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AnalysisTitle:
Technical analysis of the USD/JPY pair on May 21th, 2012
Commentary of the USD/JPY pair :
The pair USD/JPY has continued its bearish movement last friday and the breakout of 79.26 gave us a new sell signal.
The pair is currently testing a pullback on this level and is also testing the upper band of its bearish channel (black lines).
All indicators are bearish.
The pair is still taking support on its bearish slant (purple line).
We continue to advise short positions as far as 79.86 is resistance.
The breakout of 79 will give a new sell signal and open the way towards 78.50 and 78.
In case of return above 79.86, we will be neutral between this level and 80.08.
See the previous analysis of the USD/JPY pair of May 18th, 2012
USD/JPY Analysis
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The Weekly Bottom Line : 19/05/2012
The Weekly Bottom Line : 19/05/2012
HIGHLIGHTS OF THE WEEK
United States
- Global economic concerns ratcheted up this week. Widespread discussion of a Greek exit continued, Spanish banks faced rating downgrades and periphery sovereign debt yields moved higher.
- Financial markets have responded to these global worries with increased risk aversion. The S&P is poised to end the week 3% lower, and 10-year treasuries are yielding just 1.7%.
- U.S. economic data has proved somewhat more encouraging, but growth is still struggling to breakout beyond a moderate pace. This has kept the possibility of additional monetary stimulus alive even if the threshold remains quite high.
Canada
- Recent economic indicators are showing a resurgence of strength in the Canadian economy. Strong ...
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Analysis: In India, muddled leadership leaves economy adrift
"Dear God," wrote economist Rajeev Malik as he called on the Almighty to help India's "rudderless" government in a biting critique that underscored a growing frustration at home and abroad with the stewardship of Asia's third-largest economy.
Writing in India's Business Standard newspaper, the well-respected Malik echoed the exasperation of Indian and foreign business groups pressing for the government to swiftly implement major economic reforms and formulate a coherent strategy to deal with its mounting problems.
Another newspaper said India could be heading to a Greek-style crisis.
Prime Minister Manmohan Singh's Congress Party blames unreliable allies in his coalition government for blocking major reforms aimed at opening up the economy to much-needed foreign investment and tackling ...
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Dukascopy Afternoon Forex Overview : 05/18/2012
Dukascopy Fundamental Analysis
EUR
Moody's reduced credit rating of 16 Span's banks, citing a rise in bad debts in the country's financial sector and overall deterioration of the economic environment. The decision came after shares of Bankia lost another 14%. The largest banks such as Banco Santander and BBVA were downgraded while ten out of 17 banks were put on negative watch, implying that further credit rating cuts are possible.
USD
As the U.S. dollar gets stronger, investors are concerned that aggravating debt crisis in Europe will reduce demand for oil. Therefore, oil shows decline for a third week. Crude oil lost 25 cents yesterday and reached the 6-month low of $92.56. Brent oil for July delivery slid 0.5 percent to finish at $106.99.
GBP
Following a downgrade of 16 Spanish banks, ...
Title:
Dukascopy Morning Forex Overview : 05/18/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
"Spain, once again, is where the confidence game is played"
- Sebastian Paris Horvitz, strategist at HSBC Private Bank Suisse
Spain sold the maximum targeted amount of debt, 2.5 billion euros, during yesterday’s auction with spiking borrowing costs. The interest rate of three-year bonds rose to 4.373% from April’s figure of 2.89% while interest rate of five-year bonds surged to 5.106% from 3.374 in March.
USD
"What we’re seeing in foreign-exchange markets is strong demand for the U.S. dollar"
- Steven Saywell, head of foreign-exchange strategy for Europe at BNP Paribas SA
Latest US initial unemployment claim data was released yesterday – 370 000 Americans demanded their jobless benefits last week versus a 368 000 consensus forecast. The Labor Department revised ...
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YouTradeFX Weekly Market Analysis : 05/18/2012
Fundamental News
Today’s highlights:
· German PPI (MoM) (GER, 07:00 GMT)
· Italian Industrial Sales (MoM) (ITA, 09:00 GMT)
· Spanish Trade Balance (SPAIN, 11:30 GMT)
· Core CPI (MoM) (CAD, 13:30 GMT)
· ECRI Weekly Annualized (WoW) ( U.S, 15:30 GMT)
The Philly Fed Index tumbled to a negative 5.8 in May from a positive 8.5 in April and Conference Board's leading economic index edged down by 0.1 percent in April following a 0.3 percent increase in March, according to an official report released yesterday. While, the Labor Department figures said that the unemployment claims was at a seasonally adjusted level of 370,000 for the week, unchanged from the previous week's revised figure.
Greece’s credit rating was downgraded one level by Fitch ...
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SunBirdFX Daily Market Analysis : 05/18/2012
www.sunbirdfx.com
The US stock markets keep falling as NASDAQ shed 2.1% yesterday and Dow is close to erase everything it gained since the beginning of the year. The investors will focus on Facebook, which will start trading today for the first time.
GBP/USD
The collapse of the stocks makes the investors to move their investments to the USD, as many believe that the American economy is the more stable than the European economies. Therefore, the USD is strengthening against most of the major currencies, which fall sharply because of that. The pound reached the target we set for the current bearish session at 1.58 and stochastic low levels indicate for a possible correction that might hit 1.59. Nevertheless, if the stocks continue falling, we will probably see additional break-down by the ...
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Forex Technical Analysis : 05/18/2012
- Forex Technical Analysis : 05/18/2012 -
(Timeframes: 30 minutes)
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Technical analysis of the XAU/USD (Gold) pair on May 18th, 2012
Commentary of the XAU/USD (Gold) pair:
The gold has continued its rebound and is currently testing a pullback on the resistance at 1577 points and also on the lower band of its bearish channel (purple lines).
Indicators are globaly bearish.
We maintain to trade only short positions as far as 1577 points is resistance.
A return below 1550 points will comfort our bearish feeling.
The breakout of 1520 will both a new sell signal and open the way towards 1500 points.
In case of return above 1577 points, we will wait the breakout of 1600 to advise long positions.
See the previous analysis of the XAU/USD pair of May 17th, 2012
XAU/USD Analysis
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