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As European Risk

Title: Euro tumbles on Greek exit fears
(Reuters) - The euro slumped 1 percent against the U.S. dollar on Tuesday, ahead of an informal meeting of European leaders, on growing fears of a Greek exit from the euro zone. Dow Jones quoted former Greek prime minister Lucas Papademos as saying that Greeks had no choice but to stick with a painful austerity program or face a damaging exit from the euro zone, a risk he said was unlikely to materialize but that was real. He also told the news agency that some European states and institutions were considering contingency plans for any eventuality. "Sentiment is heavily against the euro," said Joseph Trevisani, chief market strategist at Worldwide Markets, Woodcliff Lake in New Jersey. "Any negative comment from former or current Greek officials sends the euro plummeting. There were ...

Title: Gold down almost 1.5 percent as selling snowballs
(Reuters) - Gold traded near intraday lows on Tuesday afternoon with selling accelerating on low volumes as the euro lost further ground ahead of a much-anticipated European summit. The pressure started on Monday after bullion failed to break through key resistance at $1,600 per ounce, sending prices below near-term technical support levels. That selling snowballed on Tuesday afternoon in New York, sending prices below $1,570 an ounce as the euro weakened with investors betting Wednesday's meeting of European leaders would do little to tackle the region's debt crisis. "The euro continued to sag. It's not going to make a decisive move until the EU summit," said James Steel, chief commodity analyst at HSBC. Weaker oil prices on news of a potential deal between Iran and the U.N. nuclear ...

Title: Gold still down, weaker euro blamed
(Reuters) - Gold remained under pressure trading below a near-term technical support level on Tuesday due to a weaker euro, with investors betting against a meeting of European leaders this week doing much to tackle the region's debt crisis. Platinum tracked gold lower, shrugging off news of a fresh production outage in South Africa. The euro remained clear of last week's four-month lows but was stuck in negative territory against the dollar as worries about Greek politics and Spanish banking problems kept the currency under pressure. Spot gold was down 0.63 percent at $1,576.21 an ounce at 13:45 p.m. (1745 GMT). U.S. gold futures for June delivery were down $6.1 or 0.38 percent at $1,582.6 but off an intraday low of $1,572 hit earlier. While prices are up from the December ...

Title: Forex-Euro slides ahead of summit; yen tumbles
(Reuters) - The euro fell against the dollar for the first time in three days on Tuesday as investors doubted whether an informal meeting of European leaders this week would yield much progress in tackling the region's debt crisis. The weakness in Europe's common currency suggested an uncertain outlook despite a fall in Spanish and Italian government bond yields, and some analysts said stretched positioning and oversold signals could lead to a short squeeze and a higher euro. While there have been hopes that Wednesday's summit may lead to agreement on measures to boost euro zone growth, investors were not confident of a breakthrough given apparent differences in opinion between Germany and France. French President Francois Hollande is expected to push for a joint euro zone bond, a ...

Title: Waiting for the EU Summit
Trading in the London Session was choppy with the market unwilling to take any clear direction as we lead up to tomorrow's informal EU summit. The market toyed with the idea of Eurobonds (they like that idea and risk assets may rally tomorrow on any signs they are on the horizon.) Then they focused on the prospect of a showdown between Germany and France, Europe's de facto leaders, which caused a mild sell off. Right now the chances of the latter happening are more likely especially since Merkel is unlikely to be re-elected next year if she agrees to Eurobonds (read Germany guaranteeing the bulk of Europe's debt), which would never fly with German voters. Although the EU President said that everything is on the table for discussion tomorrow, he also said that no concrete measures will be ...

Title: OECD fears euro woe to snap brittle world recovery
(Reuters) - The United States and Japan are leading a fragile developed world recovery that could be blown off course if Europe fails to contain the damage from its problem debtor states, the OECD said on Tuesday. It urged euro zone leaders to embrace all options for tackling the crisis, potentially including common bonds to go with the common currency. In its twice-yearly economic outlook, the Paris-based Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development forecast that global growth would ease to 3.4 percent this year from 3.6 percent in 2011, before accelerating to 4.2 percent in 2013, in line with its last estimates from late November. "The global economic outlook is still cloudy," OECD Secretary General Angel Gurria told reporters. "At first sight the prospects for the global ...

Title: Euro slides vs. dollar as EU summit hopes wane
(Reuters) - The euro fell against the dollar on Tuesday after two days of gains as investors pared back expectations that an informal meeting of European leaders this week would yield much progress in tackling the region's debt crisis. However, given the market's stretched bearish positioning and oversold signals on the technical charts, the euro could see a short-term squeeze higher ahead of the European summit. The yen, meanwhile, tumbled after Fitch downgraded Japan's ratings and although the currency posted the biggest loss versus the dollar, investors remained focused on the euro. While there have been hopes in some quarters that Wednesday's summit may lead to agreement on measures to boost euro zone growth, investors were not confident of a breakthrough given apparent differences ...

Title: Euro Falls as Eurobond Debate Begins
Euro is dropping today as eurozone leaders meet to discuss growth options for the 17-nation currency zone. Eurozone growth has been sluggish, verging on recession, and that is impacting the ability of member states to handle their sovereign debt. One of the options being floated as part of a package is a eurobond. However, Germany is opposed to such a measure. Euro is heading lower today, mostly due to uncertainty. There is uncertainty surrounding the Fitch downgrade of Japan. But mostly there is uncertainty in the eurozone. While there are widely published numbers that seem to indicate that most Greeks want to remain in the eurozone, the actions in the election seem to suggest otherwise. The leaders Greeks voted for are largely against austerity measures, and Greek citizens themselves ...

Title: Canadian Dollar Drops Against US Dollar on Risk Aversion
Risk aversion is the Forex market driver today, thanks to the Fitch downgrade of Japan. Even though equities aren’t being much affected by the latest news, currencies are. High beta currencies like the Canadian dollar are dropping, thanks to a desire for safe haven. Loonie is headed lower against the US dollar today, even though its own credit rating is remains solid. Canada retains the highest credit rating with all the agencies, but that isn’t helping the Canadian dollar today on the Forex market. The Japan downgrade has shaken things up a bit, and the US dollar is gaining against the loonie today. However, even though the Canadian dollar is down against the greenback, it is up against other high beta currencies, including the UK pound. With the situation in Europe so uncertain, it isn’ ...



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