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AUD/USD : Short term bearish channel


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#1 ⇑ Haut ⇑ 21-01-2013 10:06:40

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AUD/USD : Short term bearish channel

The pair AUD/USD is moving now into a downtrend short term channel (brown segments).
The price faked on friday a break-down of 1.05 is moving back this morning towards 1.0525 as resistance.

I advise traders to remain flat on the pair between 1.05 and 1.0525.
I advise traders to wait an output of this range to take position:

- Short if the price breaks down 1.05. A downward breaks of 1.0475and then 1.0450 will offer new sell signals for an extension of the downtrend.

- Long in case of return above 1.0525. The pair will then test the upper band of its short terme bearish channel. The upward breaks of 1.0550 and then 1.0575 will offer new buy signals for a return on 1.06 or higher resistance if the resistance is broken up.

AUD/USD 1h chart
http://www.tribuforex.fr/analyses/FOREX/audusd-21012013.png

AUD/USD 4h chart
http://www.tribuforex.fr/analyses/FOREX/audusd-21012013-2.png







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#2 ⇑ Haut ⇑ 22-01-2013 10:41:38

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Re: AUD/USD : Short term bearish channel

The pair AUD/USD has started last night a bullish rally. The upward breaks of 1.0525 and 1.0550 offered new buy signals. On this movement, the pair has also validated an output of its short-term bearish channel (brown segments on the 1h charts). 1.0550 is now support.

I advise to trade only long positions parity as far as the price is above 1.0525.
A stay above 1.0550 will reinforce the bullish sentiment.
A break of 1.0575 will give a new buy signal and allow a return of 1.06 or higher if this resistance is also broken.

In case of return below 1.0525, then I will advise traders to wait a break of 1.05 before trading short positions.

AUD/USD 1h chart
http://www.tribuforex.fr/analyses/FOREX/audusd-22012013.png

AUD/USD 4h chart
http://www.tribuforex.fr/analyses/FOREX/audusd-22012013-2.png




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#3 ⇑ Haut ⇑ 24-01-2013 09:51:25

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Re: AUD/USD : Short term bearish channel

The pair AUD / USD just felt on the support at 1.05. At the same level, the upper band of the previous short-term bearish channel also gave support (brown segments on the chart).

I advise traders to remain flat on parity as far as the price will move between 1.05 and 1.0525.
I advise traders to wait an exit of this range to take positon :

- Only long positions get back above 1.0525. Upward breaks of 1.0550 and then 1.0575 will offer new buy signals for a return on 1.06.

- Only short positions below 1.05. Downward breaks of 1.0475 and then 1.0450 will offer new sell signals for an extension of the downtrend towards 1.04.

AUD/USD 1h chart
http://www.tribuforex.fr/analyses/FOREX/audusd-24012013.png

AUD/USD 4h chart
http://www.tribuforex.fr/analyses/FOREX/audusd-24012013-2.png




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#4 ⇑ Haut ⇑ 25-01-2013 10:12:57

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Re: AUD/USD : Short term bearish channel

The pair AUD/USD felt yesterday with strength. The price has first validated a break-down of 1.05 and a return in the short term bearish channel (brown segments).
A new sell signal was then given by the breakout of 1.0475 and found support this night on the lower band of its bearish channel. 1.0440 also gave support.

I advise traders to trade only short positions as far as 1.05 is resistance.
A stay below 1.0475 will consolidate the bearish sentiment.
A break of 1.0440 will offer a new sell signal for an extension of the bearish rally towards 1.0425.

In case of return above 1.05, a buy signal will be given. The price should then validated an output of its short term bearish channel. Traders can then consider to return their positions and trade long positions.

AUD/USD 1h chart
http://www.tribuforex.fr/analyses/FOREX/audusd-25012013.png

AUD/USD 4h chart
http://www.tribuforex.fr/analyses/FOREX/audusd-25012013-2.png




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#5 ⇑ Haut ⇑ 28-01-2013 10:15:10

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Re: AUD/USD : Short term bearish channel

The pair AUD/USD has validated on Friday a break-down of 1.0450, giving us a new sell signal.
On this bearish rally, the price also validated a breakout of the lower band of its short-term bearish channel (brown segments).
This morning, the price has made ​​a pullback on the lower band of the channel and is currently testing the next support located at 1.04.

I advise traders to trade only short positions as far as 1.0450 is resistance.
A break of 1.04 will offer a new sell signal for an extension of the bearish rally towards 1.0350.

In case of return above 1.0450, we will be neutral between this level and 1.05. The break of this last level should validated an output of th short term bearish channel.

