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Analysis Eur The Ecb

Title: Dukascopy Morning Forex Overview : 21/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis EUR "Fears of a Greek exit from the euro zone and the negative consequences from that are prevailing" - Ben Kwong, KGI Asia European stocks edged lower after Fitch downgraded Greece’s credit rating to ‘CCC’, implying that the country is vulnerable and highly dependent on favourable economic conditions to fulfill its financial obligations. USD "If there were scope to do another twist of some type it would be prudent to consider it, especially in the scenario where things are worse and the Fed feels like it needs to move" - Nathan Sheets, Citigroup Inc. Fed policymakers might potentially launch another round of Operation Twist rather than a direct asset purchases in case of increased risks or further weakening of the US economy. GBP "We must work together to give ...

Title: Dukascopy Afternoon Forex Overview : 05/17/2012
Dukascopy Fundamental Analysis EUR Mario Draghi, the ECB President, insisted on Greece to stay in the Euro bloc during his public speech on Wednesday regarding the possibility of Greece withdrawal from the Eurozone. Nevertheless, according to him, the ECB will stick to its anti-inflation mandate. The ECB President's comments came after Irish and Belgian central banks reported that Greek exit would not be disastrous for the Eurozone. USD Jobless claims in the U.S. didn't live up to the expectations that it will decrease by 5K and remained unchanged, at 370K level, in the week from 6th to 12th of May. Amount of people on rolling unemployment claims increased by around 18K while the number of people on prolonged payments decreased by around 45K. 31 out of 52 states or territory's reported ...

Title: Dukascopy Morning Forex Overview : 05/17/2012
Fundamental Analysis EUR "We expect euro-region inflation to normalize in 2013" - Michael Schubert, an economist at Commerzbank AG Inflation in the seventeen nation bloc eased to 2.6 per cent in March from 2.7 per cent the previous month, said the European Union’s statistics office in Luxembourg on Wednesday. USD "Uncertainty about Greece and the effects a potential exit out of the euro would have on Europe, the global economy and the financial system in general is driving investors out of stocks into safe havens" - Markus Huber, head of German sales trading at ETX Capital The Standard & Poor's 500 lost 0.44%, or 5.86 points, to 1,324.80. The Dow Jones Industrial Average declined by 0.26%, or 33.45 points, to 12,598.55. GBP Unemployment figures are a "welcome step in the right ...

Title: Dukascopy Afternoon Forex Overview : 05/16/2012
Dukascopy Fundamental Analysis EUR Stoxx Europe 600 index have dropped for third consecutive day and reached the lowest level since the start of this year as specialists speculate that elections in Greece could take place as early as 10 of June. The index lost 0.5% of its value by noon in London and around 10% from its peak this year in mid-March. USD Facebook increases the share offering by 25% to 421.2M shares to collect near $16B. At the offering's price of $34-$38 per share Facebook is rushing towards the largest technology IPO in the history. Production of utilities, mines and factory's in the U.S. surpassed expected 0.6% level and increased by 1.1% in April. GBP The number of unemployed people for January-March decreased to 2.63 million, 45,000 down on the quarter, the Office for ...

Title: Dukascopy Morning Forex Overview : 05/16/2012
Fundamental Analysis EUR "Germany is holding up the rest of the euro zone”" - Nick Kounis, head of macroeconomic research at ABN Amro Germany helped the Eurozone avoid its second recession in three years. Overall gross domestic product stagnated in the first three months of 2012, compared to the previous quarter, Eurostat data showed on Tuesday. USD "There’s a lot of slack in the economy" - Scott Brown, chief economist at Raymond James & Associates Inc. Inflation in the U.S. stagnated in April, restrained by a decline in energy costs. The core consumer price index, which excludes food and energy costs, rose 0.2 per cent, showed Bureau of Labor Statistics data on Tuesday. GBP "March's UK trade figures showed a bit of an improvement, although the external sector still looks likely to ...

Title: Dukascopy Afternoon Forex Overview : 05/15/2012
Dukascopy Fundamental Analysis EUR Investors battered European stocks, dumped the bonds of Spain and Italy, and bid the euro down against the dollar Monday after the collapse of weekend coalition talks in Greece edged that country closer to an exit from the euro zone. USD Retail sales in the U.S. rose in April at the slowest pace of the year, showing unseasonably mild weather and pre-Easter shopping may have pulled consumers to stores the prior month. GBP Governor Mervyn King looks set to leave the door open to more support for the struggling economy when he presents the Bank of England's new economic outlook on Wednesday, which is likely to show a tricky mix of lower growth and higher inflation ahead. CHF Swiss stocks lost ground on Monday on concern Greece will exit the Eurozone. ...

Title: Dukascopy Morning Forex Overview : 15/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis EUR "Industrial producion is a imely reminder that firstquarter GDP will likely show a contracion." - Marin van Vliet, an economist at ING Industrial producion in the Eurozone contracted unexpectedly in March, Eurostat data showed on Monday. Producion fell 0.3 per cent from February, when it rose 0.8 per cent. USD "The fear factor is definitely higher." - Madelynn Matlock, a fund manager at Hunington Asset Advisor U.S. stocks retreated on Monday on a poliical impasse in Greece. GBP "I can’t see even after the next Greek election a government appearing that will be able to do anything else than perhaps manage the Greek exit." - Simon Sole, chief execuive officer of Exclusive Analysis Ltd. U.K. stocks tumbled on Monday. The benchmark FTSE 100 Index fell 1.97%, or ...

Title: Dukascopy Afternoon Forex Overview : 05/14/2012
Dukascopy Fundamental Analysis EUR Industrial production in the 17 countries that use the euro fell unexpectedly in March, leaving little doubt the region contracted for a second straight quarter in the first three months of the year and returned to recession, data by Eurostat showed Monday. USD Stocks fell, commodities declined to their cheapest level this year and the euro weakened to a three- month low on concern that Greece will exit the single European currency and after German Chancellor Angela Merkel’s party lost a state election. GBP The government, and many economists, say the U.K.'s austerity plan has succeeded in reassuring financial markets that the government is focused on wrestling down the country's debt, which had ballooned to the highest levels since World War II. As a ...

Title: Dukascopy Morning Forex Overview : 14/05/2012
Fundamental Analysis EUR "Equity markets are driven by two things: fundamentals and sentiment." - Lorne Baring, managing director at B Capital SA European stocks climbed on Friday after a report showed U.S. consumer confidence increased to the highest level in four years in May. USD "Confidence has been boosted by lower gasoline prices." - Paul Dales, a senior economist at Capital Economics Ltd. U.S. consumer confidence rose by more than expected in May as consumers became more optimistic on the outlook of the country's economy. GBP "The April producer price data … do little overall to reduce the uncertainty as to whether or not the Bank of England will eventually do more Quantitative Easing." - Howard Archer, an economist at HIS Global Insight U.K. producer prices rose by more than ...



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