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Analysis Of The Aud/usd Parity

Title: Dukascopy Afternoon Forex Overview : 22/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis EUR Gold extended previous gains in Asian session on Tuesday as concerns over Greek exit from the single currency union eased. At G8 summit leaders of eighth largest economies stated that they would do everything possible to retain Greece in the Euro Zone. COMEX gold June contract traded at 1,592.35 US Dollars per troy ounce on the New York Mercantile Exchange, advancing by 0.23%. USD The US Senate has passed a bill aimed at tightening sanctions imposed on Iran to force the country to cease its nuclear program. The new sanctions imply investigation of role of Iran's Revolutionary Guard in oil exports as well as obliging the US companies to disclose any business activities with Iranian partners. The move came ahead of negotiations between Iran and six major ...

Title: Dukascopy Morning Forex Overview : 22/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis EUR "Inevitably there is going to be an element of bargain hunting as investors look to top up their holdings on the basis of slightly lower prices" - Richard Hunter, head of equities at Hargreaves Lansdown Stockbrokers European stocks edged higher on Monday on China’s pledge to boost growth. USD "Equity prices have gotten oversold" - Mark Luschini, chief investment strategist for Janney Montgomery Scott LLC U.S. equity market edged higher on Monday on China stimulus hopes and after German and French officials said they would cooperate to keep Greece in the monetary union. GBP "Obviously, as the euro depreciates, the U.K. gets slightly more expensive" - Miles Shipside, Rightmove commercial director U.K. national house prices stagnated in March, announced the ...

Title: Technical analysis of the AUD/USD parity on May 22th, 2012
Commentary of the AUD/USD parity: The pair AUD/USD has validated yesterday a return above 0.99 and is currently moving just above this level. The pair continues to move on the lower band of its bearish channel (purple lines). All indicators are still bearish. We continue to advise short positions as far as 0.9950 is resistance. A return below 0.99 will comfort our bearish feeling. The breakout of 0.98 will give a new sell signal and open the way towards 0.97. In case of return above 0.9950, we will wait the breakout of 1.0 to advise long positons. See the previous analysis of the AUD/USD parity of May 21th, 2012 AUD/USD Analysis

Title: Dukascopy Morning Forex Overview : 21/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis EUR "Fears of a Greek exit from the euro zone and the negative consequences from that are prevailing" - Ben Kwong, KGI Asia European stocks edged lower after Fitch downgraded Greece’s credit rating to ‘CCC’, implying that the country is vulnerable and highly dependent on favourable economic conditions to fulfill its financial obligations. USD "If there were scope to do another twist of some type it would be prudent to consider it, especially in the scenario where things are worse and the Fed feels like it needs to move" - Nathan Sheets, Citigroup Inc. Fed policymakers might potentially launch another round of Operation Twist rather than a direct asset purchases in case of increased risks or further weakening of the US economy. GBP "We must work together to give ...

Title: Technical analysis of the AUD/USD parity on May 21th, 2012
Commentary of the AUD/USD parity: The pair AUD/USD found support on 0.98 last friday. The pair continues to move on the lower band of its bearish channel (purple lines). All indicators are bearish. We continue to advise short positions as far as 0.9950 is resistance. The breakout of 0.98 will give a new sell signal and open the way towards 0.97. In case of return above 0.9950, we will wait the breakout of 1.0 to advise long positons. See the previous analysis of the AUD/USD parity of May 18th, 2012 AUD/USD Analysis

Title: Dukascopy Afternoon Forex Overview : 05/18/2012
Dukascopy Fundamental Analysis EUR Moody's reduced credit rating of 16 Span's banks, citing a rise in bad debts in the country's financial sector and overall deterioration of the economic environment. The decision came after shares of Bankia lost another 14%. The largest banks such as Banco Santander and BBVA were downgraded while ten out of 17 banks were put on negative watch, implying that further credit rating cuts are possible. USD As the U.S. dollar gets stronger, investors are concerned that aggravating debt crisis in Europe will reduce demand for oil. Therefore, oil shows decline for a third week. Crude oil lost 25 cents yesterday and reached the 6-month low of $92.56. Brent oil for July delivery slid 0.5 percent to finish at $106.99. GBP Following a downgrade of 16 Spanish banks, ...

Title: Dukascopy Morning Forex Overview : 05/18/2012
Fundamental Analysis EUR "Spain, once again, is where the confidence game is played" - Sebastian Paris Horvitz, strategist at HSBC Private Bank Suisse Spain sold the maximum targeted amount of debt, 2.5 billion euros, during yesterday’s auction with spiking borrowing costs. The interest rate of three-year bonds rose to 4.373% from April’s figure of 2.89% while interest rate of five-year bonds surged to 5.106% from 3.374 in March. USD "What we’re seeing in foreign-exchange markets is strong demand for the U.S. dollar" - Steven Saywell, head of foreign-exchange strategy for Europe at BNP Paribas SA Latest US initial unemployment claim data was released yesterday – 370 000 Americans demanded their jobless benefits last week versus a 368 000 consensus forecast. The Labor Department revised ...

Title: Technical analysis of the AUD/USD parity on May 18th, 2012
Commentary of the AUD/USD parity: The pair AUD/USD took up yesterday its bearish movement and the breakout of 0.99 gave us new sell signal. The pair is now moving below its falling wedge (brown lines) and below the lower band of its bearish channel (purple lines). All indicators are bearish. We continue to advise short positions as far as 1.00 is resistance. The breakout of 0.98 will give a new sell signal and open the way towards 0.97. In case of return above 1.00, we will wait the breakout of 1.01 to advise long positons. See the previous analysis of the AUD/USD parity of May 17th, 2012 AUD/USD Analysis

Title: Dukascopy Afternoon Forex Overview : 05/17/2012
Dukascopy Fundamental Analysis EUR Mario Draghi, the ECB President, insisted on Greece to stay in the Euro bloc during his public speech on Wednesday regarding the possibility of Greece withdrawal from the Eurozone. Nevertheless, according to him, the ECB will stick to its anti-inflation mandate. The ECB President's comments came after Irish and Belgian central banks reported that Greek exit would not be disastrous for the Eurozone. USD Jobless claims in the U.S. didn't live up to the expectations that it will decrease by 5K and remained unchanged, at 370K level, in the week from 6th to 12th of May. Amount of people on rolling unemployment claims increased by around 18K while the number of people on prolonged payments decreased by around 45K. 31 out of 52 states or territory's reported ...



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