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US Dollar Lower as Risk Appetite Makes an Appearance
US dollar is lower today as risk appetite makes an appearance in the markets. As commodity prices rise, and equities see a bit of a reprieve from recent troubles, the greenback is pulling back. Concerns about Europe remain, but they are being trumped by other news — especially the imminent Facebook IPO.
In less than hour, the Facebook IPO will be launched, and that is the focus today. Equities are expected to be in favor today, and commodities are doing reasonably well. Also weighing on the US dollar is some speculation that the Federal Reserve will introduce more economic stimulus. With disappointing factory data, and with a jobs market (unemployment claims remained flat this week) that continues to show little improvement, concerns about the US economy remain. Quantitative easing is ...
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Uncertainty over Europe hits euro, shares slip
Investors sold European shares and the euro on Tuesday, unnerved by the political stalemate in Greece and the threat of a Franco-German split over policies to tackle the region's debt crisis.
The uncertainty in Europe added to worries about global growth after weak American jobs data, sending industrial commodities like oil and copper lower. U.S. shares were also expected to open down on Wall Street. .N
While markets were in a risk averse mood, activity was less volatile than on Monday when European shares initially fell sharply in reaction to the weekend's election results before firming after Spain said it was prepared to use public funds to help its troubled banks.
Spain is the euro zone's fourth largest economy and investors have focused on its troubles because it would be expensive ...
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Euro Testing Key Support Levels
Sunrise Market Commentary
- Fixed Income Weak US payrolls push core bonds higher again
- On Friday, it was weaker US payrolls that helped core bonds eke out more gains, but non-core bonds held up quite well. Spreads even narrowed in the intra-EMU bond markets. We fear that this won't be the case today, as French and Greek election results inject uncertainty into markets.
- Currencies: Euro testing key support levels
- On Friday, trading in the major euro cross rate was rather calm, but the pressure remained to the downside. The US payrolls were unable to change this pattern. This morning, EUR/USD is testing the key 1.2974 support while EUR/GBP is trading south of the 0.8068 level. A sustained break below these levels would raise a red alert for the single currency.
The ...
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YouTradeFX Daily Market Analysis : 07/05/2012
Fundamental News
The new Euro-zone politics will dominate markets throughout this week, as anti-austerity political parties take hold in Europe. The confirmation of Hollande’s victory in France marks the end of the Merkel-Sarkozy dominance at the political heart of Europe. Investors are acutely aware of the new leader's distain for austerity measures and some elements of the EU's new fiscal treaty. Mr Hollande has vowed not to ratify the new EU treaty unless new growth promoting measures are added, which is going to significantly draw-out the process of fiscal integration, if not stop it altogether. While in Athens, both mainstream political parties saw a dramatic collapse in support with anti-austerity groups seizing the opportunity to bolster their support. The head of the Syriza party, ...
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Gloom builds for euro zone, United States
(Reuters) - The euro zone economy worsened markedly last month and U.S. employers cut back on hiring, according to two reports on Friday that dampened hopes for gradual recovery on either side of the Atlantic.
In Europe, the purchasing managers indexes (PMIs), which primarily cover services, suggested a recession across the continent's currency union could now extend to mid-year and be deeper than previously thought.
The gloomy surveys clashed with the picture painted by European Central Bank President Mario Draghi, who on Thursday spoke of a gradual recovery taking place in the euro zone during the course of the year - although he did speak about risks.
In the United States, a government report showed employers added a disappointing 115,000 workers to payrolls last month and, ...
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Weekly Economic and Financial Commentary : 04/05/2012
U.S. Review
Modest Growth on a Broadening Base
- The underlying tone of the recent economic reports remains consistent with modest economic growth. Consumer spending ended the first quarter on a solid note and spending is now on track to grow at a 2 percent pace in the second quarter.
- Reports from the regional manufacturing surveys showed some weakness but the National ISM report came in stronger than expected. The nonmanufacturing survey, however, came in below expectations.
- Nonfarm employment rose by 115,000 jobs in April and the unemployment rate fell 0.1 percent to 8.1 percent.
Modest Growth on a Broadening Base
This week's ISM report came in better than expected, rising 1.4 points to 54.8 in April, which greatly relieves fears built up from the weaker factory orders ...
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NFP's Risk On The Downside
Private firms in the US hired at a very weak pace in April with an increase of only 119,000, according to the Automatic Data Processing Inc (ADP) report released on Wednesday. This report also showed that the number of new factory jobs came out below expectations. This gain disappointed as it was well below the Dow Jones Newswires economists' consensus of 175,000 jobs. In addition to this, the March data was revised down and showed an increase of only 201,000 compared to the 209,000 jobs reported previously. The ADP report records private-sector jobs only, while the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) - release by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, due on Friday - includes government workers as well.
Following the ADP release, which is known to be a good indicator of the NFP figure as shown in the ...
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Mixed data sends Wall Street lower ahead of payrolls
(Reuters) - Stocks were lower on Thursday as another round of mixed economic data left a muddled picture of the domestic recovery ahead of Friday's key payrolls report.
Initial claims for state unemployment benefits dropped by 27,000, the biggest weekly drop since May 2011. The report ran counter to data indicating weaker private sector hiring that pushed stocks lower Wednesday.
But a report from the Institute for Supply Management showed the pace of growth in the U.S. services sector slowed more than expected in April and new orders dropped. On Tuesday, the ISM report showed factory activity picked up in April.
"It's par for the course. Obviously we had the real strong manufacturing data two days ago and we are getting a mixed picture on the jobs front as well. So really it's kind of ...
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YouTradeFX Daily Market Analysis : 03/05/2012
Fundamental News
Today’s highlights:
· Initial Jobless Claims + Nonfarm Productivity (QoQ) (U.S., 13:30 GMT)
· Interest Rate Decision (EUR., 12:45 GMT)
· ECB Press Conference (EUR, 13:30 GMT)
· ISM Non-Manufacturing Index (U.S., 15:00 GMT)
U.S. Factory Orders fell 1.5 Percent in March to $460.5 billion following a 1.1 percent increase in February, according to figures released Wednesday by the Commerce Department. While, ADP said that U.S private sector employment increased by 119,000 jobs in April following a downwardly revised increase of 201,000 jobs in March.
The euro remained lower following a three-day decline on bets that European Central Bank President Mario Draghi will hint at further stimulus measures to counter the region’s debt crisis after ...
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