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Dukascopy Afternoon Forex Overview : 22/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
Gold extended previous gains in Asian session on Tuesday as concerns over Greek exit from the single currency union eased. At G8 summit leaders of eighth largest economies stated that they would do everything possible to retain Greece in the Euro Zone. COMEX gold June contract traded at 1,592.35 US Dollars per troy ounce on the New York Mercantile Exchange, advancing by 0.23%.
USD
The US Senate has passed a bill aimed at tightening sanctions imposed on Iran to force the country to cease its nuclear program. The new sanctions imply investigation of role of Iran's Revolutionary Guard in oil exports as well as obliging the US companies to disclose any business activities with Iranian partners. The move came ahead of negotiations between Iran and six major ...
Title:
No News is good News, or?
MORNING BRIEFING: No News is good News, or?
What’s new:
Asia: Awaiting news from Greece and potential spill-over effects. JPY offered on speculation that BoJ will add stimulus to boost growth.
United States: Risk aversion moved flow from stocks to treasuries. 10yr generic fixed income futures in all-time highs at 133-27. USD weak on Friday.
G8: Another round of talk, but no action on Greece.
Europe: Slightly negative across the board in stocks. Only Spain managed to recover some of the losses, closing up 0.4%. EUR/USD re-visiting 1.28+ this morning.
Rates in Asia and Indices:
EUR/USD 1.2742 1.2813 -0.04 %
USD/CHF 0.9375 0.9422 -0.07 %
GBP/USD 1.5795 1.5839 -0.02 %
USD/JPY 79.03 79.31 -0.34 %
EUR/CHF 1.2010 ...
Title:
Gold jumps, heads for biggest 2-day gain since October
Gold rose more than 1 percent on Friday, on track for its largest two-day gain since October, boosted by investors' consolidation of positions ahead of the weekend and a stronger euro.
The second day of gains helped bolster confidence, which had been shaken by gold's fall earlier this week to a four-month low at $1,527 an ounce, near critical long-term support levels.
But traders remained cautious given how the escalating crisis in Europe has driven the single currency lower this month.
"There is still no conviction in the market. If gold was a safe haven, it should be higher. Physical demand is mediocre and the Europeans want the dollar, which is why it is so strong," a physical U.S. gold trader said.
The psychologically important $1,600-per-ounce mark remained elusive.
It got close, ...
Title:
Dukascopy Afternoon Forex Overview : 05/18/2012
Dukascopy Fundamental Analysis
EUR
Moody's reduced credit rating of 16 Span's banks, citing a rise in bad debts in the country's financial sector and overall deterioration of the economic environment. The decision came after shares of Bankia lost another 14%. The largest banks such as Banco Santander and BBVA were downgraded while ten out of 17 banks were put on negative watch, implying that further credit rating cuts are possible.
USD
As the U.S. dollar gets stronger, investors are concerned that aggravating debt crisis in Europe will reduce demand for oil. Therefore, oil shows decline for a third week. Crude oil lost 25 cents yesterday and reached the 6-month low of $92.56. Brent oil for July delivery slid 0.5 percent to finish at $106.99.
GBP
Following a downgrade of 16 Spanish banks, ...
Title:
Euro knocked by Greece worries, more losses likely
The euro fell to a four-month low against the dollar on Wednesday and risked more losses on the prospect of prolonged political instability in Greece that could result in the country exiting the euro.
With Greece announcing fresh elections next month and investors concerned about the knock-on effects of a Greek euro exit for economies like Spain and Italy, investors fled the euro and sought the perceived safety of the dollar and the yen.
The dollar rose to its highest in four months against a basket of currencies, while the euro also hit a three-month low versus the yen.
The euro dropped to $1.2681 against the dollar on EBS trading platform, which left it on track to test the January low of $1.2624, below which would mark the euro's lowest level since August 2010.
However, it recovered ...
Title:
Gold lifts from 4-1/2 month low as euro recovers
Gold prices edged back towards $1,560 an ounce in Europe on Tuesday after a positive reading of German growth lifted the euro versus the dollar, and as physical buyers stepped in to take advantage of the metal's fall to 4-1/2 month lows.
Gold remains vulnerable to more losses, however, as worries over the euro zone's future simmer in the background, keeping the single currency under pressure.
Spot gold was up 0.1 percent at $1,557.80 an ounce at 05:24 a.m. EDT (0924 GMT), while U.S. gold futures for June delivery were down $3.50 an ounce at $1,557.50.
Gold earlier hit its lowest since December 30 at $1,547.99 an ounce and is down more than 6 percent in May so far, on track for its worst monthly performance since December's washout, as talk that Greece could exit the euro zone spooked ...
Title:
Dukascopy Afternoon Forex Overview : 04/11/2012
Dukascopy Fundamental Analysis
EUR
European stocks declined as company earnings missed estimates, talks on forming a Greek government entered a fifth day and JPMorgan Chase & Co. posted a $2 billion trading loss. Asian shares and U.S. futures fell.
USD
Wholesale prices in the U.S. fell in April for the first time in four months, led by a decline in fuel costs that signals inflation may cool. The producer price index dropped 0.2 percent after no change in March, Labor Department figures showed today in Washington.
GBP
Britons turned gloomier last month as a slump in construction pointed to an even deeper recession and producers ramped up prices, highlighting the long and difficult road back to economic health.
CHF
Swiss stocks fell for the seventh day, heading for the biggest weekly ...
Title:
Oil ends mixed on China, OPEC, U.S. jobs data
Oil prices ended mixed in choppy trading on Thursday as weaker-than-expected Chinese trade data, higher OPEC production and evidence of a strengthening U.S. jobs market muddied the oil demand outlook.
China, the world's second largest oil consumer after the United States, reported that its exports and imports in April grow at a far slower rate than forecast.
Its trade performance that month was also surprisingly weak, and analysts said the government would need to loosen monetary policy to spur expansion or risk missing annual growth targets.
The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries said it pumped 1.62 million barrels more per day, to 31.62 million bpd last month, as Iraq ramped up output and Libya's oil industry recovered. That's above the 30 million bpd target it had set ...
Title:
Fragile euro hovers near multi-month lows
(Reuters) - The euro stayed close to a 3 1/2-month low against the dollar on Thursday and was expected to suffer further losses as political deadlock in Greece increased the risk of insolvency and a possible euro exit.
The common currency gained a short-term reprive as stress in Spanish debt markets abated slightly and after Greece secured funds needed for bond repayments.
However, it was expected to continue the firm downward path established since Greece's inconclusive elections at the weekend. With another set of elections likely, doubts are growing that Greece will adhere to austerity measures needed to secure further emergency funding.
The euro was up 0.2 percent at $1.2956, but it stayed not far from $1.29115 hit on Wednesday, its lowest since late January. Analysts were skeptical ...
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