AUD/USD 1h chart
http://www.tribuforex.fr/analyses/FOREX/audusd-28012013.png

AUD/USD 4h chart
http://www.tribuforex.fr/analyses/FOREX/audusd-28012013-2.png




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#6 ⇑ Haut ⇑ 30-01-2013 09:43:51

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Re: AUD/USD : Short term bearish channel

The pair AUD/USD found support to bounce on 1.04 and validate a return above 1.0450.
The price is on the upper band of its downtrend channel (brown segments).

I advise traders to remain flat on the pair as far as the price will be between 1.0450 and 1.05.
I would advise to wait an exit of this range to take position

- Short positions if 1.0450 is broken. A break of 1.04 would give a new sell signal.

- Long positions if an upward break of 1.05 occur. Attention, downtrend channel parallel can also be traced through the high made on 22th and 23th of January. This parallel would also be resistance.

AUD/USD 1h chart
http://www.tribuforex.fr/analyses/FOREX/audusd-30012013.png

AUD/USD 4h chart
http://www.tribuforex.fr/analyses/FOREX/audusd-30012013-2.png




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#7 ⇑ Haut ⇑ 31-01-2013 10:45:44

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Re: AUD/USD : Short term bearish channel

The pair AUD/USD has stumbled yesterday on the extension of the upper band of its short-term downtrend channel (brown segments).
The price has validated a return below 1.0450 and just found support this morning on the support at 1.04 as well on the lower band of the bearish channel.
The price is trying to rebound.

I advise traders to trade only short positions parity as the price will be located under 1.0450.
A break of 1.04 would give a new sell signal for an extension of the bearish rally towards 1.0350 or lower level is this level is broken.

In case of return of  above 1.0450 then I would advise traders to wait for a breakout of 1.05 before trading long positions. On a return above 1.05, the price should also have validated an output of its short term bearish channel.

AUD/USD 1h chart
http://www.tribuforex.fr/analyses/FOREX/audusd-31012013.png

AUD/USD 4h chart
http://www.tribuforex.fr/analyses/FOREX/audusd-31012013-2.png




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#8 ⇑ Haut ⇑ 01-02-2013 10:26:03

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Re: AUD/USD : Short term bearish channel

The pair AUD/USD made ​​yesterday a new pullback on the resistance at 1.0450.
The price has felt this night and is currently testing for the 3rd time a downward break of the support at 1.04. The pair is still moving within its short-term bearish channel (brown segments) and the lower band of the channel still act as support.

I advise traders to trade only short positions parity as the price will be located under 1.0450.
A break of 1.04 would give a new sell signal for an extension of the bearish rally towards 1.0350 or lower level is this level is broken.

In case of return of  above 1.0450 then I would advise traders to wait for a breakout of 1.05 before trading long positions. On a return above 1.05, the price should also have validated an output of its short term bearish channel.

AUD/USD 1h chart
http://www.tribuforex.fr/analyses/FOREX/audusd-01022013.png

AUD/USD 4h chart
http://www.tribuforex.fr/analyses/FOREX/audusd-01022013-2.png




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#9 ⇑ Haut ⇑ 06-02-2013 09:57:32

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Re: AUD/USD : Short term bearish channel

The pair AUD/USD has launched its night a new bearish rally, validating the break of 1.04 (sell signal). This morning, the price continues its bearish rally and just validated the downward break of the minor support at 1.0350. The price is now moving below the lower band of its short-term bearish channel (brown segments).

I advise traders to trade only short positions parity as the price will be located under 1.04. A stay below 1.0350 will reinforce our bearish sentiment. A break of 1.03 would give a new sell signal for an extension of the bearish rally towards 1.0250 or lower level is this level is broken.

In case of return of  above 1.04 then I would advise traders to wait for a breakout of 1.0450 before trading long positions.

Traders with a more agressive strategy could trade the pair according to 1.04 (long above and short below).

AUD/USD 1h chart
http://www.tribuforex.fr/analyses/FOREX/audusd-06022013.png

AUD/USD 4h chart
http://www.tribuforex.fr/analyses/FOREX/audusd-06022013-2.png




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#10 ⇑ Haut ⇑ 12-02-2013 09:28:52

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Re: AUD/USD : Short term bearish channel

The pair AUD/USD has validated yesterday a breakout of 1.03, giving us a new sell signal.
The bearish channel has been re-worked in the light of recent lows formed by the price.
The price is currently testing the next support at 1.0250 and the lower and of the short-term  bearish channel (brown line on charts).

