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Dukascopy Afternoon Forex Overview : 22/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
Gold extended previous gains in Asian session on Tuesday as concerns over Greek exit from the single currency union eased. At G8 summit leaders of eighth largest economies stated that they would do everything possible to retain Greece in the Euro Zone. COMEX gold June contract traded at 1,592.35 US Dollars per troy ounce on the New York Mercantile Exchange, advancing by 0.23%.
USD
The US Senate has passed a bill aimed at tightening sanctions imposed on Iran to force the country to cease its nuclear program. The new sanctions imply investigation of role of Iran's Revolutionary Guard in oil exports as well as obliging the US companies to disclose any business activities with Iranian partners. The move came ahead of negotiations between Iran and six major ...
Title:
Euro slides vs. dollar as EU summit hopes wane
(Reuters) - The euro fell against the dollar on Tuesday after two days of gains as investors pared back expectations that an informal meeting of European leaders this week would yield much progress in tackling the region's debt crisis.
However, given the market's stretched bearish positioning and oversold signals on the technical charts, the euro could see a short-term squeeze higher ahead of the European summit.
The yen, meanwhile, tumbled after Fitch downgraded Japan's ratings and although the currency posted the biggest loss versus the dollar, investors remained focused on the euro.
While there have been hopes in some quarters that Wednesday's summit may lead to agreement on measures to boost euro zone growth, investors were not confident of a breakthrough given apparent differences ...
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Canadian Dollar Drops Against US Dollar on Risk Aversion
Risk aversion is the Forex market driver today, thanks to the Fitch downgrade of Japan. Even though equities aren’t being much affected by the latest news, currencies are. High beta currencies like the Canadian dollar are dropping, thanks to a desire for safe haven. Loonie is headed lower against the US dollar today, even though its own credit rating is remains solid.
Canada retains the highest credit rating with all the agencies, but that isn’t helping the Canadian dollar today on the Forex market. The Japan downgrade has shaken things up a bit, and the US dollar is gaining against the loonie today. However, even though the Canadian dollar is down against the greenback, it is up against other high beta currencies, including the UK pound.
With the situation in Europe so uncertain, it isn’ ...
Title:
Euro falls vs. dollar as EU summit hopes dim
(Reuters) - The euro fell against the dollar on Tuesday after two days of gains as investors pared back expectations that an informal meeting of European leaders would yield much progress in tackling the region's debt crisis.
However, given the market's stretched bearish positioning and oversold signals on the technical charts, the euro could see a short-term squeeze higher ahead of the European summit.
While there have been hopes in some quarters that Wednesday's summit may lead to agreement on measures to boost growth, investors were not confident of a breakthrough given apparent differences in opinion between Germany and France.
French President Francois Hollande is expected to push for a joint euro zone bond, a measure backed by Italy, Spain and the European Commission.
However ...
Title:
Euro falls as hopes dim of EU summit progress
(Reuters) - The euro fell on Tuesday as skepticism grew that an informal meeting of European leaders would yield much progress in tackling the debt crisis, with worries about Greek politics and Spanish banking problems expected to keep the currency weak.
While there have been hopes in some quarters that measures to boost growth may be agreed at Wednesday's summit, investors were not confident of a breakthrough given apparent differences in opinion between Germany and France.
French President Francois Hollande is expected to push for a joint euro zone bond, a measure backed by Italy, Spain and the European Commission.
However Germany, Europe's largest economy and paymaster, has so far opposed the move and continues to champion austerity measures. A German official said on Tuesday euro ...
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Copper falls as dollar firms, debt crisis weighs
(Reuters) - Copper fell on Tuesday as the dollar firmed and uncertainty about Europe's ability to resolve its debt crisis outweighed reports that top metals consumer China will fast-track infrastructure investment.
Three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange touched a week-high of $7,816 a metric ton (1.1 ton) in the session, before erasing gains to $7,712 at 5:37 a.m. EDT (0937 GMT), down 0.2 percent from Monday's $7,731 close.
One of the price supports for copper on Tuesday was a report in the state-backed China Securities Journal that Beijing will fast track its approval of infrastructure investments to combat slowing growth and a sluggish property sector. Copper is used extensively in construction.
Premier Wen Jiabao has also called for additional efforts to support growth, ...
Title:
Dukascopy Morning Forex Overview : 22/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
"Inevitably there is going to be an element of bargain hunting as investors look to top up their holdings on the basis of slightly lower prices"
- Richard Hunter, head of equities at Hargreaves Lansdown Stockbrokers
European stocks edged higher on Monday on China’s pledge to boost growth.
USD
"Equity prices have gotten oversold"
- Mark Luschini, chief investment strategist for Janney Montgomery Scott LLC
U.S. equity market edged higher on Monday on China stimulus hopes and after German and French officials said they would cooperate to keep Greece in the monetary union.
GBP
"Obviously, as the euro depreciates, the U.K. gets slightly more expensive"
- Miles Shipside, Rightmove commercial director
U.K. national house prices stagnated in March, announced the ...
Title:
Asian Market Update : 22/05/2012
Short-covering momentum builds on China infrastructure spending hopes
Economic Data
(NZ) NEW ZEALAND Q2 RBNZ 2-YR INFLATION EXPECTATIONS: 2.4% V 2.5% PRIOR (11-quarter low and 4th consecutive quarter of decline)
(CN) CHINA APR CONFERENCE BOARD LEADING ECONOMIC INDEX M/M: 0.8% V 0.8% PRIOR
(TW) TAIWAN APR UNEMPLOYMENT RATE: 4.2% V 4.1%E
(KR) SOUTH KOREA Q1 EXTERNAL SHORT TERM DEBT: $136.3B V $136.1B PRIOR
Markets Snapshot (as of 04:15GMT)
Nikkei225 +1.0%
S&P/ASX +0.8%
Kospi +1.2%
Shanghai Composite +0.5%
Hang Seng +0.8%
June S&P Futures flat at 1,315
June gold flat at $1,589/oz
July Crude +0.1% at $92.96
Overview/Top Headlines
Asian equity markets have extended the overnight rally with another session of moderate gains, as hopes for progress in European talks took a back- ...
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Copper rises 1 percent on China stimulus hopes
(Reuters) - Copper rose 1 percent in moderate volume on Monday as demand prospects improved after the Chinese premier called for extra efforts to support growth in the world's top metals consumer.
"We should continue to implement a proactive fiscal policy and a prudent monetary policy while giving more priority to maintaining growth," Premier Wen Jiabao said on Sunday.
The supportive comments attracted more interest from copper investors, many of whom had already been buying in the market after prices collapsed last week to their lowest in four months.
"China has already been stimulative this year, and to say that they will be more stimulative or will continue to be stimulative is a positive," said Adrian Day, president at Adrian Day Asset Management, which has $165 million in assets.
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