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Amid Rising ConcernsTitle:
Europe Steps Closer to the Cliff Edge
The Week Ahead
Highlights
Europe steps closer to the cliff edge
Can the USD extend its rally?
Bank of Japan may extend maturity of its bond buys
Pricing in more QE from the Bank of England
Europe steps closer to the cliff edge
It was a pivotal week for the Eurozone after Greece announced that it was heading back to the polls after the top three parities failed to form a coalition government. So now Greece is leaderless, there is a caretaker government in place but it won't be able to enforce the austerity required to get the next tranche of bailout funds necessary for Greece to avoid running out of money in July. So as time runs out for Greece the European authorities have been clear: the upcoming election is a referendum on euro-membership. Either vote for pro bailout ...
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Gold rises 1 percent, eyes weekly gain, as euro recovers
Gold prices rose more than 1 percent on Friday, building on the previous session's hefty gains, as a recovery in the euro prompted some buying of the precious metal, with shorts covering amid expectations prices could rise further.
Gold posted its biggest one-day gain since January 25 on Thursday, recovering some ground lost during its longest run of losses in five months. Its reversal has put it on track to end the week 0.4 percent higher.
Spot gold was up 1 percent at $1,589.16 an ounce at 1148 GMT, having earlier touched a high of $1,594.10, while U.S. gold futures for June delivery were up $14.40 an ounce at $1,589.30.
The euro recovered from a four-month lows against the dollar to move into positive territory, taking some pressure off gold, though concerns over a Greek euro exit ...
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Oil hits 2012 low under $107 on euro zone turmoil
Oil prices slipped below $107 a barrel on Friday and hit a 2012 low as investors fought shy of riskier, growth-oriented assets on fears that Greece would leave the euro, and after a downgrade of 16 Spanish banks by Moody's added to the contagion gloom.
Brent crude was down 51 cents to $106.98 a barrel by 1122 GMT after earlier slipping to its lowest level for the year at $106.40. U.S. crude was up 16 cents to $92.72.
"The driving factor is still what is going on in Europe with the downgrades of the Spanish banks and very negative sentiment towards risk investments," said Eugen Weinberg, an analyst at Commerzbank in Frankfurt. "It's not surprising to see further falls in Brent today."
The euro fell to fresh four-month lows as the dollar strengthened .DXY, putting commodities priced in ...
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YouTradeFX Weekly Market Analysis : 05/18/2012
Fundamental News
Today’s highlights:
· German PPI (MoM) (GER, 07:00 GMT)
· Italian Industrial Sales (MoM) (ITA, 09:00 GMT)
· Spanish Trade Balance (SPAIN, 11:30 GMT)
· Core CPI (MoM) (CAD, 13:30 GMT)
· ECRI Weekly Annualized (WoW) ( U.S, 15:30 GMT)
The Philly Fed Index tumbled to a negative 5.8 in May from a positive 8.5 in April and Conference Board's leading economic index edged down by 0.1 percent in April following a 0.3 percent increase in March, according to an official report released yesterday. While, the Labor Department figures said that the unemployment claims was at a seasonally adjusted level of 370,000 for the week, unchanged from the previous week's revised figure.
Greece’s credit rating was downgraded one level by Fitch ...
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Fitch Downgrades Greece, Moody`s Cuts Spanish Banks, Eyes on G8
As this week has come to an end, negativity seems to be deepening in markets, where the sentiment continued to deteriorate after Fitch downgraded the Greek credit rating by one notch, while Moody`s cut the ranking of 16 Spanish banks, the thing that sent European main equities to 2012 fresh lows, while weighing sharply on the European common currency ahead of the G8 summit today.
Fitch Ratings downgraded the credit ranking of Greece by one notch to CCC from B- on concerns the nation might have to leave the one-currency bloc amid the current political instability and the split over the second bailout deal and the austerity associated with this financial aid provided by International Lenders.
The rating agency clarified that the Greek inability to form a government had raised concerns ...
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Dukascopy Morning Forex Overview : 05/17/2012
Fundamental Analysis
EUR
"We expect euro-region inflation to normalize in 2013"
- Michael Schubert, an economist at Commerzbank AG
Inflation in the seventeen nation bloc eased to 2.6 per cent in March from 2.7 per cent the previous month, said the European Union’s statistics office in Luxembourg on Wednesday.
USD
"Uncertainty about Greece and the effects a potential exit out of the euro would have on Europe, the global economy and the financial system in general is driving investors out of stocks into safe havens"
- Markus Huber, head of German sales trading at ETX Capital
The Standard & Poor's 500 lost 0.44%, or 5.86 points, to 1,324.80. The Dow Jones Industrial Average declined by 0.26%, or 33.45 points, to 12,598.55.
GBP
Unemployment figures are a "welcome step in the right ...
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Wall Street Goes Higher On Housing Starts, Industrial Production Data
Wall Street opened green higher on Wednesday, following the three-day slide for the Standard & Poor`s 500 Index, as better than expected housing starts and industrial production reignited optimism about the economy.
American equities rose at the opening following governmental reports that showed output at manufacturing, mines and utilities increased 1.1 percent in April. Homebuilders broke the ground on more homes than forecast in the same period.
Housing starts rose 2.6 percent to a 717 thousand annual rate last month, the Commerce Department reported early morning. Analysts called for a median annual rate of 685 thousand. Building permits fell to 715 thousand in the same period.
Sentiments went somehow neutral with ongoing political crisis in Greece and speculation the nation will ...
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Crude recovers some losses but its momentum remain negative
After falling to the lowest in six months after talks to form a new Greek government failed yesterday, crude recovered some the losses trading around the $93.00 level as the dollar is losing momentum trading around 81.25.
Crude is trading as of this writing around today’s opening at $93.12, while the lowest for today is found at $91.79, the lowest in six months, while the highest is found at $93.42. Brent is trading around $111.46 after falling 0.69%.
The Greek President Karolos Papoulias failed yesterday to form a ruling coalition, raising concerns that Greece will to exit the euro zone after June’s elections during which the far-left anti-bailout party Syriza is expected to win.
Also weighing down on sentiment was the expected rise in the US crude inventories during the week ending in ...
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USD is Preferred Haven
USD is Preferred Haven
USD remains firm ahead of today's FOMC minutes and amid ongoing EU concerns. UK PM Cameron put the situation in the euro area rather succinctly saying that "it either has to make up or face a potential breakup". The dollar index is continuing its ascent towards mid-January highs after breaking a medium term bear channel. Economic data due out shortly incldes April housing starts which are forecast to gain by 4.7% m/m, building permits which are anticipated to fall by -4.5% m/m, and industrial production which is expected to show growth of 0.6%. The minutes from the April 24-25 FOMC meeting will be released at 1400ET and will provide insight into the whether or not the Fed discussed additional measures.
EUR is nearing the 2012 lows against the USD as the euro ...
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