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As Markets Are More OptimisticTitle:
Inertia Will Sink The Euro Again
The G8 Summit achieved very little in public which was no real surprise, but there was also an apparent lack of urgency surrounding the Euro-zone situation which was a much greater surprise given a sharp deterioration in the financial sector last week. Where was the urgency for fresh action to help support the Euro banking sector? The absence must surely indicate that Euro-zone and G8 leaders, while paying lip-service to the current strategy, have effectively moved on and are actively planning the next stage of the crisis.
Fear is likely to dominate in the short term and this is likely to keep strong defensive demand for the dollar and yen. In these circumstances, there is no real chance of a sustained Euro rally with 2012 lows likely to be seen. Bond markets will be watched very closely ...
Title:
Oil hits 2012 low under $107 on euro zone turmoil
Oil prices slipped below $107 a barrel on Friday and hit a 2012 low as investors fought shy of riskier, growth-oriented assets on fears that Greece would leave the euro, and after a downgrade of 16 Spanish banks by Moody's added to the contagion gloom.
Brent crude was down 51 cents to $106.98 a barrel by 1122 GMT after earlier slipping to its lowest level for the year at $106.40. U.S. crude was up 16 cents to $92.72.
"The driving factor is still what is going on in Europe with the downgrades of the Spanish banks and very negative sentiment towards risk investments," said Eugen Weinberg, an analyst at Commerzbank in Frankfurt. "It's not surprising to see further falls in Brent today."
The euro fell to fresh four-month lows as the dollar strengthened .DXY, putting commodities priced in ...
Title:
Brent hits 2012 low on Europe turmoil, weak U.S. data
Brent crude slipped below $107 per barrel on Friday to its lowest in 2012 as a worsening euro zone crisis and weak U.S. economic data raised fears of a global slowdown that could dent oil demand.
Worries about the euro zone, already roiled by Greek political chaos, mounted as Spain slipped into a recession, pushing the euro to a four-month low while sluggish data out of the United States sent worrisome signs about a still-fragile recovery at the world's largest economy and top oil consumer.
Brent crude was down 64 cents to $106.85 by 2:47 a.m. EDT after slipping to its lowest level for the year at $106.40. Front-month Brent is on track to post its largest three-week fall since May 2011.
U.S. crude was down 58 cents to $91.98, heading for its largest three-week fall since August 2011.
" ...
Title:
Brent steady above $107, heads for weekly fall as Europe weighs
Brent crude held steady above $107 per barrel on Friday, but prices were headed for a third straight weekly drop as a worsening euro zone crisis and weak U.S. economic data raised fears of a global slowdown that could dent oil demand.
Worries about the euro zone, already roiled by a Greek political chaos, mounted as Spain slipped into a recession, while sluggish data out of the United States sent worrisome signs about a still-fragile recovery at the world's largest economy and top oil consumer.
Brent crude edged up 7 cents to $107.56 a barrel by 11:34 p.m. EDT after slipping to as low as $106.62. Front-month Brent is on track to post its largest three-week fall since May 2011 after settling at the lowest level in 2012 on Thursday.
U.S. crude inched up 3 cents to $92.59, but is still ...
Title:
Wall Street down for 4th day of five, breaks support
Stocks fell on Monday as investors dealt with the one-two punch of worsening political upheaval in the euro zone and the possibility that China's economy may be softening more than previously thought.
The S&P 500 finished lower for the fourth day of five to close at its lowest level since February, adding fuel to worries of a coming market correction.
Economically sensitive shares, including banks and energy companies, paced the decline. Exxon Mobil Corp (XOM.N) lost 1.2 percent to $82.12. The NYSEArca oil index .XOI fell 1.8 percent.
State television in Greece reported the president of the fiscally beleaguered country will continue talks on forming a coalition government, although Socialist leader Evangelos Venizelos said on Monday he was not optimistic that a government could be ...
Title:
Dukascopy Morning Forex Overview : 14/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
"Equity markets are driven by two things: fundamentals and sentiment."
- Lorne Baring, managing director at B Capital SA
European stocks climbed on Friday after a report showed U.S. consumer confidence increased to the highest level in four years in May.
USD
"Confidence has been boosted by lower gasoline prices."
- Paul Dales, a senior economist at Capital Economics Ltd.
U.S. consumer confidence rose by more than expected in May as consumers became more optimistic on the outlook of the country's economy.
GBP
"The April producer price data … do little overall to reduce the uncertainty as to whether or not the Bank of England will eventually do more Quantitative Easing."
- Howard Archer, an economist at HIS Global Insight
U.K. producer prices rose by more than ...
Title:
The Bank of England's Next Move
The Week Ahead
■The Bank of England's next move
■Is this the beginning of the end for the Eurozone?
■Fed officials reluctant to signal more easing
■Broader risk environment outweighs Japanese rhetoric
The Bank of England's next move
The BOE kept rates on hold when it concluded its May meeting last week; it also allowed the asset purchase program to come to an end. Since the UK slipped back into recession in Q1 2012 and the growth figures at the start of the second quarter have continued to look weak, the decision to hold interest rates was mostly down to the sticky outlook for inflation. The attention now turns to Wednesday's Inflation Report.
The focus will be on the Bank's growth and inflation forecasts. The growth forecasts are likely to be revised lower. Even ...
Title:
Germany To The Rescue?
This is the fifth day without a firm government in place for Greece; if a coalition is not found soon then we could be heading back to the polls, which open up the possibility of a prolonged period of Greek political instability. There was some hope this morning of the Conservatives forming a coalition with the Socialists and other moderate pro-bailout parties that would have a mandate to govern until 2014. This helped to lift the euro from its daily lows; however for a sustained rally in risk we need to get a firm commitment that a 'moderate' pro-European government will take the reins of power in Athens. Unless that happens then the markets are likely to remain jittery.
Mixed signals
The markets are particularly cloudy today. Some bullish reversal patterns that formed yesterday were ...
Title:
Round three in Greek deadlock, Venizelos attempt at government
The deadlock is still ripping through financial markets as investors fear the political vacuum in Greece will lead to a new round of election and only stall a dead-man-walking which is a messy bankruptcy and euro exit for Greece!
The political gridlock is still the major highlight, and after the elections that surely reflected the anti-austerity spirit and resentment towards the people to the government by supporting anti-austerity parties, the elections failed to support wide support for a majority parliament.
The elections that brought New Democracy to the lead did not offer a stable parliament for Samaras to form a government in the first attempt earlier this week on Monday. Alexis Tsipras followed from the second winning party the radical leftist Syriza and also failed to form a ...
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