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Dukascopy Afternoon Forex Overview : 22/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
Gold extended previous gains in Asian session on Tuesday as concerns over Greek exit from the single currency union eased. At G8 summit leaders of eighth largest economies stated that they would do everything possible to retain Greece in the Euro Zone. COMEX gold June contract traded at 1,592.35 US Dollars per troy ounce on the New York Mercantile Exchange, advancing by 0.23%.
USD
The US Senate has passed a bill aimed at tightening sanctions imposed on Iran to force the country to cease its nuclear program. The new sanctions imply investigation of role of Iran's Revolutionary Guard in oil exports as well as obliging the US companies to disclose any business activities with Iranian partners. The move came ahead of negotiations between Iran and six major ...
Title:
EUR/USD Rebound On Profit Taking
Sunrise Market Commentary
- Fixed Income: limited profit taking on core bond markets
- Global core bond markets fell prey to some profit taking in a thin, dull trading session. However, given the strength of equities, bond losses were very limited and occurred at the onset of trading. Today, the eco calendar remains thin and the profit taking might go some further in the run-up to tomorrow's informal EU Summit.
- Currencies EUR/USD rebound on profit taking
- The correction in EUR/USD was prolonged, but the euro gains were modest and mostly technical in nature. The UK inflation report is the eye-catcher of the day as it may influence sterling. However, overall trading might again be thin ahead of tomorrow's euro Summit.
The Sunrise Headlines
- US Equities rose for a second ...
Title:
Euro Succeeds Short Squeeze
Sunrise Market Commentary
- Fixed Income: Global core bonds take a breather
- Investors remained mostly sidelined in an uneventful session on Friday. The G-8 meeting stressed the need for growth, besides fiscal consolidation and sees Greece staying inside EMU. This shouldn’t surprise markets today. With a razor thin calendar, trading might start the week in a lackluster mode.
- Currencies: Euro succeeds short squeeze
- On Friday, the decline of the euro halted and EUR/USD succeeded a cautious rebound, even as uncertainty on the EMU debt crisis persisted. Technical considerations will also dominate trading today as the G8 meeting provided no high profile measures to address the debt crisis.
The Sunrise Headlines
- US Equities rose for a second consecutive session on ...
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U.S. stocks rise on data, euro turns on Greek hope
The euro pared losses and bond prices slid on Wednesday after comments by German Chancellor Angela Merkel bolstered hopes that Greece would remain in the euro zone, while U.S. stocks rose on encouraging U.S. economic data.
U.S. industrial production posted its fastest growth in over a year in April and a rebound in groundbreaking for new U.S. homes last month suggested a recovery in U.S. housing was gaining some traction, bolstering U.S. investor sentiment that has been heavily hit by news about Greece.
Industrial output grew 1.1 percent, the most since December 2010 and nearly twice the pace expected by analysts polled by Reuters. Housing starts increased 2.6 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 717,000 units, while March's starts were revised upward.
"Nice to see some ...
Title:
U.S. Consumer Prices Held Steady in April, But Core Prices Increased
U.S. Consumer Prices Held Steady in April, But Core Prices Increased
- April 2012 consumer prices met expectations and held steady in the month following the 0.3% gain in March.
- Gasoline prices fell 2.6% partially to unwind the increases seen in the previous three months.
- Core prices also came in as expected by rising 0.2% in the month.
- The annual increase in the overall CPI moderated to 2.3% in April from 2.7% in March while the core rate held at 2.3%.
- The decline in energy prices in general, and gasoline prices specifically, was the main factor weighing on headline consumer price index (CPI) in April and resulted in the sharp moderation in the year-over-year rate. The annual increase in core prices remains above 2%; however, we continue to expect that the ...
Title:
Dukascopy Afternoon Forex Overview : 05/14/2012
Dukascopy Fundamental Analysis
EUR
Industrial production in the 17 countries that use the euro fell unexpectedly in March, leaving little doubt the region contracted for a second straight quarter in the first three months of the year and returned to recession, data by Eurostat showed Monday.
USD
Stocks fell, commodities declined to their cheapest level this year and the euro weakened to a three- month low on concern that Greece will exit the single European currency and after German Chancellor Angela Merkel’s party lost a state election.
GBP
The government, and many economists, say the U.K.'s austerity plan has succeeded in reassuring financial markets that the government is focused on wrestling down the country's debt, which had ballooned to the highest levels since World War II. As a ...
Title:
Dukascopy Afternoon Forex Overview : 04/11/2012
Dukascopy Fundamental Analysis
EUR
European stocks declined as company earnings missed estimates, talks on forming a Greek government entered a fifth day and JPMorgan Chase & Co. posted a $2 billion trading loss. Asian shares and U.S. futures fell.
USD
Wholesale prices in the U.S. fell in April for the first time in four months, led by a decline in fuel costs that signals inflation may cool. The producer price index dropped 0.2 percent after no change in March, Labor Department figures showed today in Washington.
GBP
Britons turned gloomier last month as a slump in construction pointed to an even deeper recession and producers ramped up prices, highlighting the long and difficult road back to economic health.
CHF
Swiss stocks fell for the seventh day, heading for the biggest weekly ...
Title:
Canada's March Merchandise Trade Surplus Improved Modestly in Februar
Canada's March Merchandise Trade Surplus Improved Modestly in February
- The Canadian March merchandise trade surplus edged higher in March 2012 rising to $0.4 billion from $0.3 billion in February.
- The improvement reflected the weakness in imports (down $0.2 billion or 0.6%) outpacing a decline in exports (down $0.1 billion or 0.4%).
-Despite the declines on a nominal basis, exports rose 1.0% on a volumes basis in March while imports volumes rose by a lesser 0.6%. This resulted in net exports volumes improving to $-8.0 billion from $-8.1 billion in February (on a chained $2002 basis).
The modest improvement in the merchandise trade balance in March on a volumes basis is consistent with an improvement in Canadian net exports in the first quarter of 2012. Specifically, today' ...
Title:
Dukascopy Afternoon Forex Overview : 04/09/2012
Dukascopy Fundamental Analysis
EUR
European stocks dropped for a second day, to the lowest level in almost four months, as investors awaited a resolution to the political impasse in Greece and as Spanish credit risk surged. The Stoxx Europe 600 Index (SXXP) lost 1.1 percent to 247.75 at 2:15 p.m. in London, the lowest since Jan. 13, as the euro weakened for an eighth day. The Stoxx 600 has tumbled 9 percent from this year’s high on March 16, trimming this year’s advance to 1.3 percent.
USD
U.S. stock futures retreated, indicating the Dow Jones Industrial Average will drop for a sixth straight day, as Greece’s political impasse intensified concern about a worsening of the European sovereign-debt crisis.
GBP
U.K. retail sales fell the most in more than a year last month as poor weather ...
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