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Dukascopy Morning Forex Overview : 30/01/2013
"Germans are once again focusing on the generally pleasing domestic state of affairs"
- Market research group GfK
German consumers feel more confident about the Europe’s largest economy’s outlook, due to a stable labour market and higher income expectations, market research group GfK said on Tuesday.
Read more: FULL REPORT - Fundamental Analysis
"It is a fact that things are normalising in Europe. But it is also a fact that the structural problems and issues remain unresolved and could come back to haunt..."
- Bank of Singapore (based on CNBC)
It did not take long for the bulls to once again regain control of the price’s formation, ending a short-lived period of consolidation at a high of 2012.
Read more: FULL REPORT - Technical Analysis
"It is very hard to see any reason to be optimistic about Japan"
- Charles Robertson, Global Chief Economist at Renaissance Capital, on the world economy
Do you agree with the IMF's 3.5% global growth outlook for this year?
Spanish retail sales slump 10.7% as austerity hurts consumers
Retail figures in Spain have fallen for 30 successive months, the decline accelerating since latest austerity measures applied.
Read more: FULL REPORT - Press Review
Currency Index & Volatility: EUR
Throughout the last week the single European currency has enjoyed an inflow of positive economic data, such as improving economic expectations and consumer sentiment, which was only tainted by a worse-than-expected German PPI numbers.
Read more: FULL REPORT - Market Research
Dukascopy Bank Sentiment Index
Global economic outlook
The current global economic outlook was little changed at 0.50 in December. The six-month and three-year global economic expectations deteriorated to 0.53 and 0.68, a Dukascopy Bank SA poll showed.
Read more: FULL REPORT - Dukascopy Bank Sentiment Index
Global Stock Market Review
Dow Jones Industrial Average
U.S. equities posted longest series of daily gains since the year 2004 on better-than-expected corporate profits and U.S. lawmakers' decision to temporarily delay the federal debt-ceiling.
Read more: FULL REPORT - Global Stock Market Review
Precious metals advanced on Tuesday on hopes the Fed will leave its loose monetary policy unchanged at its meeting on Wednesday. Moreover, weak consumer confidence data sent the US Dollar lower, boosting appeal of the commodity complex to other currency holders.
Read more: FULL REPORT - Commodity Overview
Trade Pattern Idea
USD/CHF Emerging Pattern: Channel Down
USD/CHF has formed a Channel Down pattern on the 1H chart. The pattern has 62% quality and 67% magnitude in the 74-bar period.
Weekly AUD/NZD Emerging Pattern: Triangle
AUD/NZD has formed a Triangle pattern on the 1D chart. The pattern has 87% quality and 100% magnitude on in the 133-bar period.
Currency Pair Returns: Risks
The Dukascopy Bank SA research department continues its work on statistical properties of currency pair returns. The previous part of the research marked out relationships amongst returns. It was therefore dedicated to a somewhat determinate aspect of their behaviour. In this issue we look into uncertainty of the movements and investigate the parameters that can help reduce it.
Read more: FULL REPORT - Economic Research
Dukascopy Aggregate Technical Indicator
Dukascopy Bank presents a new research product - the aggregate technical indicator. The new tool will indicate the strongest signals on major currency pairs. Dukascopy Aggregate Technical Indicator for 30 min, 1H, 4H and 1D time frame charts for major pairs for the last 144 periods till 07:00 GMT.
Read more: FULL REPORT - Dukascopy Aggregate Technical Indicator