR
Investors battered European stocks, dumped the bonds of Spain and Italy, and bid the euro down against the dollar Monday after the collapse of weekend coalition talks in Greece edged that country closer to an exit from the euro zone.
USD
Retail sales in the U.S. rose in April at the slowest pace of the year, showing unseasonably mild weather and pre-Easter shopping may have pulled consumers to stores the prior month.
GBP
Governor Mervyn King looks set to leave the door open to more support for the struggling economy when he presents the Bank of England's new economic outlook on Wednesday, which is likely to show a tricky mix of lower growth and higher inflation ahead.
CHF
Swiss stocks lost ground on Monday on concern Greece will exit the Eurozone.
...
Title:
Speculation On Grexit Continues To Hammer The Euro
Sunrise Market Commentary
- Fixed Income: Global core bonds profit from euro debt crisis
- Concerns about Greece and Spain underpinned the ongoing rally of global core bonds. The German 10-year yield fell below 1.50%. Intra-EMU yield spreads versus Germany widened substantially. Today, the eco calendar is enticing. If no euro debt crisis news acts as a circuit breaker, the eco data may for once drive the price action.
- Currencies: Speculation on Grexit continues to hammer the euro.
- At the start of the new trading week, the Greek crisis remained the key factor for currency trading. With no visibility on the outcome of the EMU crisis, the easiest way for the euro is south. EUR/USD set a new correction low. EUR/GBP dropped below the 0.8000. This morning, strong German ...
Title:
Dukascopy Morning Forex Overview : 15/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
"Industrial producion is a imely reminder that firstquarter GDP will likely show a contracion."
- Marin van Vliet, an economist at ING
Industrial producion in the Eurozone contracted unexpectedly in March, Eurostat data showed on Monday. Producion fell 0.3 per cent from February, when it rose 0.8 per cent.
USD
"The fear factor is definitely higher."
- Madelynn Matlock, a fund manager at Hunington Asset Advisor
U.S. stocks retreated on Monday on a poliical impasse in Greece.
GBP
"I can’t see even after the next Greek election a government appearing that will be able to do anything else than perhaps manage the Greek exit."
- Simon Sole, chief execuive officer of Exclusive Analysis Ltd.
U.K. stocks tumbled on Monday. The benchmark FTSE 100 Index fell 1.97%, or ...
Title:
Asian stocks drop as Greece put the euro zone’s unity at risk
Asian stocks dropped, with the MSCI Asia Pacific Index sliding 0.9% at 14:00 in Tokyo, as the Greek political deadlock continues, the slowdown in China’s economy was confirmed again while Europe’s economy is expected to shrink for the first time since 2009.
Greece continues to put the euro zone unity at risk, as the political parties are still in talks for a ninth day today, in a last attempt to form a government and avoid another round of elections in June, during which the far-left anti-bailout party Syriza is expected to win, which may push the country to exit the eurozone.
Also weighing on sentiment was Moody’s decision to downgrade 26 Italian banks yesterday, fueling concerns over Europe’s growth and keeping risk appetite subdued, especially before a report that may show Europe’s ...
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