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#1 ⇑ Haut ⇑ 21-01-2013 10:06:40
- Bruno
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AUD/USD : Short term bearish channel
The price faked on friday a break-down of 1.05 is moving back this morning towards 1.0525 as resistance.
I advise traders to remain flat on the pair between 1.05 and 1.0525.
I advise traders to wait an output of this range to take position:
- Short if the price breaks down 1.05. A downward breaks of 1.0475and then 1.0450 will offer new sell signals for an extension of the downtrend.
- Long in case of return above 1.0525. The pair will then test the upper band of its short terme bearish channel. The upward breaks of 1.0550 and then 1.0575 will offer new buy signals for a return on 1.06 or higher resistance if the resistance is broken up.
AUD/USD 1h chart



#2 ⇑ Haut ⇑ 22-01-2013 10:41:38
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Re: AUD/USD : Short term bearish channel
I advise to trade only long positions parity as far as the price is above 1.0525.
A stay above 1.0550 will reinforce the bullish sentiment.
A break of 1.0575 will give a new buy signal and allow a return of 1.06 or higher if this resistance is also broken.
In case of return below 1.0525, then I will advise traders to wait a break of 1.05 before trading short positions.
AUD/USD 1h chart



#3 ⇑ Haut ⇑ 24-01-2013 09:51:25
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Re: AUD/USD : Short term bearish channel
I advise traders to remain flat on parity as far as the price will move between 1.05 and 1.0525.
I advise traders to wait an exit of this range to take positon :
- Only long positions get back above 1.0525. Upward breaks of 1.0550 and then 1.0575 will offer new buy signals for a return on 1.06.
- Only short positions below 1.05. Downward breaks of 1.0475 and then 1.0450 will offer new sell signals for an extension of the downtrend towards 1.04.
AUD/USD 1h chart



#4 ⇑ Haut ⇑ 25-01-2013 10:12:57
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Re: AUD/USD : Short term bearish channel
A new sell signal was then given by the breakout of 1.0475 and found support this night on the lower band of its bearish channel. 1.0440 also gave support.
I advise traders to trade only short positions as far as 1.05 is resistance.
A stay below 1.0475 will consolidate the bearish sentiment.
A break of 1.0440 will offer a new sell signal for an extension of the bearish rally towards 1.0425.
In case of return above 1.05, a buy signal will be given. The price should then validated an output of its short term bearish channel. Traders can then consider to return their positions and trade long positions.
AUD/USD 1h chart



#5 ⇑ Haut ⇑ 28-01-2013 10:15:10
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Re: AUD/USD : Short term bearish channel
On this bearish rally, the price also validated a breakout of the lower band of its short-term bearish channel (brown segments).
This morning, the price has made a pullback on the lower band of the channel and is currently testing the next support located at 1.04.
I advise traders to trade only short positions as far as 1.0450 is resistance.
A break of 1.04 will offer a new sell signal for an extension of the bearish rally towards 1.0350.
In case of return above 1.0450, we will be neutral between this level and 1.05. The break of this last level should validated an output of th short term bearish channel.
AUD/USD 1h chart



#6 ⇑ Haut ⇑ 30-01-2013 09:43:51
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Re: AUD/USD : Short term bearish channel
The price is on the upper band of its downtrend channel (brown segments).
I advise traders to remain flat on the pair as far as the price will be between 1.0450 and 1.05.
I would advise to wait an exit of this range to take position
- Short positions if 1.0450 is broken. A break of 1.04 would give a new sell signal.
- Long positions if an upward break of 1.05 occur. Attention, downtrend channel parallel can also be traced through the high made on 22th and 23th of January. This parallel would also be resistance.
AUD/USD 1h chart