I advise traders to trade only short positions as far as 1.0350 is resistance. A stay below 1.03 will reinforce our bearish sentiment. A break of 1.0250 would give a new sell signal for an extension of the bearish rally towards 1.02 or lower level is this level is broken.

In case of return of  above 1.0350 then I would advise traders to wait for a breakout of 1.04 (exit of the channel) before trading long positions.

Traders with a more agressive strategy could trade the pair according to 1.04 (long above and short below).

AUD/USD 1h chart
http://www.tribuforex.fr/analyses/FOREX/audusd-12022013.png

AUD/USD 4h chart
http://www.tribuforex.fr/analyses/FOREX/audusd-12022013-2.png




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#11 ⇑ Haut ⇑ 14-02-2013 09:24:52

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Re: AUD/USD : Short term bearish channel

The pair AUD/USD is rebounding since two days, from the lower band to the upper band of its downtrend channel (brown lines on chart). The level at 1.0350 is currently tested.
This morning, the price attempts to take up its downward movement.

I advise traders to trade only short positions as far as 1.0350 is resistance. A retrun below 1.03 will reinforce our bearish sentiment. A break of 1.0250 would give a new sell signal for an extension of the bearish rally towards 1.02 or lower level is this level is broken.

In case of return of  above 1.0350 then I would advise traders to wait for a breakout of 1.04 (exit of the channel) before trading long positions.

AUD/USD 1h chart
http://www.tribuforex.fr/analyses/FOREX/audusd-14022013.png

AUD/USD 4h chart
http://www.tribuforex.fr/analyses/FOREX/audusd-14022013-2.png




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#12 ⇑ Haut ⇑ 18-02-2013 10:22:33

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Re: AUD/USD : Short term bearish channel

The pair AUD/USD faked at the end of last week a return above 1.0350 and also an output of its medium term bearish channel (brown lines on charts). On friday, the price felt towards 1.03 as support. This night, the price has validated a downward break of this level and found support on the center line of the bearish channel. The pair is back this morning on 1.03 as resistance.

I advise traders to trade only short positions as far as 1.0350 is resistance. A stay below 1.03 will reinforce our bearish sentiment. A break of 1.0250 would give a new sell signal for an extension of the bearish rally towards 1.02 or lower level is this level is broken.

In case of return of  above 1.0350 then I would advise traders to wait for a breakout of 1.04 (exit of the channel) before trading long positions.

AUD/USD 1h chart
http://www.tribuforex.fr/analyses/FOREX/audusd-18022013.png

AUD/USD 4h chart
http://www.tribuforex.fr/analyses/FOREX/audusd-18022013-2.png




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#13 ⇑ Haut ⇑ 20-02-2013 09:12:00

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Re: AUD/USD : Short term bearish channel

The pair AUD/USD has validated yesterday an output of its medium term bearish channel (brown lines on charts).
The price is currently testing a parallel of its downtrend channel as resistance (taking into account the high of January 22th).

On the shorter term, the price is now above a bullish slant (blue line on the graph 1H).

I advise traders to remain flat as far as the price will be between 1.0350 and 1.0380 and to wait an exit of this range to take position :

- Long if the price breaks 1.0380. The upward breaks of 1.04 and then 1.0425 would offer new buy signals for a bullish extension towards 1.0450.

- Short if 1.0350 is broken. The downward breaks of 1.0325 and then 1.03 would  offer new sell signals for an extension of the downtrend towards 1.0275.

AUD/USD 1h chart
http://www.tribuforex.fr/analyses/FOREX/audusd-20022013.png

AUD/USD 4h chart
http://www.tribuforex.fr/analyses/FOREX/audusd-20022013-2.png




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#14 ⇑ Haut ⇑ 25-02-2013 09:17:55

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Re: AUD/USD : Short term bearish channel

The pair AUD/USD has validated on Friday a return above 1.03 and then stumbled on its  short term bullish slant as resistance (blue line on the 1h chart).
The parallel of the medium term downtrend channel has also acted as resistance (dotted brown line).
The price opened the week on a bearish gap below 1.03 and this has allowed a return of the price below the resistance line of the channel.

I advise traders to trade only short positions as far as 1.03 is resistance. A return below 1.0275 will reinforce our bearish sentiment. A break of 1.0250 and 1.02 would both give a new sell signal.

In case of return of  above 1.03 then I would advise traders to wait for a breakout of 1.0380 before trading long positions.

