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AfternoonTitle:
Dukascopy Afternoon Forex Overview : 05/18/2012
Dukascopy Fundamental Analysis
EUR
Moody's reduced credit rating of 16 Span's banks, citing a rise in bad debts in the country's financial sector and overall deterioration of the economic environment. The decision came after shares of Bankia lost another 14%. The largest banks such as Banco Santander and BBVA were downgraded while ten out of 17 banks were put on negative watch, implying that further credit rating cuts are possible.
USD
As the U.S. dollar gets stronger, investors are concerned that aggravating debt crisis in Europe will reduce demand for oil. Therefore, oil shows decline for a third week. Crude oil lost 25 cents yesterday and reached the 6-month low of $92.56. Brent oil for July delivery slid 0.5 percent to finish at $106.99.
GBP
Following a downgrade of 16 Spanish banks, ...
Title:
EUR Avoids New 4-Month Low
While the euro remained bearish against its main currency rivals throughout yesterday's trading session, it avoided falling to a new four-month low against the US dollar. The marketplace was unusually calm, as a bank holiday in Europe resulted in limited movements among the most traded currency pairs. As we close out the week, traders will want to note that another slow news day may result in low liquidity in the marketplace. Typically, low liquidity situations can result in exaggerated movements among currency pairs and commodities for seemingly no reason. Any mention of additional euro-zone worries may result in a significant drop for the euro.
Economic News
USD - Manufacturing Data Causes USD to Tumble
The US dollar tumbled vs. the Japanese yen during the afternoon session yesterday, ...
Title:
Dukascopy Afternoon Forex Overview : 05/17/2012
Dukascopy Fundamental Analysis
EUR
Mario Draghi, the ECB President, insisted on Greece to stay in the Euro bloc during his public speech on Wednesday regarding the possibility of Greece withdrawal from the Eurozone. Nevertheless, according to him, the ECB will stick to its anti-inflation mandate. The ECB President's comments came after Irish and Belgian central banks reported that Greek exit would not be disastrous for the Eurozone.
USD
Jobless claims in the U.S. didn't live up to the expectations that it will decrease by 5K and remained unchanged, at 370K level, in the week from 6th to 12th of May. Amount of people on rolling unemployment claims increased by around 18K while the number of people on prolonged payments decreased by around 45K. 31 out of 52 states or territory's reported ...
Title:
After confirming recession, Spain’s borrowing costs rise at bond sale
Spain today is on the run with downbeat news. The early figures confirmed the relapse into a double-dip recession as the economy contracted by 0.3% in the first three month at the same pace in the previous quarter and followed by a downbeat bond sale this afternoon as investors are skeptic over the outlook for the nation amid renewed debt tension.
Spain met the maximum target and sold 2.5 billion euros of bonds due 2015 and 2016 but the borrowing costs continued to rise.
The yield on the January 2015 bond nearly doubled to 4.375% compared to 2.89% at the previous auction. The bid to cover ratio was 4.47 times also strongly above the previous 2.41 times the previous auction, as this shows investors are willing to take the risk on the outcome for rising return, and somewhat shows faith ...
Title:
Higher Yielding Currencies Maintain Bearish Trend
Higher Yielding Currencies Maintain Bearish Trend
Higher yielding currencies, namely the EUR and AUD, remained bearish during European trading yesterday, as fears that Greece will have to leave the euro-zone led to risk aversion in the marketplace. Investors are now worried about what the possible effects of a Greek exit from the euro-zone would be for other indebted countries, including Spain and Italy. Today, traders will want to note that there is a bank holiday in France, Germany and Switzerland. That being said, news out of the US may lead to market volatility. The Unemployment Claims figure and Philly Fed Manufacturing Index are both forecasted to show US economic growth. If true, the USD could see gains during the afternoon session.
Economic News
USD - Manufacturing Data Could ...
Title:
Dukascopy Afternoon Forex Overview : 05/16/2012
Dukascopy Fundamental Analysis
EUR
Stoxx Europe 600 index have dropped for third consecutive day and reached the lowest level since the start of this year as specialists speculate that elections in Greece could take place as early as 10 of June. The index lost 0.5% of its value by noon in London and around 10% from its peak this year in mid-March.
USD
Facebook increases the share offering by 25% to 421.2M shares to collect near $16B. At the offering's price of $34-$38 per share Facebook is rushing towards the largest technology IPO in the history. Production of utilities, mines and factory's in the U.S. surpassed expected 0.6% level and increased by 1.1% in April.
GBP
The number of unemployed people for January-March decreased to 2.63 million, 45,000 down on the quarter, the Office for ...
Title:
Euro Sell-Off Accelerates As Greece Will Hold Now Elections
Sunrise Market Commentary
- Fixed Income: Fresh elections in Greece further support core bonds
- German bund came off the contract highs at the start of the session on better German Q1 GDP data. The move didn't last long however and the announcement of fresh Greek elections marked an intraday U-turn. This morning, the German Bund future and US Note future once again reach new contract highs.
- Currencies: euro sell-off accelerates as Greece will hold now elections.
- On Tuesday morning it looked temporary that the euro might enjoy some breathing space as the German Q1 growth was much stronger than expected. However, the rebound had no momentum at all. The euro was again hammered as talks on the formation of the Greek government collapsed. Is the euro heading for a free fall? ...
Title:
Greek Political Impasse Leads to Euro Losses
The euro started off yesterday's trading session on a positive note following a better than expected German Prelim GDP figure which caused the EUR/USD to advance to 1.2868. That being said, the common currency came under pressure later in the day following another failed attempt by Greek politicians to form a new government, virtually guaranteeing new elections will take place next month. As a result, the euro fell as low as $1.2769 during the afternoon sessoin. Turning to today, traders will want to pay attention to the US FOMC Meeting Minutes, set to be released at 18:00 GMT. Any signs that the Federal Reserve is preparing for another round of quantitative easing could result in the greenback turning bearish.
Economic News
USD - US Manufacturing Data Sends USD/JPY Over 80.00
The ...
Title:
Euro slides to fresh 4-month low on Greek concerns
The euro dropped to a four-month low against the U.S. dollar on Tuesday after Greece failed to form a government and said it would hold new elections, raising risks it could eventually exit the euro.
The euro fell for a fifth of the last six sessions on chances left-wing politicians opposed to Greece's international bailout could win the June elections. The prospect increased risk aversion and German government bonds rose sharply. Italian and Spanish 10-year yields hit 6 percent on the news.
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