#7 ⇑ Haut ⇑ 31-01-2013 10:45:44
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Re: AUD/USD : Short term bearish channel
The price has validated a return below 1.0450 and just found support this morning on the support at 1.04 as well on the lower band of the bearish channel.
The price is trying to rebound.
I advise traders to trade only short positions parity as the price will be located under 1.0450.
A break of 1.04 would give a new sell signal for an extension of the bearish rally towards 1.0350 or lower level is this level is broken.
In case of return of above 1.0450 then I would advise traders to wait for a breakout of 1.05 before trading long positions. On a return above 1.05, the price should also have validated an output of its short term bearish channel.
AUD/USD 1h chart



#8 ⇑ Haut ⇑ 01-02-2013 10:26:03
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Re: AUD/USD : Short term bearish channel
The price has felt this night and is currently testing for the 3rd time a downward break of the support at 1.04. The pair is still moving within its short-term bearish channel (brown segments) and the lower band of the channel still act as support.
I advise traders to trade only short positions parity as the price will be located under 1.0450.
A break of 1.04 would give a new sell signal for an extension of the bearish rally towards 1.0350 or lower level is this level is broken.
In case of return of above 1.0450 then I would advise traders to wait for a breakout of 1.05 before trading long positions. On a return above 1.05, the price should also have validated an output of its short term bearish channel.
AUD/USD 1h chart



#9 ⇑ Haut ⇑ 06-02-2013 09:57:32
- Bruno
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Re: AUD/USD : Short term bearish channel
I advise traders to trade only short positions parity as the price will be located under 1.04. A stay below 1.0350 will reinforce our bearish sentiment. A break of 1.03 would give a new sell signal for an extension of the bearish rally towards 1.0250 or lower level is this level is broken.
In case of return of above 1.04 then I would advise traders to wait for a breakout of 1.0450 before trading long positions.
Traders with a more agressive strategy could trade the pair according to 1.04 (long above and short below).
AUD/USD 1h chart



#10 ⇑ Haut ⇑ 12-02-2013 09:28:52
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Re: AUD/USD : Short term bearish channel
The bearish channel has been re-worked in the light of recent lows formed by the price.
The price is currently testing the next support at 1.0250 and the lower and of the short-term bearish channel (brown line on charts).
I advise traders to trade only short positions as far as 1.0350 is resistance. A stay below 1.03 will reinforce our bearish sentiment. A break of 1.0250 would give a new sell signal for an extension of the bearish rally towards 1.02 or lower level is this level is broken.
In case of return of above 1.0350 then I would advise traders to wait for a breakout of 1.04 (exit of the channel) before trading long positions.
Traders with a more agressive strategy could trade the pair according to 1.04 (long above and short below).
AUD/USD 1h chart



#11 ⇑ Haut ⇑ 14-02-2013 09:24:52
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Re: AUD/USD : Short term bearish channel
This morning, the price attempts to take up its downward movement.
I advise traders to trade only short positions as far as 1.0350 is resistance. A retrun below 1.03 will reinforce our bearish sentiment. A break of 1.0250 would give a new sell signal for an extension of the bearish rally towards 1.02 or lower level is this level is broken.
In case of return of above 1.0350 then I would advise traders to wait for a breakout of 1.04 (exit of the channel) before trading long positions.
AUD/USD 1h chart



#12 ⇑ Haut ⇑ 18-02-2013 10:22:33
- Bruno
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Re: AUD/USD : Short term bearish channel
I advise traders to trade only short positions as far as 1.0350 is resistance. A stay below 1.03 will reinforce our bearish sentiment. A break of 1.0250 would give a new sell signal for an extension of the bearish rally towards 1.02 or lower level is this level is broken.
In case of return of above 1.0350 then I would advise traders to wait for a breakout of 1.04 (exit of the channel) before trading long positions.
AUD/USD 1h chart



#13 ⇑ Haut ⇑ 20-02-2013 09:12:00
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Re: AUD/USD : Short term bearish channel
The price is currently testing a parallel of its downtrend channel as resistance (taking into account the high of January 22th).
On the shorter term, the price is now above a bullish slant (blue line on the graph 1H).
I advise traders to remain flat as far as the price will be between 1.0350 and 1.0380 and to wait an exit of this range to take position :
- Long if the price breaks 1.0380. The upward breaks of 1.04 and then 1.0425 would offer new buy signals for a bullish extension towards 1.0450.
- Short if 1.0350 is broken. The downward breaks of 1.0325 and then 1.03 would offer new sell signals for an extension of the downtrend towards 1.0275.
AUD/USD 1h chart



