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Awaited The Dollar Index

Title: Gold Falls on Worries in Markets, Before EU Summit
Precious-Gold dropped as worries in markets after Fitch downgrade to Japan and before an awaited informal EU summit tomorrow damped demand on the yellow metal. Concerns increased after Japan had its credit ranking slashed by Fitch which revealed that Japan`s slackening response to tackling its public debt burden is the key reason behind the downgrade. On the other hand, worries from the euro area continued amid speculations there would be frictions among European leaders at their meeting in Brussels tomorrow. While the newly elected French President Francois Hollande will propose introducing Eurobonds to ease the tensions in European bond markets, German Chancellor Angela Merkel said she will not be shy to reject Hollande`s idea of introducing Eurobonds. Hence, with possible ...

Title: Dukascopy Morning Forex Overview : 10/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis EUR "The real concern isn’t about Greece, it’s about the euro and whether it breaks up -- that is key." - Mark Tinker, a fund manager at AXA Framlington Investment EUR Management European stocks declined on Wednesday as investors awaited resolution of Greek coalition talks and yields on Spanish 10-year bonds rose above 6 per cent. USD "Certainly as a result of the elections in Greece, the odds of a default and an exit from the euro have increased." - James Dunigan, chief investment officer for PNC Wealth Management U.S. wholesale inventories rose in March at a slowest pace since November, Commerce Department data showed on Wednesday. GBP "Consumers, struggling to balance their household budgets, remain reluctant to spend..." - Stephen Robertson, BRC director ...

Title: Dukascopy Afternoon Forex Overview : 04/09/2012
Dukascopy Fundamental Analysis EUR European stocks dropped for a second day, to the lowest level in almost four months, as investors awaited a resolution to the political impasse in Greece and as Spanish credit risk surged. The Stoxx Europe 600 Index (SXXP) lost 1.1 percent to 247.75 at 2:15 p.m. in London, the lowest since Jan. 13, as the euro weakened for an eighth day. The Stoxx 600 has tumbled 9 percent from this year’s high on March 16, trimming this year’s advance to 1.3 percent. USD U.S. stock futures retreated, indicating the Dow Jones Industrial Average will drop for a sixth straight day, as Greece’s political impasse intensified concern about a worsening of the European sovereign-debt crisis. GBP U.K. retail sales fell the most in more than a year last month as poor weather ...

Title: Dukascopy Afternoon Forex Overview : 04/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis EUR German DAX index edged lower on Friday as investors awaited for US jobs data amid dropping commodity prices. Moreover European investors stayed cautious ahead of elections in Germany, Italy, France and Greece this weekend. At the moment of writing DAX index is 0.53% or 36.65 points down at 6,657.64. USD Crude oil futures moved higher during Asian session on Friday amid broadly weaker US Dollar. The greenback's index that measures its performance against six main currencies declined by 0.05% to 79.24 US Dollars. Meanwhile, light, sweet crude oil futures for delivery in June traded at 102.67 Us Dollars per barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange, advancing by 0.13%. GBP Royal Bank of Scotland Group said on Friday its loss for the first three months of 2012 ...

Title: The Sterling Pound Drops as the Kingdom slips into Recession
The sterling pound reversed sharply to the downside against the low yielding U.S. dollar, cutting some of the gains recorded in the past week after the downbeat growth figures from the United Kingdom, where the pound fell on pessimism the royal economy slipped back into a technical recession after posting two quarters of contraction. The Office for National Statistics announced today that the United Kingdom contracted in the first quarter of 2012 by 0.2%, extending the previous contraction of 0.3% seen in the fourth quarter of 2011, adding pressures on the British Government led by the Premier David Cameron. The economic conditions seem to be worsening in the United Kingdom, where policy makers are not able to provide more stimulus as inflation remained above the target and also above ...

Title: Dukascopy Morning Forex Overview : 20/04/2012
Fundamental Analysis EUR "The debt crisis is far from over still and I think Spain will be worse before it gets better" - Henrik Drusebjerg, a senior equity strategist at Nordea Bank AB Spain sold 2.54 billion euros of debt dated 2014 and 2022 on Thursday, above the target range of 1.5 to 2.5 billion euros for the auction. USD "Progress in the labor market is not quite as strong as people had hoped, but we are still on a recovery track here" - Scott Brown, chief economist at Raymond James & Associates Inc. The number of Americans claiming for unemployment benefits declined by 2,000 to 386,000 in the week ended April 14 from the week before, said the Department of Labor on Thursday. GBP "Economic data does look like it is showing some stabilization" - Samantha Fitzpatrick, senior ...

Title: Dukascopy Afternoon Forex Overview : 19/04/2012
Fundamental Analysis EUR France and Spain plan to assemble EUR 13.5 billion (USD 17.6 billion) in bill auction today as Spanish PM Rajoy struggles to reduce budget deficit and presidential elections in the France drive yields up. France is issuing 2017 bills and 2018 inflation linked notes, a maximum target of EUR 11 billion while Spain is planning to raise EUR 2.5 billion in 2-year and 10-year bonds. USD The IMF announced that it has secured 320 billion US Dollars in drive for increasing the fund's lending capacity. Switzerland and Poland have already contributed to the fund expansion. The IMF hopes to raise about 400 billion US Dollars in commitments from countries around the world. The move followed surging borrowing costs of Italy and Spain that escalated concerns over the Euro ...

Title: April Fears Ahead of Fed, Spain & China
April Fears Ahead of Fed, Spain & China Forced Liquidation or Improved Sentiment? Recent intermittent bounces in EURUSD in the face of surging Eurozone spreads are said to be reflecting possible liquidation by European banks unloading US assets to relieve an ensuing shortage of US dollars. Other explanations were attributed to the IMF buying Irish and Portuguese bailout tranches during the late European trading hours, taking advantage of cheaper levels (lowest since Feb 15). But as long as traders find no confidence in battling the coordinated efforts of asset-buying central banks and the Fed produces no new dissenters to the ultra low rates til 2014 mantra, risk currencies may be assured to find support. Spanish government bonds are now the latest victim of bond traders typical one- ...

Title: Buoyant German investor confidence report eases tensions before Spanish bond selling
German investor confidence causes improvement in the sentiment after showing better than anticipated rise for the fifth consecutive month in April before an awaited Spanish bond selling. German ZEW survey economic sentiment rose to 23.4 in April, the highest level in nearly two years, defying analysts' expectations of seeing a drop to 19.0, compared to March's reading of 22.3. The current situation reading also exceeded both forecasts of 35.0 and the prior reading of 37.6 as it came in at 40.7. The index showed progress despite the tensions spreading in markets after the rise in Spanish bond yield to levels close to those forced euro area members, specifically, Greece, Portugal and Ireland, to ask for international bailouts. Probably, the advance came on the back of hopes the euro ...



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