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Dukascopy Afternoon Forex Overview : 22/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
Gold extended previous gains in Asian session on Tuesday as concerns over Greek exit from the single currency union eased. At G8 summit leaders of eighth largest economies stated that they would do everything possible to retain Greece in the Euro Zone. COMEX gold June contract traded at 1,592.35 US Dollars per troy ounce on the New York Mercantile Exchange, advancing by 0.23%.
USD
The US Senate has passed a bill aimed at tightening sanctions imposed on Iran to force the country to cease its nuclear program. The new sanctions imply investigation of role of Iran's Revolutionary Guard in oil exports as well as obliging the US companies to disclose any business activities with Iranian partners. The move came ahead of negotiations between Iran and six major ...
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Euro at four month low against dollar as crisis spins
The euro hit a four-month low against the dollar and 3-1/2 month trough versus the yen on Friday as concerns about a chaotic Greek exit from the euro zone and instability in the Spanish banking system fuelled demand for safer currencies.
Investors were reluctant to buy riskier assets after Moody's cut the credit ratings of 16 Spanish banks on Thursday. Fellow ratings agency Fitch downgraded Greece deeper into junk territory.
The euro tumbled to $1.2642, within sight its 2012 low of $1.2624. It has shed 4.1 percent against the dollar so far in May, while demand for the highly liquid dollar pushed it up 0.3 percent against a basket of currency .DXY on the day to a four-month peak of 81.758.
Against the yen, the euro fell to 100.219 yen, its lowest level since early February.
Many ...
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Euro pauses descent, but vulnerable to fresh falls
The euro held above a four-month low on Thursday, taking a breather from a sharp sell-off, although gains are likely to be checked by worries about the solvency of some Greek banks that are adding to fears the country may exit the euro zone.
The common currency was trading at $1.2724, up 0.1 percent on the day, though not far from a four-month low at $1.2681 hit the day before, with stops cited below $1.2680. The euro has already shed 3.9 percent in May, coming close to its 2012 trough of $1.2624 reached in mid-January.
Contagion fears and jitters over political turmoil in Athens, where politicians rejecting harsh austerity measures are likely to win June 17 elections, have sent riskier assets such as the Australian dollar sharply lower over the past three weeks.
Dealing another blow to ...
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Greek worries push euro to four-month low; more losses eyed
The euro hit another four-month low against the dollar on Wednesday and was likely to extend hefty losses sustained so far this month after Greece said it would hold new elections, boosting the risk Athens could exit the euro.
The prospect of prolonged political instability in the debt-ridden country, compounded by skittish sovereign bond markets sent Asian bourses sharply lower, with analysts saying the euro and other risk-sensitive currencies would remain under severe pressure.
A Greek departure from the euro zone would also have a potentially huge knock-on effect on struggling economies such as Italy and Spain, whose bond yields climbed above the crucial 6 percent mark the day before.
"An entry to the euro zone was supposed to be irrevocable. They tore down the bridge so people ...
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Weak Outlook for Australia
Forex News and Events:
The S&P GSCI Index reversed its 2011 gains in the last six consecutive trading sessions. As a matter of fact, the index tracking 24 commodities broke down 7.6% from a high of 684.15 on April 30th to a more than four-month low low of 634.25 during yesterday’s trade session. This downturn in commodity prices can be explained on the one hand by headlines from the Euro area, as markets seem to be pricing in a second round of elections in Greece as well as a probable EU exit. On the other hand, the marked slowdown of commodity-intensive economies such as China -see Newsletter May 14- pushed prices lower in light of atrophied demand and lower infrastructure investments. From the foreign exchange perspective, the Australian dollar having experienced a 34% appreciation ...
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Euro hits near 4-month trough on Greek deadlock
The euro fell to a near four-month low on Monday as political turmoil gripped Greece, highlighting the risk the country may exit the euro zone, while worries about slowing Chinese and global growth drove down higher-yielding currencies.
Safe-haven currencies including the dollar and the Japanese yen rose as coalition talks in Greece hit an impasse on Sunday, increasing the chance of another election.
Euro zone industrial production unexpectedly fell in March, adding to signs the bloc is heading into recession and further fuelling bearish sentiment, while Spain's short-term debt costs rose at auction and its 10-year yields soared.
The common currency fell to $1.2861 on trading platform EBS, its lowest level since January 23. It has lost 2.7 percent so far this month after losing 0.8 ...
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Gold hits 4-month low as dollar rises, stocks slide
Gold prices fell to a four-month low on Friday as worries over the financial health of Greece and Spain and huge trading losses for JPMorgan hurt stock markets and the euro, prompting investors to seek refuge in the dollar.
Investors liquidated gold holdings to cover losses on other markets, analysts said, as a rise in risk aversion sparked selling across assets seen as higher risk, while lifting the U.S. currency and safe-haven German Bunds.
Spot gold slid to $1,573.29 an ounce, its weakest since January 3, after support gave way at $1,579, and was down 0.7 percent at $1,582.19 an ounce at 1145 GMT.
Prices pared the worst of their losses as hopes that a Greek government may be formed soon lifted the euro from lows, but spot prices were still down nearly 4 percent so far this week, ...
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Euro clouded by Greece and Spain worry
(Reuters) - The euro fell close to a recent three-month low versus the dollar on Wednesday and the safe haven yen rose broadly amid worries over the impact on the euro zone stemming from political turmoil in Greece and the fragility of Spain's banking sector.
The euro remained under widespread pressure after the leader of Greece's Left Coalition party said on Tuesday that the country's commitment to a European Union/International Monetary Fund rescue deal had become null and void.
Greece's two main pro-bailout parties failed to win a majority in weekend elections, leaving questions over the country's ability to avert bankruptcy and stay in the euro.
Added to instability in Greece, French President-elect Francois Hollande has advocated an approach to tackling the debt crisis centered ...
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On to Barcelona
Forex News and Events:
Expectations are increasing for today’s ECB rate announcement and press conference. It's generally consensus that no major decision on interest rates or change in operations will come out of the ECB's meeting in Barcelona. There is a growing anticipation that Draghi will sound significantly more dovish considering the recent deterioration in Eurozone economic data. Also it has not been disregarded that President Draghi endorsed the theme of encouraging growth within the context of a broader fiscal compact. The market is also buzzing over the change in the meeting's location to in Barcelona this suggested that the ECB want to illustrate the gravity of the facing the EU periphery. FX risk appetite stabilized in the Asian session but only after a very hard day for USD ...
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