Analysis Eur/usd We Are Looking

Fundamental Analysis EUR "Fears of a Greek exit from the euro zone and the negative consequences from that are prevailing" - Ben Kwong, KGI Asia European stocks edged lower after Fitch downgraded Greece’s credit rating to ‘CCC’, implying that the country is vulnerable and highly dependent on favourable economic conditions to fulfill its financial obligations. USD "If there were scope to do another twist of some type it would be prudent to consider it, especially in the scenario where things are worse and the Fed feels like it needs to move" - Nathan Sheets, Citigroup Inc. Fed policymakers might potentially launch another round of Operation Twist rather than a direct asset purchases in case of increased risks or further weakening of the US economy. GBP "We must work together to give ...

Sunrise Market Commentary - Fixed Income: Global core bonds profit from euro debt crisis - Concerns about Greece and Spain underpinned the ongoing rally of global core bonds. The German 10-year yield fell below 1.50%. Intra-EMU yield spreads versus Germany widened substantially. Today, the eco calendar is enticing. If no euro debt crisis news acts as a circuit breaker, the eco data may for once drive the price action. - Currencies: Speculation on Grexit continues to hammer the euro. - At the start of the new trading week, the Greek crisis remained the key factor for currency trading. With no visibility on the outcome of the EMU crisis, the easiest way for the euro is south. EUR/USD set a new correction low. EUR/GBP dropped below the 0.8000. This morning, strong German ...

Sunrise Market Commentary - Fixed Income Weak US payrolls push core bonds higher again - On Friday, it was weaker US payrolls that helped core bonds eke out more gains, but non-core bonds held up quite well. Spreads even narrowed in the intra-EMU bond markets. We fear that this won't be the case today, as French and Greek election results inject uncertainty into markets. - Currencies: Euro testing key support levels - On Friday, trading in the major euro cross rate was rather calm, but the pressure remained to the downside. The US payrolls were unable to change this pattern. This morning, EUR/USD is testing the key 1.2974 support while EUR/GBP is trading south of the 0.8068 level. A sustained break below these levels would raise a red alert for the single currency. The ...

Fundamental Analysis EUR "The U.S. labor-market report will further erode investor confidence" - Markus Allenspach, head of bond research at Julius Baer Group Ltd. European stocks extended weekly losses, after a report showed U.S. companies added fewer jobs than expected in April. The Stoxx Europe 600 Index erased 1.76 per cent to 253.00. Germany’s DAX Index tumbled 1.99 per cent and France’s CAC 40 Index contracted 1.90 per cent. The U.K.’s FTSE 100 Index lost 1.93 per cent to 5,655.06. USD "We’re still very much on the recovery path, but we’ve got a huge amount of ground to make up in the labor market" - Scott Brown, chief economist at Raymond James & Associates Inc. The number of Americans, who have found a job in the private sector in April, tumbled to 115,000 from 154,000 the ...

Sunrise Market Commentary - Fixed Income ECB can't move global bonds - Global core bonds ended the session unchanged, as initial disappointment that the ECB wasn't more dovish dissipated fast. Today's payrolls are key and might decide whether the 6-week rally is over or has one more leg. Currencies: Major currency cross rates little changed ahead of the payrolls - EUR/USD gained temporarily during the ECB press conference as Draghi was less dovish than some in the market had expected. However, the move was technically insignificant as sentiment on risk remained fragile. Today, the payrolls are the key factor for (currency) trading. Investors might stay cautions on the euro to avoid this weekend's political event risk. The Sunrise Headlines - US Equities dropped for a ...

Sunrise Market Commentary : 30/04/2012 - Fixed Income: new highs for Bund Future (141.38) and US Note Future (132-17) - Core bonds set new contract highs on Friday after the Spanish rating downgrade. However, sentiment changed in the European session and led to return action. Today, trading will be thin ahead of tomorrow's Labour Day Holiday in most of Europe. Main items this week will be the ECB meeting (Thursday) and the US payrolls (Friday). - Currencies: EUR/USD ignored the S&P downgrade of Spain. - On Friday morning, the focus on the European markets was on the S&P downgrade of Spain. However, the reaction developed in a very orderly way. EUR/USD reversed the early losses and the dollar lost further ground after the weaker than expected US GDP. USD/JPY is testing the key ...

Sunrise Market Commentary - Fixed Income: Small changes after volatile trading - Core bonds traded volatile due to economic data and bond auctions. The Fed had the final saying. The FOMC statement showed that the Fed was slightly more optimistic on growth and the governors more hawkish in their rate forecasts. However, policy remains unchanged and Bernanke kept the door for more QE open. - Currencies: Fed doesn't help the dollar - On Wednesday, trading in most major currency cross rates was confined to recent ranges. EUR/USD is holding near the recent highs. The Fed kept a soft tone and this was a slightly negative for the dollar. Sterling lost temporary ground as Q1 GDP data showed that the UK has slipped back into recession. However, the EUR/GBP 0.8222 resistance did its job. ...

Sunrise Market Commentary Fixed Income: Political developments supportive for core EMU bonds Political developments over the weekend are supportive for global core bonds, but strong technical resistance (contract high; inverted channel) come into play. In France, presidential candidate Hollande beat current president Sarkozy in the 1st round of the French election and in the Netherlands, the government fell as Dutch budget talks collapsed. Currencies: EUR/USD fails to take out first resistance at 1.3213 On Friday, the euro was rather well bid. EUR/USD tested the 1.3213 resistance but failed to sustain above this level. EUR/GBP stayed below the 0.8222 previous range bottom, confirming the break of earlier last week. Cautious sentiment on risk will probably cap the topside ...

Sunrise Market Commentary Fixed Income: Core global bonds remain well bid, but fail to profit from weak data While the Bund set a new contract high, the price action showed little momentum. Rumours about a French rating downgrade gave core bonds a shot in the arm, but subsequent weak eco data were largely ignored, triggering some profit taking in late US session. Currencies: Break lower in EUR/GBP confirmed Also in EUR/USD rather dull session leaving the pair little changed in the close. Intra-day decline on French rating rumours was later on reversed. Upcoming IMF meeting, French presidential elections and FOMC meeting might keep investors sidelined today. The Sunrise Headlines US Equities dropped for a second straight session on Thursday. The S&P fell 0.59% as weak ...