#14 ⇑ Haut ⇑ 25-02-2013 09:17:55
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Re: AUD/USD : Short term bearish channel
The parallel of the medium term downtrend channel has also acted as resistance (dotted brown line).
The price opened the week on a bearish gap below 1.03 and this has allowed a return of the price below the resistance line of the channel.
I advise traders to trade only short positions as far as 1.03 is resistance. A return below 1.0275 will reinforce our bearish sentiment. A break of 1.0250 and 1.02 would both give a new sell signal.
In case of return of above 1.03 then I would advise traders to wait for a breakout of 1.0380 before trading long positions.
AUD/USD 1h chart



#15 ⇑ Haut ⇑ 27-02-2013 09:46:42
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Re: AUD/USD : Short term bearish channel
This morning, the pair is going to retest this support after a quick pullback on 1.0250.
I advise traders to trade only short positions as far as 1.03 is resistance. A stay below 1.0250 will reinforce our bearish sentiment. A break of 1.02 would give a new sell signal and should open the way towards 1.0150.
In case of return of above 1.03, a buy signal will be given. This will mean an exif of the medium term bearish channel.
AUD/USD 1h chart



#16 ⇑ Haut ⇑ 04-03-2013 11:22:00
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Re: AUD/USD : Short term bearish channel
The price is now close from the lower band of its medium term bearish channel (brown lines on charts).
I advise traders to trade only short positions as far as 1.02 is resistance. A stay below 1.0150 will reinforce our bearish sentiment. A break of 1.01 would give a new sell signal and should open the way towards 1.0.
In case of return of above 1.02, we will be neutral between this level and 1.0250.
AUD/USD 1h chart



#17 ⇑ Haut ⇑ 05-03-2013 09:13:23
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Re: AUD/USD : Short term bearish channel
By extension, the price has stumbled on 1.0250 and is now performing a pullback on the upper band as resistance.
I advise traders to wait an exit of the range 1.02 / 1.0250 to take positions :
- Only long positions if 1.0250 is broken. A break of 1.03 would give a new buy signal for an extension of the rebound towards 1.0350/
Attention to the extension of the downtrend channel upper band (brown dotted line).
- Only short positions if 1.02 is broken. A break of 1.0150 would give a new sell signal for an extension of the downtrend towards 1.01.
Attention to the support at 1.0125 (last low before the bounce of the price).
AUD/USD 1h chart



#18 ⇑ Haut ⇑ 06-03-2013 09:15:13
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Re: AUD/USD : Short term bearish channel
The price just stumbled on the resistance at 1.03 this morning.
I still advise traders to wait an exit of the range 1.02 / 1.0250 to take positions :
- Only long positions above 1.0250. A break of 1.03 would give a new buy signal for an extension of the rebound towards 1.0350.
- Only short positions below 1.02. A break of 1.0150 would give a new sell signal for an extension of the downtrend towards 1.01.
Attention to the support at 1.0125 (last low before the bounce of the price).
AUD/USD 1h chart



#19 ⇑ Haut ⇑ 11-03-2013 09:50:08
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Re: AUD/USD : Short term bearish channel
The price is back in our neutral zone between 1.02 and 1.0250.
I still advise traders to wait an exit of the range 1.02 / 1.0250 to take positions :
- Only long positions above 1.0250. A break of 1.03 would give a new buy signal for an extension of the rebound towards 1.0350.
- Only short positions below 1.02. A break of 1.0150 would give a new sell signal for an extension of the downtrend towards 1.01.
Attention to the support at 1.0125 (last low before the bounce of the price).
AUD/USD 1h chart


