ForexTribe is a french website mainly created to share graphic analysis and trade ideas on the Forex Forum.
Australian Economy ContinuesTitle:
Euro knocked by Greece worries, more losses likely
The euro fell to a four-month low against the dollar on Wednesday and risked more losses on the prospect of prolonged political instability in Greece that could result in the country exiting the euro.
With Greece announcing fresh elections next month and investors concerned about the knock-on effects of a Greek euro exit for economies like Spain and Italy, investors fled the euro and sought the perceived safety of the dollar and the yen.
The dollar rose to its highest in four months against a basket of currencies, while the euro also hit a three-month low versus the yen.
The euro dropped to $1.2681 against the dollar on EBS trading platform, which left it on track to test the January low of $1.2624, below which would mark the euro's lowest level since August 2010.
However, it recovered ...
Title:
Weak Outlook for Australia
Forex News and Events:
The S&P GSCI Index reversed its 2011 gains in the last six consecutive trading sessions. As a matter of fact, the index tracking 24 commodities broke down 7.6% from a high of 684.15 on April 30th to a more than four-month low low of 634.25 during yesterday’s trade session. This downturn in commodity prices can be explained on the one hand by headlines from the Euro area, as markets seem to be pricing in a second round of elections in Greece as well as a probable EU exit. On the other hand, the marked slowdown of commodity-intensive economies such as China -see Newsletter May 14- pushed prices lower in light of atrophied demand and lower infrastructure investments. From the foreign exchange perspective, the Australian dollar having experienced a 34% appreciation ...
Title:
Dukascopy Morning Forex Overview : 15/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
"Industrial producion is a imely reminder that firstquarter GDP will likely show a contracion."
- Marin van Vliet, an economist at ING
Industrial producion in the Eurozone contracted unexpectedly in March, Eurostat data showed on Monday. Producion fell 0.3 per cent from February, when it rose 0.8 per cent.
USD
"The fear factor is definitely higher."
- Madelynn Matlock, a fund manager at Hunington Asset Advisor
U.S. stocks retreated on Monday on a poliical impasse in Greece.
GBP
"I can’t see even after the next Greek election a government appearing that will be able to do anything else than perhaps manage the Greek exit."
- Simon Sole, chief execuive officer of Exclusive Analysis Ltd.
U.K. stocks tumbled on Monday. The benchmark FTSE 100 Index fell 1.97%, or ...
Title:
US Dollar Gains Against Euro in Forex Trading
US dollar is heading higher against the euro in Forex trading right now, gaining as concerns about Spain and Greece come into sharper focus. Greenback is also higher against the Canadian dollar and other commodity currencies as oil prices and gold prices drop. UK pound, though, is gaining against the US dollar, as is the Japanese yen.
US dollar is turning in a mixed performance today, gaining against the euro and many commodity currencies as Forex traders look for safe haven against the volatility brought on by troubles continuing in Greece and Spain. In Greece, difficulties about forming a government, and the future of the austerity measures agreed to for the bailout, are causing uncertainty. In Spain, the financial sector continues to struggle, and doubts remain about Spain’s ability to ...
Title:
Euro Extends Its Trip South As Speculation On Greek Exit Is Growing
Sunrise Market Commentary
- Fixed Income: Core bonds higher at first, but gave back gains in US session
- Fears about Greece and Spain continued to boost core bonds, but a rumours, later confirmed, that the EFSF would today disburse a tranche of the Greek bail-out loan triggered some correction and erased part of the German bond gains and almost all of the US ones. Today, the BoE decision on QE may affect overall bond markets.
- Currencies: euro extends its trip South as speculation on Greek exit is growing
- On Wednesday, trading on global markets was still dominated by negative headlines on Europe. This weighed on the euro. After all, the decline of EUR/USD developed in an orderly way even as several EMU policymakers pondered the option of a Greek exit. Today, the BoE holds ...
Title:
Risk Aversion Boosts the USD, JPY
USD trading broadly higher (except against the JPY) as the Greek political impasse is raises concerns and increases risk aversion. The IMF remained firm saying that Greece must deliver necessary economic reforms and that it is not acceptable for the country to seek laxer loan terms. German officials are speaking out as well calling the latest developments ‘very worrying' and saying that Greeks must decide whether or not they want to stay in the euro. It is another light day for economic data in the US with weekly mortgage applications rising by +1.7% and March wholesale inventories due out at 1000ET. UST yields continues their descent across the curve with the 10-year yield falling below the 1.80% level as a result of both increased risk aversion and increased speculation of QE3. The ...
Title:
Euro Slides On Greek Uncertainty
The euro (EUR) fell below the 1.30 level against the dollar sliding as low as 1.2965 from 1.3059 as political uncertainty in Greece continues to weigh on market sentiment. Greece's Left Coalition party leader Tsipras, who is expected to form a new coalition government, warned yesterday that the country's commitment to a European Union/International Monetary Fund rescue plan had become null and void. His statement raised fears about the country's ability to avoid bankruptcy and stay in the eurozone as Greece needs to follow the necessary austerity measures in order to receive the next bailout money. World equities tumbled yesterday as the political uncertainty is causing a broader retreat from risky assets. Also, German Industrial Production figures were released yesterday, which showed an ...
Title:
Weekly Economic and Financial Commentary : 04/05/2012
U.S. Review
Modest Growth on a Broadening Base
- The underlying tone of the recent economic reports remains consistent with modest economic growth. Consumer spending ended the first quarter on a solid note and spending is now on track to grow at a 2 percent pace in the second quarter.
- Reports from the regional manufacturing surveys showed some weakness but the National ISM report came in stronger than expected. The nonmanufacturing survey, however, came in below expectations.
- Nonfarm employment rose by 115,000 jobs in April and the unemployment rate fell 0.1 percent to 8.1 percent.
Modest Growth on a Broadening Base
This week's ISM report came in better than expected, rising 1.4 points to 54.8 in April, which greatly relieves fears built up from the weaker factory orders ...
Title:
When Will Volatility Pick Up
The Week Ahead
Highlights
When will volatility pick up
Digesting payrolls
Will there be more QE for the UK?
Data Watch
When will volatility pick up?
Volatility in US Treasuries is at its lowest level since 2007, so too is volatility in the FX options market for short-term EURUSD products and the Vix has fallen sharply since peaking in autumn 2011. Yet Europe's sovereign stresses remain as strong as ever, Spain and Italy are struggling to sell their sovereign debt to anyone bar their domestic banking sectors and election risks are enormous as Greece and France go to the polls on Sunday.
So why is volatility so low? The answer lies with central banks and fairly tight FX ranges. When central banks come in and pledge that interest rates will remain extremely low until 2014, ...
|