AUD/USD 1h chart
http://www.tribuforex.fr/analyses/FOREX/audusd-25022013.png

AUD/USD 4h chart
http://www.tribuforex.fr/analyses/FOREX/audusd-25022013-2.png




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#15 ⇑ Haut ⇑ 27-02-2013 09:46:42

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Re: AUD/USD : Short term bearish channel

The pair AUD/USD felt yesterday on the center line of its medium term bearish channel  (brown lines). The price has found support on 1.02.
This morning, the pair is going to retest this support after a quick pullback on 1.0250.

I advise traders to trade only short positions as far as 1.03 is resistance. A stay below 1.0250 will reinforce our bearish sentiment. A break of 1.02 would give a new sell signal and should open the way towards 1.0150.

In case of return of  above 1.03, a buy signal will be given. This will mean an exif of the medium term bearish channel.

AUD/USD 1h chart
http://www.tribuforex.fr/analyses/FOREX/audusd-27022013.png

AUD/USD 4h chart
http://www.tribuforex.fr/analyses/FOREX/audusd-27022013-2.png




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#16 ⇑ Haut ⇑ 04-03-2013 11:22:00

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Re: AUD/USD : Short term bearish channel

The pair AUD/USD started this night a new bearish rally and has validated the downward  breaks of 1.02 and 1.0150 (new sell signals).
The price is now close from the lower band of its medium term bearish channel (brown lines on charts).

I advise traders to trade only short positions as far as 1.02 is resistance. A stay below 1.0150 will reinforce our bearish sentiment. A break of 1.01 would give a new sell signal and should open the way towards 1.0.

In case of return of  above 1.02, we will be neutral between this level and 1.0250.

AUD/USD 1h chart
http://www.tribuforex.fr/analyses/FOREX/audusd-04032013.png

AUD/USD 4h chart
http://www.tribuforex.fr/analyses/FOREX/audusd-04032013-2.png




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#17 ⇑ Haut ⇑ 05-03-2013 09:13:23

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Re: AUD/USD : Short term bearish channel

The pair AUD/USD rebounded yesterday and last night to validate a breakout of the upper band of the medium term bearish channel (brown lines on charts).
By extension, the price has stumbled on 1.0250 and is now performing a pullback on the upper band as resistance.

I advise traders to wait an exit of the range 1.02 / 1.0250 to take positions :

- Only long positions if 1.0250 is broken. A break of 1.03 would give a new buy signal for an extension of the rebound towards 1.0350/
Attention to the extension of the downtrend channel upper band (brown dotted line).

- Only short positions if 1.02 is broken. A break of 1.0150 would give a new sell signal for an extension of the downtrend towards 1.01.
Attention to the support at 1.0125 (last low before the bounce of the price).

AUD/USD 1h chart
http://www.tribuforex.fr/analyses/FOREX/audusd-05032013.png

AUD/USD 4h chart
http://www.tribuforex.fr/analyses/FOREX/audusd-05032013-2.png




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#18 ⇑ Haut ⇑ 06-03-2013 09:15:13

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Re: AUD/USD : Short term bearish channel

The pair AUD/USD continued its bullish rally yesterday and has validated during the night a breakout of the medium term downtrend channel parallel (dotted brown lines).
The price just stumbled on the resistance at 1.03 this morning.

I still advise traders to wait an exit of the range 1.02 / 1.0250 to take positions :

- Only long positions above 1.0250. A break of 1.03 would give a new buy signal for an extension of the rebound towards 1.0350.

- Only short positions below 1.02. A break of 1.0150 would give a new sell signal for an extension of the downtrend towards 1.01.
Attention to the support at 1.0125 (last low before the bounce of the price).

AUD/USD 1h chart
http://www.tribuforex.fr/analyses/FOREX/audusd-06032013.png

AUD/USD 4h chart
http://www.tribuforex.fr/analyses/FOREX/audusd-06032013-2.png




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#19 ⇑ Haut ⇑ 11-03-2013 09:50:08

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Re: AUD/USD : Short term bearish channel

The pair AUD/USD continues to move over the upper band of its medium term bearish channel (brown line).
The price is back in our neutral zone between 1.02 and 1.0250.

I still advise traders to wait an exit of the range 1.02 / 1.0250 to take positions :

- Only long positions above 1.0250. A break of 1.03 would give a new buy signal for an extension of the rebound towards 1.0350.

- Only short positions below 1.02. A break of 1.0150 would give a new sell signal for an extension of the downtrend towards 1.01.
Attention to the support at 1.0125 (last low before the bounce of the price).

AUD/USD 1h chart
http://www.tribuforex.fr/analyses/FOREX/audusd-11032013.png

AUD/USD 4h chart
http://www.tribuforex.fr/analyses/FOREX/audusd-11032013-2.png




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