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Attention To The Development In The EuroTitle:
Euro Rebounds, Focus On The UK Inflation
The euro (EUR) edged higher to 1.2824 rebounding from 1.2724 against the US dollar on hopes that EU leaders will agree on steps to fight the debt crisis in Europe. Investors expect the French President Francois Hollande to suggest joint eurozone bonds at the EU meeting in Brussels on May 23. The idea of joint bonds can help with funding difficulties for some heavily-indebted eurozone countries but that policy has been rejected by Germany before. EU leaders are also expected to focus more on growth and ways to help Greece stay in the euro. The single currency remains under pressure as the market is worried about Spain’s growing financial problems as well as developments in Greece ahead of a repeat election in June.
The US dollar (USD) stumbles against a basket of currencies on an improved ...
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YouTradeFX Daily Market Analysis : 22/05/2012
Fundamental News
Today’s highlights:
· CPI (MoM) (GB, 09:30 GMT)
· BOE Inflation Letter (GB, Tentative)
· Existing Home Sales (U.S., 15 :00 GMT)
The U.S. labor market is set to strengthen this year, a survey published by the National Association for Business Economics said Monday. The survey of 54 economists said non-farm payroll increases will average 188,000 per month this year, up from the prior projection of 170,000. The jobless rate is expected to fall to 8 percent by the fourth quarter of 2012.
Japan’s foreign investments and assets grew to the second-highest level on record as companies used the high yen to make acquisitions abroad, a trend that may help them cope with stagnant demand at home. Investments abroad grew 3.3 percent to 582 trillion yen ($7. ...
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Main Focus to Remain On Spain and Greece As Well As U.K. Fundamentals
Worries are expected to continue this week in the European continent amid the fiscal and economic woes in Spain in addition to the political upheavals in Greece.
The situation seems to be getting worse which may provoke the need for further measures by European officials to prevent the escalation of the European debt crisis.
Fears soared last week after the downgrade of Spain`s Banco Santander, the country`s largest lender, and BBVA by Moody`s amid the government`s efforts to reform the ailing banking sector, and the rise in borrowing cost at a bond selling auction.
On the other hand, fundamentals showed that the euro area`s fourth largest economy recorded 0.3% contraction in the first quarter, following the 0.3% contraction in the last quarter of 2011; therefore, the country is ...
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Higher Yielding Currencies Maintain Bearish Trend
Higher Yielding Currencies Maintain Bearish Trend
Higher yielding currencies, namely the EUR and AUD, remained bearish during European trading yesterday, as fears that Greece will have to leave the euro-zone led to risk aversion in the marketplace. Investors are now worried about what the possible effects of a Greek exit from the euro-zone would be for other indebted countries, including Spain and Italy. Today, traders will want to note that there is a bank holiday in France, Germany and Switzerland. That being said, news out of the US may lead to market volatility. The Unemployment Claims figure and Philly Fed Manufacturing Index are both forecasted to show US economic growth. If true, the USD could see gains during the afternoon session.
Economic News
USD - Manufacturing Data Could ...
Title:
Greek Political Impasse Leads to Euro Losses
The euro started off yesterday's trading session on a positive note following a better than expected German Prelim GDP figure which caused the EUR/USD to advance to 1.2868. That being said, the common currency came under pressure later in the day following another failed attempt by Greek politicians to form a new government, virtually guaranteeing new elections will take place next month. As a result, the euro fell as low as $1.2769 during the afternoon sessoin. Turning to today, traders will want to pay attention to the US FOMC Meeting Minutes, set to be released at 18:00 GMT. Any signs that the Federal Reserve is preparing for another round of quantitative easing could result in the greenback turning bearish.
Economic News
USD - US Manufacturing Data Sends USD/JPY Over 80.00
The ...
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Market Drivers - Currencies
Market Drivers - Currencies -Today's Comment
What a day yesterday - just what we had expected after the MSCI World, the CRB index, gold and EURUSD had breached the gradually established trend channels and important technical levels. The 'trigger' for the general movement was the announcement from Greece to the effect that no agreement could be reached and that a new election will be called. Particularly NOK and SEK was under fire, and 'belief' of the scandies investors was definitely tested. What actually happened is that the investors were very heavily invested in SEK and NOK, and now that everybody wants out, the door is narrow. We have said it before - NOK and SEK are not safe havens (at least only during very calm periods).
Today - in the midst of the important events - we will get ...
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Crude finds relief after better than expected German GDP
Crude oil found strong support from the German data today to halt the sharp downside wave and starts an upside correction after the sharp losses. Germany remains the rescuer for the Euro area’s economy after it grew better than expected in the first quarter, offering room in the market for relief.
Crude oil opened today’s session at $94.04 and reached so far a high of $95.01 and a low of $93.95, where it is currently trading around $94.75 a barrel. The commodity found strong support from the weakening dollar that declined from the opening at 80.70 to the low of 80.48.
Uncertainty remains in Europe but relief is seen after the Euro’s biggest economy Germany released its first quarter GDP figures beating all estimates. The German economy grew by 0.5% over quarterly basis recovering from ...
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YouTradeFX Weekly Market Analysis : 14/05/2012
Consumer sentiment in the U.S. rose to 77.8 in May from the final April reading of 76.4, according to a report released by Reuters and the University of Michigan on Friday. While, the Labor Department said on Friday that its producer price index fell by 0.2 percent in April. According to Bloomberg news, Sales at U.S. retailers probably slowed in April as the weather turned more seasonable and consumers took a breather following a pre-Easter holiday buying spree, economists said before a report this week. The projected 0.2 percent gain in purchases would follow a 0.8 percent advance in March, according to the median forecast of 68 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News ahead of Commerce Department figures on May 15. Events in the U.S, likely to affect the markets this week are: Monday; a ...
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Dukascopy Morning Forex Overview : 14/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
"Equity markets are driven by two things: fundamentals and sentiment."
- Lorne Baring, managing director at B Capital SA
European stocks climbed on Friday after a report showed U.S. consumer confidence increased to the highest level in four years in May.
USD
"Confidence has been boosted by lower gasoline prices."
- Paul Dales, a senior economist at Capital Economics Ltd.
U.S. consumer confidence rose by more than expected in May as consumers became more optimistic on the outlook of the country's economy.
GBP
"The April producer price data … do little overall to reduce the uncertainty as to whether or not the Bank of England will eventually do more Quantitative Easing."
- Howard Archer, an economist at HIS Global Insight
U.K. producer prices rose by more than ...
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