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As Markets Are Still WaitingTitle:
Euro slides vs. dollar as EU summit hopes wane
(Reuters) - The euro fell against the dollar on Tuesday after two days of gains as investors pared back expectations that an informal meeting of European leaders this week would yield much progress in tackling the region's debt crisis.
However, given the market's stretched bearish positioning and oversold signals on the technical charts, the euro could see a short-term squeeze higher ahead of the European summit.
The yen, meanwhile, tumbled after Fitch downgraded Japan's ratings and although the currency posted the biggest loss versus the dollar, investors remained focused on the euro.
While there have been hopes in some quarters that Wednesday's summit may lead to agreement on measures to boost euro zone growth, investors were not confident of a breakthrough given apparent differences ...
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Brent steady near $109 ahead of EU summit, Iran talks
(Reuters) - Brent crude held steady near $109 on Tuesday, awaiting the results of two meetings to tackle Europe's debt crisis and Iran's nuclear programme, which could determine the future of global oil demand and supply.
EU leaders may introduce new measures to tackle the euro zone's worsening debt crisis during Wednesday's informal meeting to seek solutions to the Greek political crisis mired in conflict over debt and austerity policies.
Major powers will also meet Iran on Wednesday to discuss its nuclear programme, but tensions with the West remain high as the U.S. Senate unanimously approved a package of new economic sanctions on Iran's oil sector on Monday.
Brent crude edged up 7 cents to $108.88 a barrel by 0448 GMT, but is still about $20 down from March's high. U.S. crude for ...
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Greek Chaos Continues But Solution Ultimately Found
- While waiting for the Greek election on 17 June we are likely to see continued high uncertainty and continued high stress in the markets. Things are likely to get worse before they get better.
- Amid this uncertainty, Greek citizens are likely to withdraw more money from their banks and this could escalate into a real bank run.
- A major game of chicken has started between the EU on the one hand and Greek politicians on the other.
- The EU is likely to stand firm on its demands for Greece to deliver austerity and give only a few concessions. The rethoric from the left coalition party Syriza is likely to continue to be fiercely against the EU as it is aiming to become the biggest party and get 50 bonus mandates for this.
- We look at three different post-election scenarios. ...
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Safe-Haven Dollar
Forex News and Events:
Friday’s trading session was mostly uneventful with all the focus shifted to Facebook’s IPO. Many markets that had been freefalling these last two weeks caught a breather, with gold, silver, and the EUR gaining 1.12%, 2.57% and 0.63% respectively against the USD. The reversal has been attributed to a weak Philly Fed reading on economic activity in a sign that the world’s reserve currency is riskier than panicked markets are pricing. The weak number raised speculation over a new round of interventions from the part of the Fed in order to boost its economy. WTI however, was not able to profit from this reversal as it dropped to a six-month low before closing at 91.33. A 22-year high in inventory levels for the US could explain the decoupling of oil from the rest of ...
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No News is good News, or?
MORNING BRIEFING: No News is good News, or?
What’s new:
Asia: Awaiting news from Greece and potential spill-over effects. JPY offered on speculation that BoJ will add stimulus to boost growth.
United States: Risk aversion moved flow from stocks to treasuries. 10yr generic fixed income futures in all-time highs at 133-27. USD weak on Friday.
G8: Another round of talk, but no action on Greece.
Europe: Slightly negative across the board in stocks. Only Spain managed to recover some of the losses, closing up 0.4%. EUR/USD re-visiting 1.28+ this morning.
Rates in Asia and Indices:
EUR/USD 1.2742 1.2813 -0.04 %
USD/CHF 0.9375 0.9422 -0.07 %
GBP/USD 1.5795 1.5839 -0.02 %
USD/JPY 79.03 79.31 -0.34 %
EUR/CHF 1.2010 ...
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BoJ Rate Decision the Highlight for Asia this Week
Asian markets are waiting heavy data during the upcoming week starting with the Bank of Japan decision and the release of HSBC flash Manufacturing PMI for China.
The Bank of Japan has left rates between 0.0% and 0.10%, in order to support the nation’s growth against the current instability and although inevitable will not change rates, investors await any move with more stimulus as the USDJPY falls below 80 levels again.
The Japanese economy showed signs of recovery where last week the decline in machinery orders slowed in March, as well as recording more-than-expected expansion during the first quarter to begin exiting deflation that faced the nation’s economy since 2011.
The BOJ is expected to keep the monetary policy unchanged and keep monitoring markets closely with a slight ...
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Weekly Economic and Financial Commentary : 19/05/2012
U.S. Review
To QE3 or Not To QE3: That is the Question
- Some market participants are beginning to speculate about another round of quantitative easing. Although recent growth indicators have not been particularly stellar, the economy is still growing. Moreover, core CPI inflation in the neighborhood of 2 percent means that the threshold for more QE is relatively high.
- Overall, indicators were positive during the week. Housing starts increased by 2.6 percent in April, the Empire Manufacturing index improved to 17.09 in May from a 6.56 print in April and retail sales printed a 0.1 percent increase in April, in line with expectations.
To QE3 or Not To QE3: That is the Question
QE3 seems to have more lives that a cat; it comes back into the forefront of the U.S. economy discussion ...
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Markets Correct Some of the Weekly Losses Ahead of the G8 Summit
As the end of this week approaches, markets started to correct some of the losses incurred through the week. Investors started to close their bearish positions ahead of the coming week, before the G8 summit, which is taking place in the U.S, the thing that supported the euro to rebound over daily basis, cutting most of the losses.
Today, pessimism dominated the euro with the start of the session, where negativity was driven by the Greek downgrade, as Fitch Ratings cut the credit ranking of Greece by one notch to CCC from B- on concerns the nation might exit the euro as more and more Greeks are joining anti-austerity parties.
Moreover, Moody`s downgraded sixteen Spanish banks due to the current turmoil in the debt market in addition to the technical recession and rising unemployment, ...
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Gold jumps 2.6 percent after slump; dead-cat bounce?
Gold rallied more than 2.6 percent on Thursday, its largest one-day gain since late January, as technical buy signals and new signs of a sluggish U.S. economy more than offset deepening despair over the euro zone.
After flirting with a bear market on Wednesday, down more than 20 percent from its September record, bullion rallied early after Philadelphia Federal Reserve data showed a contraction in factory activity in the U.S. mid-Atlantic region that rekindled some hope the Fed would plough more money into the system to stimulate the economy, traders said.
Technical buying also fueled gains after gold had nearly hit a key December low, trading just shy of key technical long-term support at the 100-week moving average of $1,515 per oz.
But with the euro and U.S. stocks in decline and ...
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