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As The Market LooksTitle:
Asia Session: Europe, Europe And More Europe
Nervousness underpinned price action today. Despite voices from throughout Europe attempting to reassure the market that Greece will remain in the euro, stock markets in Asia didn't significantly build on their opening gains and the euro slowly drifted lower throughout the session.
Why is the market behaving like this? In one word – caution. Investors are acutely aware that the talk from Europe may just be that, and when push comes to shove nothing may happen. And, in this case that is a very bad thing considering the fate of so many economies (both in Europe and elsewhere) hang in the balance.
Whilst there are many different views, most economists agree that letting Greece slipe away may prove to be more costly than keeping it in the Eurozone. Thus, the market wants reassurances that ...
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Brent steady near $109 ahead of EU summit, Iran talks
(Reuters) - Brent crude held steady near $109 on Tuesday, awaiting the results of two meetings to tackle Europe's debt crisis and Iran's nuclear programme, which could determine the future of global oil demand and supply.
EU leaders may introduce new measures to tackle the euro zone's worsening debt crisis during Wednesday's informal meeting to seek solutions to the Greek political crisis mired in conflict over debt and austerity policies.
Major powers will also meet Iran on Wednesday to discuss its nuclear programme, but tensions with the West remain high as the U.S. Senate unanimously approved a package of new economic sanctions on Iran's oil sector on Monday.
Brent crude edged up 7 cents to $108.88 a barrel by 0448 GMT, but is still about $20 down from March's high. U.S. crude for ...
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Inertia Will Sink The Euro Again
The G8 Summit achieved very little in public which was no real surprise, but there was also an apparent lack of urgency surrounding the Euro-zone situation which was a much greater surprise given a sharp deterioration in the financial sector last week. Where was the urgency for fresh action to help support the Euro banking sector? The absence must surely indicate that Euro-zone and G8 leaders, while paying lip-service to the current strategy, have effectively moved on and are actively planning the next stage of the crisis.
Fear is likely to dominate in the short term and this is likely to keep strong defensive demand for the dollar and yen. In these circumstances, there is no real chance of a sustained Euro rally with 2012 lows likely to be seen. Bond markets will be watched very closely ...
Title:
Europe Steps Closer to the Cliff Edge
The Week Ahead
Highlights
Europe steps closer to the cliff edge
Can the USD extend its rally?
Bank of Japan may extend maturity of its bond buys
Pricing in more QE from the Bank of England
Europe steps closer to the cliff edge
It was a pivotal week for the Eurozone after Greece announced that it was heading back to the polls after the top three parities failed to form a coalition government. So now Greece is leaderless, there is a caretaker government in place but it won't be able to enforce the austerity required to get the next tranche of bailout funds necessary for Greece to avoid running out of money in July. So as time runs out for Greece the European authorities have been clear: the upcoming election is a referendum on euro-membership. Either vote for pro bailout ...
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Copper bounces; eyes third weekly loss
Copper bounced on Friday, helped by investors balancing positions ahead of the weekend's G8 meeting, but was set to decline for a third week on concerns that deepening debt problems in the euro zone could drag on China's economy and erode metals demand.
Three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange traded at $7,744.50 a metric ton (1.1023 tons) in official rings up 1.3 percent from Thursday's close of $7,649 a metric ton.
However the metal, used in power and construction, has dropped by 10 percent since late April, trimming the year's gains to just 2 percent.
"There is the combination of Europe and all that entails, and concerns about the extent of the slowdown in China weighing on prices," BNP Paribas metals strategist Stephen Briggs said
"But our view is that China is going to ...
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S&P on track for 5th straight day of losses
Stocks fell on Thursday, with the S&P on track for a fifth straight day of declines as weak economic data spooked investors already concerned about the ongoing situation in Europe.
Both the S&P and the Nasdaq fell as much as 1 percent, with the Nasdaq's losses wider as large-cap tech shares fell.
A gauge of future U.S. economic activity fell in April for the first time in seven months and the Philadelphia Fed business conditions index hit its lowest since September, compounding worries about a struggling economic recovery.
Spain's El Mundo newspaper reported that customers at troubled Spanish lender Bankia had withdrawn more than 1 billion euros over the past week, though the Spanish government denied the report. Bankia shares (BKIA.MC) fell 14 percent after sliding as much as 30 ...
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Dollar Approaching 2012 Highs
Dollar Approaching 2012 Highs
USD continues to trade mostly firmer against the major currencies as risk sentiment remains negative. European equities are trading in the red after the ECB paused lending to some Greek banks until they recapitalize and US stock futures are marginally lower at time of writing. The dollar index is nearing the highs of the year around 81.78 which occurred in mid-Jan and we would expect to see this level act as near term resistance as dollar longs may look to take profit. FOMC minutes released yesterday indicated that members expect the recovery to "gradually gain strength" however if it falters, easing may be needed. The UST yield curve is relatively flat today with 10-year yields currently unchanged. Weekly jobless claims were stable at 370k which was the same ...
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SunBirdFX Daily Market Analysis : 05/17/2012
www.sunbirdfx.com
The US stock markets opened yesterday's trading session with a strong push by the bulls but the concerns regarding Greece pulled the markets to the red zone eventually. The main indices erased 40%-50% of what they gained from the beginning of the year, and things are looking more and more bearish as the days pass by.
AUD/JPY
The Australian dollar keeps falling against the USD and it slid under the psychological support at 1.0. The weakening of the stocks supports the USD and that is why we see it strengthening against most of the major currencies, including the JPY, which is a strong currency these days. The Yen is clearly stronger than the AUD, as it well shown in the daily chart of the pair, which is getting support at 79.50. If the AUD crosses above the 2-days ...
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RTFX Daily Forex Market comments : 05/17/2012
GBP – USD
It may meet resistance in 1.5910 - 1.5933 zone for a drift down to 1.5866 zone, after which bounce to 1.5977 is anticipated.
EUR – USD
Current fall is near an end of wave around 1.2679 zone, a rally should then procede to above 1.2756. Fall below 1.2641 would cancel this scenario.
USD – CHF
While below 0.9458 - 0.9473 it is more likely to fall further towards 0.9430 or 0.9416. Premature rise above 0.9473 could see it rising above 0.9500 zone.
USD – JPY
Our preferred view is for a drift down to 80.14 or below 79.96. Resistances is at 80.28. A rise above 80.54 would delay but not abort this expected fall.
USD – CAD
Currently uptrend should end around 1.0155 - 1.0151 area. A correction down to below 1.0073 is expected. A rise above 1.0181 will abort the ...
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