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As It’s TradingTitle:
Crude rebounds slightly on Goldman Sachs, China`s stimulus signs
Crude oil climbs up today after many sessions of declining as the EU oil embargo for Iranian oil is on the verge, but the G8 leaders agreed together to pump the emergency oil reserves and there will be extra supply if sanctions on Iran lead to a surge in prices.
Crude oil opened today’s session at $91.34 and reached so far a high of $92.17 and a low of $90.17, where it is currently trading around $91.95 a barrel.
In fact, crude found a slight support from the summit’s outcome which raised the pressure on European leaders to act more seriously and effectively to fight the crisis and try to keep Greece in the bloc if it meets all the commitments.
The main support which been behind this upside momentum for crude is China, as it could take new steps to stimulate growth. The Chinese ...
Title:
Dukascopy Morning Forex Overview : 21/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
"Fears of a Greek exit from the euro zone and the negative consequences from that are prevailing"
- Ben Kwong, KGI Asia
European stocks edged lower after Fitch downgraded Greece’s credit rating to ‘CCC’, implying that the country is vulnerable and highly dependent on favourable economic conditions to fulfill its financial obligations.
USD
"If there were scope to do another twist of some type it would be prudent to consider it, especially in the scenario where things are worse and the Fed feels like it needs to move"
- Nathan Sheets, Citigroup Inc.
Fed policymakers might potentially launch another round of Operation Twist rather than a direct asset purchases in case of increased risks or further weakening of the US economy.
GBP
"We must work together to give ...
Title:
Dukascopy Morning Forex Overview : 05/17/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
"We expect euro-region inflation to normalize in 2013"
- Michael Schubert, an economist at Commerzbank AG
Inflation in the seventeen nation bloc eased to 2.6 per cent in March from 2.7 per cent the previous month, said the European Union’s statistics office in Luxembourg on Wednesday.
USD
"Uncertainty about Greece and the effects a potential exit out of the euro would have on Europe, the global economy and the financial system in general is driving investors out of stocks into safe havens"
- Markus Huber, head of German sales trading at ETX Capital
The Standard & Poor's 500 lost 0.44%, or 5.86 points, to 1,324.80. The Dow Jones Industrial Average declined by 0.26%, or 33.45 points, to 12,598.55.
GBP
Unemployment figures are a "welcome step in the right ...
Title:
Ongoing Greek Drama
Forex News and Events:
In light of the current political turmoil in Greece, the EUR has gradually slipped to a three-month low at 1.2905 after a period of trading in a highly volatile range. The move coincides with the election on May 6th of anti-austerity Greek fringe parties, instead of the mainstream PASOK or New Democracy Party who helped secure the bailout package much needed to avoid disorderly default. After multiple attempts at forming a coalition government, the task has been handed to Mr Venizelos who reckoned having a slim chance of succeeding where others have failed. After a meeting with Venizelos yesterday evening, Democratic Left Party’s Kouvelis suggested a “formation of an ecumenical government that will respect the people’s mandate”. These statements coincide with weak ...
Title:
Dukascopy Morning Forex Overview : 11/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
"The overall manufacturing trend remains weak."
- Pierre-Olivier Beffy, chief economist at Exane BNP Paribas
French industrial production fell in March, said the national statistics office Insee on Thursday. Output contracted 0.9 per cent from February, when it gained 0.2 per cent.
USD
"It’s hard to get nervous that imports are rising."
- Dean Maki, chief U.S. economist at Barclays Capital Inc.
The number of Americans claiming for unemployment benefits fell to 367,000 in the week ended May 5 from 368,000 the week before, said the Department of Labor on Thursday.
GBP
"Our forecast is that they are done with QE, but you can’t rule out more later this year."
- Ross Walker, an economist at Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc
The Bank of England kept rates on hold ...
Title:
Euro Finds Support in Forex Trading
Euro is finding some support in Forex trading today, heading a little bit higher. Even though there are still concerns about what is happening in Europe, traders are looking for a little bit of respite from the risk aversion and gloom. So, the euro is a little bit higher right now, and other high beta currencies are seeing some success as well.
Euro is slightly higher against the US dollar right now. Spain has all but nationalized its fourth-largest bank, and is taking aggressive steps to shore up its financial sector. While this may not solve Spain’s problems, it’s at least an attempt, and one that many are viewing favorably. Additionally, UK pound, another high beta currency, is seeing success against the US dollar. The Bank of England is keeping quantitative easing on hold, and that ...
Title:
All Eyes on BoE
Forex News and Events:
Bank of England stands to make a crucial decision today as turmoil hinders most of its peer Euro Zone economies. UK’s GDP contracted in the last quarter of 2011 by a revised 0.3%, and inflation remained higher than the 2% average target set by the BoE. During the last weeks, economic data in services and manufacturing were mainly affected by rising petroleum prices and austerity budget cuts biting deep into consumer / household spending. But MPC member Adam Posen, hitherto a fervent supporter of QE stated: “My own personal view is that I think the economy is stronger than what data is going to show”. The central bank last increased its asset purchase program target by 18% in February to GBP325bn as the money supply gauge M4 dipped heavily, suggesting a tightening of ...
Title:
Crude oil tries not to decline
Crude oil is being so volatile at today’s session after huge losses achieved during the last six sessions, the EFSF played a significant role in easing tensions today after it approved to give Greece a 5.2 billion euro tranche which eased fears over the near-term outlook for the country.
After achieving huge losses, the door is open for crude to rise slightly and any small positive factor would support it and help it in climbing upwards. And we can see this in today’s trading which showing some positivity due to EFSF’s decision.
However, this optimism that seen in Europe is temporary and would be vanished soon if nothing major comes out, as the 5.2 billion euro tranche for Greece would let the country to meet its short commitments, but what it will do for the longer commitment if lenders ...
Title:
Dukascopy Morning Forex Overview : 10/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
"The real concern isn’t about Greece, it’s about the euro and whether it breaks up -- that is key."
- Mark Tinker, a fund manager at AXA Framlington Investment EUR Management
European stocks declined on Wednesday as investors awaited resolution of Greek coalition talks and yields on Spanish 10-year bonds rose above 6 per cent.
USD
"Certainly as a result of the elections in Greece, the odds of a default and an exit from the euro have increased."
- James Dunigan, chief investment officer for PNC Wealth Management
U.S. wholesale inventories rose in March at a slowest pace since November, Commerce Department data showed on Wednesday.
GBP
"Consumers, struggling to balance their household budgets, remain reluctant to spend..."
- Stephen Robertson, BRC director ...
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